Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
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 Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides grossed 692.38 million yen ($8.62 million) this weekend with 435,821 admissions, bringing it's 17 day total to 5,033,710,000 yen ($62.71 million) and 3,302,634 admissions. The avg. ticket price for the film is now 1,524 yen ($19.00). https://twitter.com/#!/moviewalker_ce/s ... 5965587456Once again, it's no record total in local currency or admissions, but thanks to the exchange rate, it does register the third highest three week total ever in USD.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 06, 2011 3:30 am |
 
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates Pirates of the Caribbean 4:2day total - Y1,209,024,468 ($14.76m), 773,184 admissions 3day total - Y1,518,843,416 ($18.57m), 986,455 admissions 10day total - Y3,606,704,539 ($44.72 million), 2,354,111 admissions 17day total - Y5,033,710,000 ($62.71 million), 3,302,634 admissions Summer 2010 Big 3:Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
51day total - Y6,679,149,400 ($79.3m), 5.15m admissions
58day total - Y6,881,105,505 ($81.5m), 5,364,137 admissions
65day total - Y7,011,056,600 ($83.3m), 5,471,451 admissions
72day total - Y7,117,688,790 ($84.5m), 5.55m admissions
79day total - Y7,154,807,909 ($84.8m), 5.6m admissions
86day total - Y7,175,540,804 ($85.2m), 5.63m admissions
Final Total - Y7.31 billion ($88.45m), 5.7m admissions
Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions
44day total - Y9,320,510,372 ($110.6m), 6.3m admissions
51day total - Y9,982,504,148 ($118.2m), 6,800,988 admissions
52day total - Y10,056,769,750 ($119.5m), 6,829,569m admissions
58day total - Y10,358,746,140 ($123m), 7m admissions
65day total - Y10,567,272,351 ($125.3m), 7.15m admissions
72day total - Y10,618,153,942 ($125.8m), 7.2m admissions
79day total - Y10,661,650,365 ($126.5m), 7.23m admissions
Final Total - Y10.8b ($130.68m), 7.3m admissions
The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions
37day total - Y7,391,062,220 ($87.8m), 6.1m admissions
44day total - Y8,033,861,171 ($95.1m), 6,754,168 admissions
51day total - Y8,427,779,555 ($100.1m), 7,086,428 admissions
58day total - Y8,648,923,170 ($102.9m), 7,219,659 admissions
65day total - Y8,807,591,800 ($104.3m), 7.325m admissions
72day total - Y8,984,134,955 ($106.7m), 7.45m admissions
Final Total - Y9.25b ($111.93m), 7.7m admissions
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 06, 2011 3:48 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates Definitely very impressive. If only it could have legs as good as TS3 it could have topped Avatar 
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| Mon Jun 06, 2011 6:10 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 06, 2011 11:59 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates All-Time USD Chart
1. Spirited Away - $234 million
2. Titanic - $202 million
3. Howl's Moving Castle - $190 million
4. Avatar - $188.76 million
5. Ponyo on a Cliff by the Sea - $172.15 million
6. Princess Mononoke - $165 million
7. Bayside Shakedown 2: Save the Rainbow Bridge! - $164.5 million
8. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $152.9 million
9. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - $142.79 million
10. Alice in Wonderland - $142.78 million
11. Toy Story 3 - $130.68 million
12. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $121.6 million
13. The Last Samurai - $119.27 million
14. The Borrower Arrietty - $111.93 million
15. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $102.46 million
16. Finding Nemo - $102.44 million
17. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - $100.2 million
2011 will add at least two new films to the $100 million club, Pirates 4 (looks to land in 14th) and Potter 7.2, and possibly a third in Kokuriko Hill.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 06, 2011 12:33 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Actuals Weekend Actuals
