Scott, out of anyone here your predicts are the closest to mine ( still not saying a whole lot) I have Poseiden down for a 10,000 PTA for a 35 million weekend, and I think Akeelah can still hit 2 million. JML I have at 14 million as well..and M:I-3 for a 52% drop

Poseidon 32 million
M:i:III 23 million
Just My Luck 11 million
Goal! 700,000

My predictions:

1 POSEIDON - $23
2 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE III - $23
3 JUST MY LUCK - $10
4 RV - $7
5 STICK IT - $3
6 UNITED 93 - $3
7 AN AMERICAN HAUNTING - $2.6
8 GOAL! THE DREAM BEGINS - $2.7
9 AKEELAH AND THE BEE - $1.8
10 THE SENTINEL - $1.5

1. Poseidon - $27.9 million
2. Mission: Impossible 3 - $22.3 million
3. Just My Luck - $10.9 million
4. RV - $7.1 million
5. United 93 - $3.2 million
6. Stick It - $3.1 million
7. An American Haunting - $2.6 million
8. Akeelah and the Bee - $1.5 million
9. The Sentinel - $1.5 million
10. Goal! The Dream Begins - $0.8 million

Bleh...not a good start in the summer.

better than last year isnt it??

Better, yeah, but not good.

Actually, if you look at that:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/ch ... =19&p=.htm

...it was not much worse. At least they had two $20+ million openers that weekend and one $10+ million opener and four more films that made $5+ million. This weekend we'll have only four films above $5 million (Just My Luck, M:I-3, RV, Poseidon). Last year, there were seven.

My derby:
Mission: Impossible 3 - 22.3
Poseidon - 20.9
Just My Luck - 13.3
RV - 7.1
United 93 - 2.9
Stick It - 2.8
American Haunting - 2.7
Akeelah and the Bee - 1.6
The Sentinel - 1.3
Goal! The Dream Begins - 1.1

1. Mission: Impossible III - $24.0 million
2. Poseidon - $20.0 million
3. Just My Luck - $10.5 million
4. RV - $7.5 million
5. Stick It - $3.0 million
6. United 93 - $2.9 million
7. An American Haunting - $2.9 million
8. Akeelah and the Bee - $1.7 million
9. The Sentinel - $1.3 million
10. Goal! The Dream Begins - $1.0 million

I'm pretty sure that Stick It's drop is being underpredicted here. In 2004 after Van Helsing and the start of summer gave everything bad drops, Mean Girls fell -25%, 13 Going on 30 -29%, and New York Minute -36%. It would rebound from what it had last week normally too, so it's drop should be soft.

1. Mission: Impossible III - $23.0 million
2. Poseidon - $20.0 million
3. Just My Luck - $11.5 million
4. RV - $7.2 million
5. United 93 - $3.2 million
6. An American Haunting - $2.7 million
7. Stick It - $2.6 million
8. Akeelah and the Bee - $1.6 million
9. The Sentinel - $1.3 million
10. Goal! The Dream Begins - $0.8 million

United 93 should stablize, while Stick It will get killed by Just My Luck. As we've seen in the past, direct competition is everything (I rememberd W&G's giant drop one week last year).

Poseidon $33.8m
Mission: Impossible III $22.9m
Just My Luck $8.1m
RV $7.5m
Stick It $2.9m
United 93 $2.7m
An American Haunting $2.5m
Akeelah and the Bee $1.8m
The Sentine $1.4m
Goal! The Dream Begins $1.1m

1. Poseidon - $25.8 million
2. Mission: Impossible 3 - $25.1 million
3. Just My Luck - $13.5 million
4. RV - $7.3 million
5. United 93 - $3.5 million
6. Stick It - $3.1 million
7. An American Haunting - $2.5 million
8. Akeelah and the Bee - $1.6 million
9. The Sentinel - $1.4 million
10. Goal! The Dream Begins - $1.2 million

Is it me or do I have the highest prediction for Just My Luck?

Poseidon 31 mil.
Just my luck 15 mil.

I'm wondering: when was the last time an over 1,000-theater release never ever appeared on moviefone? Goal! looks certain to achieve that.

Hoot appeared on moviefone?

Yes.

1. Poseidon - 26.0
2. Mission: Impossible 3 - 22.9
3. Just My Luck - 11.2
4. RV - 7.0
5. Stick It - 3.5
6. United 93 - 2.9
7. Ice Age: THe Meltdown - 2.7
8. An American Haunting - 2.5
9. Scary Movie 4 - 1.6
10. Akeelah and the Bee - 1.5
11. Hoot - 1.5
12. Silent Hill - 1.4
13. The Sentinal - 1.1
-. Goal - 0.5

I made that Poseidon prediction before hearing about the sub-$20M reports. I probably would've lowered it to $17-18M.

And Goal is a case where being off by even 0.1 will cost you, so going as low as humanly possible sounds right. I'm guessing its Undiscovered, Part 2.

Hmm, now think I should've went with the flow concerning Poseidon. Stupid stubbordness.

Wow, people are going too high on Just My Luck, in my opinion. You will all be burned for it, I think. I'm afraid that even I went too high.

Mission: Impossible 3 - $23.7 million
Poseidon - $23.0 million
Just My Luck - $8.9 million
RV - $7.1 million
Stick It - $3.3 million
United 93 - $2.9 million
An American Haunting - $2.3 million
Akeelah and the Bee - $1.6 million
The Sentinel - $1.4 million
Goal - $0.8 million

PEACE, Mike.

Mission: Impossible 3 - $24.6 million
Poseidon - $36.3 million
Just My Luck - $14.0 million
RV - $7.3 million
Stick It - $2.8 million
United 93 - $2.7 million
An American Haunting - $2.2 million
Akeelah and the Bee - $1.8 million
The Sentinel - $1.4 million
Goal - $1.0 million

I'm worried about this weekend

1. M:I 3 - 24 million
2. Poseidon - 18 million
3. Just My Luck - 9 million
4. RV - 6.5 million
5. Stick It - 3 million
6. United 93 - 2.5 million
7. An American Haunting - 2.4 million
8. Akeelah and the Bee - 1.5 million
9. The Sentinel - 1.2 million
10. Goal .9 million (or less)

What a miserable weekend, especially the bottom half of the top 10.

Brandon's predictions:

1. Poseidon - 27.8
2. Mission: Impossible III - 21.4
3. Just My Luck - 11.5
4. RV - 7.4
5. United 93 - 3.1
6. Stick It - 3.2
7. An American Haunting - 2.8
8. Goal! The Dream Begins - 2.8
9. Akeelah and the Bee - 2.3
10. The Sentinel - 1.5

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/forecast/

Doesn't look too good this weekend. Goal in particular seems far too high. Maybe he knows something we don't?

Based on Yahoo! and crowd reports, it's highly unlikely that he'll do well, unless Goal! surprises somehow. JML is heading for a sub-$10 million weekend and Poseidon won't make that much either. And, he's too low on M:I-3.

Why is 3.1 bigger than 3.2?