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 Yahoo Review Thread - 2010 
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You must have big rats
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DP07 wrote:
What the hell? Tokyo Drift hardly has any written reviews. The ratio is almost 10 to one while it's usually 5 to one for openers like this. X3 was at 4. I thought it would have a high ratio because of the hardcore fanbase, but they must not be posting at yahoo. I think it will be under 150 based on that.

EDIT: Nacho has nearly 8 to 1. Maybe this means there is less clogging this week and the ratios will actually be higher.


I assume the viewership of TFTF3 isn't into writing reviews, hehe. Or anything that contains more than five words.

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:03 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
What the hell? Tokyo Drift hardly has any written reviews. The ratio is almost 10 to one while it's usually 5 to one for openers like this. X3 was at 4. I thought it would have a high ratio because of the hardcore fanbase, but they must not be posting at yahoo. I think it will be under 150 based on that.

EDIT: Nacho has nearly 8 to 1. Maybe this means there is less clogging this week and the ratios will actually be higher.


I assume the viewership of TFTF3 isn't into writing reviews, hehe. Or anything that contains more than five words.


:lol: I was thinking the same thing.

But I'm not sure what effect it could have on ratings. It's just unexpected, which makes me doubt my ratio projection.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:05 am
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Current updated projections:

TFTF3 - $7-7.3 million
Nacho Libre - $7.4-7.8 million
Garfield 2 - $4.5-5 million
The Lake House - $5.5-6.5 million

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:06 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Current updated projections:

TFTF3 - $7-7.3 million
Nacho Libre - $7.4-7.8 million
Garfield 2 - $4.5-5 million
The Lake House - $5.5-6.5 million


These look pretty good, IMO. Lake House is doing better than I expected. I thought this would have better legs over a bigger opening.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:13 am
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DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
What the hell? Tokyo Drift hardly has any written reviews. The ratio is almost 10 to one while it's usually 5 to one for openers like this. X3 was at 4. I thought it would have a high ratio because of the hardcore fanbase, but they must not be posting at yahoo. I think it will be under 150 based on that.

EDIT: Nacho has nearly 8 to 1. Maybe this means there is less clogging this week and the ratios will actually be higher.


I assume the viewership of TFTF3 isn't into writing reviews, hehe. Or anything that contains more than five words.


:lol: I was thinking the same thing.

But I'm not sure what effect it could have on ratings. It's just unexpected, which makes me doubt my ratio projection.


Or maybe they were just left speechless after the ending.

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:26 am
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The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1136, +20, B-
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 369, +4, B-
Nacho Libre 983, +12, B
The Lake House 582, +13, B

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:38 am
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The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1367, +231, B (up from B-)
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 412, +43, B-
Nacho Libre 1196, +213, B
The Lake House 699, +117, B

A good sign that Tokyo Drift's grade has gone up all the way to B. I see $9m for it. As for others, roughly $4-5m for Garfield, $8.5-10m for Nacho Libre, and $5-6.5m for The Lake House.

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 2:38 am
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I knew I went too low on Garfield. Bleh.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 2:48 am
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they all look to have done great.lake house looks like its doing fantastic actually.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 3:32 am
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Final numbers:

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, +32, B
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, +5, B-
Nacho Libre 1239, +43, B
The Lake House 723, +24, B

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 3:55 am
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The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, +32, B
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, +5, B-
Nacho Libre 1239, +43, B
The Lake House 723, +24, B

I'll say 10m-11m for FAF3, but who really knows.

Nacho 10m. Lake House 6.5m. Garfield 4.6m.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 3:55 am
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The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, +32, B
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, +5, B-
Nacho Libre 1239, +43, B
The Lake House 723, +24, B

Fantastic for The Lake House. I think a $7m opening day is possible. I'd guess around $10m for Tokyo Drift, $9.5m for Nacho Libre, $6.5m for The Lake House and $4.5m for Garfield.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 3:58 am
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I had a feeling FF3 would do better than a lot of people expected.


Sat Jun 17, 2006 6:52 am
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Final projections:

TFTF3 - $8-8.5 million
Nacho Libre - $8-9 million
Garfield 2 - $4-4.5 million
The Lake House - $6.2-6.7 million

Weekend should look like this:

TFTF3 - $20-22 million
Nacho Libre - $22-24.5 million
Garfield 2 - $12.5-14.5 million
The Lake House - $16-18 million

Crowd reports suggest higher for TFTF3, though...

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 8:56 am
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Kenspy wrote:
I went back to Wedding Crashers, and Nacho is performing similarly in terms of Y! ratings. Also, the range predicted for WC was 7.2-9.8. With a median of 8.5, and the actual being 10.5, that was off by roughly 25%.

I'm seeing a 10.5-11.5 for Nacho, especially with the strength we saw last night on the West Coast for later shows.


Wahoo, my first try, and I'm on the money!

Dr. Lecter wrote:
I am very certain it won't be above $10 million...


;)


Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:49 pm
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Wierd weird ratios today.

Stupid Yahoo for screwing with the new webpage design!

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Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:37 pm
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Great job, Kenspy. Exactly on the money with Nacho. So did you end up betting money on it?


Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:44 pm
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llabb wrote:
Great job, Kenspy. Exactly on the money with Nacho. So did you end up betting money on it?


Yeap :biggrin:


Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:53 pm
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I was close with my 115 ratio for Nacho Libre and 150 for Fast & Furious, but The Lake House and Garfield 2 were completely bizarre. I suspect we may see strange ratios for awhile as more folks transition to the new homepage/layout.


Mon Jun 19, 2006 9:52 am
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Ratios with actuals:

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, $9,731,805, 143.76
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, $2,476,448, 168.39
Nacho Libre 1239, $10,800,231, 114.72
The Lake House 723, $5,079,658, 142.33

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Mon Jun 19, 2006 5:28 pm
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Wow at Garfield's ratio. Were people thrashing it or something?

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Mon Jun 19, 2006 5:32 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Ratios with actuals:

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, $9,731,805, 143.76
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, $2,476,448, 168.39
Nacho Libre 1239, $10,800,231, 114.72
The Lake House 723, $5,079,658, 142.33


Do you have an excel spreadsheet with historical Y! ratios?


Tue Jun 20, 2006 6:34 am
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Kenspy wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Ratios with actuals:

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, $9,731,805, 143.76
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, $2,476,448, 168.39
Nacho Libre 1239, $10,800,231, 114.72
The Lake House 723, $5,079,658, 142.33


Do you have an excel spreadsheet with historical Y! ratios?


He usually updates page 1 of this thread periodically with a chart. I believe it was last done in April.


Tue Jun 20, 2006 7:17 am
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Rolling Thunder wrote:
Kenspy wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Ratios with actuals:

The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift 1399, $9,731,805, 143.76
Garfield: A Tail of Two Kitties 417, $2,476,448, 168.39
Nacho Libre 1239, $10,800,231, 114.72
The Lake House 723, $5,079,658, 142.33


Do you have an excel spreadsheet with historical Y! ratios?


He usually updates page 1 of this thread periodically with a chart. I believe it was last done in April.


Yeah, I'm going to do another update sometime soon. There are also some weeks from earlier in the year missing in that table.

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American Hustle - B+
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12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Tue Jun 20, 2006 12:30 pm
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Xia, do you have the figures on Mr. Deeds, Anger Management, and 50 First Dates? On page 1, you have Yahoo links to them, but they're not in the ratio tables. Those and any other Sandler movies would be great, for comparison this weekend. Longest Yard is listed for about 120.


Tue Jun 20, 2006 5:33 pm
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