June 4-5, 2011 1 1 6億9238万3078円 ($8,660,743) -37% 50億3317万0433円 ($62,957,914) 802 3 ﾊﾟｲﾚｰﾂ･ｵﾌﾞ･ｶﾘﾋﾞｱﾝ 生命の泉 (Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides) 2 - 2億0415万1700円 ($2,551,896) .*% 2億0415万1700円 ($2,551,896) 303 1 パラダイス・キス (Paradise Kiss)3 2 1億8609万4601円 ($2,326,182) -39% 7億5410万9402円 ($9,426,368) 277 2 プリンセス トヨトミ (Princess Toyotomi) 4 - 1億8073万5100円 ($2,259,188) .*% 1億8073万5100円 ($2,259,188) 320 1 もし高校野球の女子マネージャー～ (What if a Female Manager of a High School Baseball Team Read Drucker's "Management"?)5 3 1億1861万2230円 ($1,482,653) -30% 17億3388万7396円 ($21,673,592) 323 4 ブラック・スワン (Black Swan) 6 4 億7412万6158円 ($901,577) -46% 2億9879万2198円 ($3,734,902) 279 2 手塚治虫のブッダ 赤い砂漠よ！～ (Osamu Tezuka's Buddha Red Desert! Beautiful!) 7 6 億5472万9647円 ($684,121) -49% 2億9958万5022円 ($3,744,813) 218 2 アジャストメント (The Adjustment Bureau) 8 - 億5240万1451円 ($655,018) .*% 億5240万1451円 ($655,018 22 1 劇場版 戦国BASARA-the last party- (Sengoku Basara - The Last Party)9 5 億4942万5075円 ($617,813) -55% 12億7548万5920円 ($15,943,574) 316 5 岳 -ガク- (Gaku) 10 7 億2742万8612円 ($342,858) -48% 27億0201万9203円 ($33,775,240) 315 7 GANTZ PERFECT ANSWER
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Wed Jun 08, 2011 12:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Wed Jun 08, 2011 12:36 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); 2011 Charts Updated Top 10 Opening Weekends of 2011 by GrossUSD
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - $14,795,098 (2-day) / $18,574,198 (3-day), 800 screens - $18,494 psa
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - $11,230,161 (2-day) / $14,476,812 (3-day), 872 screens - $12,879 psa
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - $7,291,734 (2-day), 410 screens - $17,785 psa
4. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - $6,784,687 (2-day), 375 screens - $18,092 psa
5. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) $6,704,367 (2-day), 332 screens - $20,139 psa
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - $6,401,968 (2-day) / $11,440,827 (5-day), 440 screens - $14,550 psa
7. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - $5,596,686 (2-day) / $6,630,405 (3-day), 907 screens - $6,171 psa
8. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - $5,445,080 (2-day), 368 screens - $14,769 psa
9. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - $4,418,878 (2-day), 274 screens - $16,127 psa
10. The Tourist (Sony) - $3,753,996 (2-day), 338 screens - $11,074 psa
YEN
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 1,209,024,468 (2-day) / 1,518,843,416 (3-day)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 937,409,329 (2-day) / 1,176,047,329 (3-day)
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 592,823,905 (2-day)
4. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 555,151,131 (2-day)
5. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 551,160,812 (2-day)
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 528,215,385 (2-day) / 943,963,032 (5-day)
7. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 456,552,003 (2-day) / 540,659,903 (3-day)
8. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - 446,318,074 (2-day)
9. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - 370,124,396 (2-day)
10. The Tourist (Sony) - 307,704,618 (2-day) 1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 773,184 (2-day) / 986,455 (3-day)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 766,633 (2-day) / 961,035 (3-day)
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 454,220 (2-day)
4. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 453,618 (2-day)
5. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 423,675 (2-day)
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 412,129 (2-day) / 791,012 (5-day)
7. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - 399,139 (2-day)
8. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - 325,667 (2-day)
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 312,850 (2-day) / 370,024 (3-day)
10. OOO, Den-O, All Riders: Let's Go Kamen Riders (TOEI) - 261,502 (2-day) / 360,065 (3-day) USD
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.) - $83 million
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - $62.96 million (3 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - $49.71 million
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - $41.02 million
5. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - $40.85 million (13 weeks in release)
6. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - $38.46 million (8 weeks in release)
7. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - $38.34 million
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - $33.78 million (7 weeks in release)
9. Tangled (Walt Disney) - $31.23 million
10. The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - $31.04 million
YEN
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.) - 6.80 billion yen
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 5.03 billion yen (3 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 4.04 billion yen
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 3.40 billion yen
5. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - 3.31 billion yen (13 weeks in release)
6. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - 3.14 billion yen
7. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 3.08 billion yen (8 weeks in release)
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 2.70 billion yen (7 weeks in release)
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 2.61 billion yen
10. Tangled (Walt Disney) - 2.54 billion yen 1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 5.50 million
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 3.30 million (3 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 3.24 million
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 2.74 million
5. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 2.60 million (8 weeks in release)
6. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - 2.58 million (13 weeks in release)
7. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - 2.46 million
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 2.17 million (7 weeks in release)
9. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops - The New Age (Toho) - 2.16 million
10. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 1.74 million
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Wed Jun 08, 2011 12:43 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Actuals Excellent performance for Black Swan. Any chance it'll crawl to $30 million?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Jun 08, 2011 9:58 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Actuals I didn't know that Tangled already passed Narnia 3,, that's great 
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Wed Jun 08, 2011 1:19 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Actuals Dr. Lecter wrote: Excellent performance for Black Swan. Any chance it'll crawl to $30 million? Black Swan should reach $30 million by the end of the month. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Wed Jun 08, 2011 7:31 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Forecast June 11-12, 2011
Weekend Forecast
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) 475-525 million yen, Week 4
2. X-Men: First Class (Fox) 175-225 million yen, NEW
3. Gokaiger Goseiger Super Sentai 199 Hero Great Battle (TOEI) 150-200 million yen, NEW
4. Princess Toyotomi (Toho) 120-130 million yen, Week 3
5. Paradise Kiss (Warner Bros.) 110-120 million yen, Week 2
6. Hoshi Mamoru Inu (Toho) 100-110 million yen, NEW
7. Black Swan (Fox) 95-105 million yen, Week 5
8. Samurai Sheath (Shochiku) 80-90 million yen, NEW
9. What if a Female Manager of a High School Baseball Team Read Drucker's "Management"? (Toho) 75-85 million yen, Week 2
10. Red Riding Hood (Warner Bros.), 50-60 million yen, NEW
Pirates 4 should cross 6 billion yen this weekend with 6.1/6.2 billion yen ($76 million).
Don't expect much from X-Men. All the previous films didn't do much, and Wolverine didn't even reach 1 billion yen total. The Last Stand was the highest grossing of the franchise with 1.53 billion yen.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Thu Jun 09, 2011 10:44 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Forecast Saturday Data from the Usual Locations
Openers
Increases/Decreases when compared to Management (140,000 admissions; 180 million yen) last weekend:
X-Men: First Class (+6.9%)
Gokaiger Goseiger Super Sentai 199 Hero Great Battle (+82.6%)
Hoshi Mamoru Inu (-5.1%)
Samurai Sheath (-15.3%)
Red Riding Hood (-47.4%)
X-Men: First Class should open with about 150,000 admissions; 200 million yen ($2.5 million). Comparable to Wolverine, which went on to miss 1 billion yen total.
Gokaiger Goseiger, 225-250,000 admissions, will have much lower ticket prices than Management, so it's more difficult to project a number. But with such a large increase over Management's opening last weekend. I'll go with 275 million yen ($3.4 million) to take second this weekend.
Hoshi Mamoru Inu is looking at about 140 million yen ($1.8 million).
Samurai Sheath 115 million yen ($1.4 million); Red Riding Hood 75 million yen (almost $1 million).
Holdovers
Increases/Decreases when compared to last Saturday:
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (-8.1%)
Paradise Kiss (-13.4%)
What if a Female Manager of a High School Baseball Team Read Drucker's "Management"? (-12.1%)
Princess Toyotomi (-23.8%)
Black Swan (-44.2%)
Sengoku Basara - The Last Party (-52.6%)
Pirates 4 will likely gross over 600 million yen ($7.5 million) this weekend with another possible single digit drop (!), allowing it to cruise past 6 billion yen ($75 million) on Sunday now with about 6.2 billion yen ($77 million).
Great holds for Paradise Kiss, Management, and Toyotomi, too. Sengoku Basara will see an expected 50% drop or more this weekend.
Black Swan's drop is concerning, and I can only guess it's a combination of X-Men being from Fox, and possible screen loss.
Overall, a very strong weekend. Last weekend's drops were a bit harsh all around, so this weekend is making up for it based on the Saturday data.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jun 11, 2011 12:48 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Saturday Report Pirates of the Caribbean 4
Actual
2day total - Y1,209,024,468 ($14.76m), 773,184 admissions
3day total - Y1,518,843,416 ($18.57m), 986,455 admissions
10day total - Y3,606,704,539 ($44.72 million), 2,354,111 admissions
17day total - Y5,033,170,433 ($62.96 million), 3,302,634 admissions
My Projections
24day total - Y6,200,000,000 ($77 million), 4,050,000 admissions
31day total - Y7,100,000,000 ($88 million), 4,650,000 admissions
38day total - Y7,700,000,000 ($96 million), 5,050,000 admissions (Andalusia; Super 8)
45day total - Y8,100,000,000 ($101 million), 5,400,000 admissions
52day total - Y8,400,000,000 ($105 million), 5,500,000 admissions
Day 58 (Harry Potter, Pokemon, Studio Ghibli)
From there it becomes difficult, not knowing how much it falls when Harry Potter takes it's 3D screens. In the past, event 3D films drop over 70% (Avatar, Alice, Toy Story 3, Umizaru 3, etc) when another one opens, so a similar result is likely.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jun 11, 2011 1:30 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6707
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Saturday Report it is dropping < 10% over the weekend but overall weekly drop seem to be in low 20's. Is that a normal trend. Also from a 14M week you are predicting < 30M over next 5 weeks. Without much competition cant it hold better?
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2011 1:40 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Saturday Report Keyser Söze wrote: it is dropping < 10% over the weekend but overall weekly drop seem to be in low 20's. Is that a normal trend. Also from a 14M week you are predicting < 30M over next 5 weeks. Without much competition cant it hold better? I usually play it safe when predicting, and that's the case above, too. So always keep that in mind when I post predictions. Personally, I think it'll do a bit better than what I posted. I like to be surprised by bigger figures when they're available.  It could be as high as 6.4 billion yen ($80 million) after this weekend, meaning it would go something like (in billion yen): 6.4 > 7.4 > 8.2 > 8.7 > 9.0 ($112 million) before Potter opens. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jun 11, 2011 1:45 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6707
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Saturday Report Thanks Corpse. Its better to be conservative for sure. So best case you see sub 115M finish.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2011 1:50 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Forecast Weekend Data from the Usual Locations
Openers
Increases/Decreases when compared to Management (140,000 admissions; 180 million yen) last weekend:
X-Men: First Class (-12.1%)
Gokaiger Goseiger Super Sentai 199 Hero Great Battle (+80.2%)
Hoshi Mamoru Inu (-15.9%)
Samurai Sheath (-25.0%)
Red Riding Hood (-46.4%)
Disappointing for X-Men: First Class. This suggests admissions will only be around 125,000, meaning an opening weekend barely over 150 million yen ($1.9 million).
Gokaiger Goseiger should have about 225,000 admissions, so 260 million yen ($3.2 million) or so.
Hoshi Mamoru Inu may even edge X-Men out, as it's looking at like 120,000 admissions for 140 million yen ($1.8 million).
Samurai Sheath 100 million yen ($1.2 million); Red Riding Hood 75 million yen (almost $1 million).
Holdovers
Increases/Decreases when compared to last Weekend:
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (-10.9%)
Paradise Kiss (-10.8%)
What if a Female Manager of a High School Baseball Team Read Drucker's "Management"? (-16.9%)
Princess Toyotomi (-22.9%)
Black Swan (-44.6%)
Sengoku Basara - The Last Party (-43.4%)
Pirates 4 is still targeting over 600 million yen ($7.5 million) for the weekend, and 6.2 billion yen ($76 million) or better after Sunday.
Even better holds for Paradise Kiss, Management, and Toyotomi.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 10:26 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Early Weekend Report THR says $6/$74.5 million for Pirates 4, but I think that's an underestimate like last weekend. Rankings by location (Toho, Warner, Shikoku): TOHO1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) Week 4 2. Gokaiger Goseiger Super Sentai 199 Hero Great Battle (TOEI) NEW3. Princess Toyotomi (Toho) Week 3 4. X-Men: First Class (Fox) NEW5. What if a Female Manager of a High School Baseball Team Read Drucker's "Management"? (Toho) Week 2 6. Hoshi Mamoru Inu (Toho) NEW7. Paradise Kiss (Warner Bros.) Week 2 8. Samurai Sheath (Shochiku) NEW9. Black Swan (Fox) Week 5 10. AKB48 Live! Concert Cinema Broadcast June 11, 2011 (Toho) NEWhttp://www.tohotheater.jp/index.htmlWarner and Shikoku will update their Top 10 later, but Estimates have been released before then the past couple weeks. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:30 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Early Weekend Report As I suspected, THR was underestimating the weekend and total for Pirates 4. It only dropped 5% this past weekend. Weekend Article is being written right now.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:10 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Rankings _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:28 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Rankings June 11-12
Weekend Estimate for Pirates:
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 657.81 million yen ($8.20 million) -4.8%; 6,229,460,000 yen ($77.69 million), 4,079,988 admissions 24-Day total.
THR hasn't reported such an inaccurate number in a long time (to be fair, perhaps it wasn't their doing). Some comparisons for Pirates in my next post tonight.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 9:41 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); OST Numbers Man, the Japanese love them some Johnny Depp.
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 11:09 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); Weekend Estimates Yes, they do. Biggest Fourth Weekends Over the Past 5 Years:Ponyo on a Cliff by the Sea: 755.53 million yen Pirates of the Caribbean 3: 683.47 million yen Pirates of the Caribbean 4: 657.81 million yen Rookies: 618.57 million yen Toy Story 3: 617.13 million yen Umizaru 3: 543.99 million yen Alice in Wonderland: 521.65 million yen Pirates of the Caribbean 2: 518.52 million yen Avatar: 510.16 million yen Pirates 4 is the biggest in USD, however. _____________________________________________________________ Pirates of the Caribbean 4:2day total - Y1,209,024,468 ($14.76m), 773,184 admissions 3day total - Y1,518,843,416 ($18.57m), 986,455 admissions 10day total - Y3,606,704,539 ($44.72m), 2,354,111 admissions 17day total - Y5,033,170,433 ($62.96m), 3,302,634 admissions 24day total - Y6,229,460,000 ($77.69m), 4,079,988 admissions Summer 2010 Big 3:Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
51day total - Y6,679,149,400 ($79.3m), 5.15m admissions
58day total - Y6,881,105,505 ($81.5m), 5,364,137 admissions
65day total - Y7,011,056,600 ($83.3m), 5,471,451 admissions
72day total - Y7,117,688,790 ($84.5m), 5.55m admissions
79day total - Y7,154,807,909 ($84.8m), 5.6m admissions
86day total - Y7,175,540,804 ($85.2m), 5.63m admissions
Final Total - Y7.31 billion ($88.45m), 5.7m admissions
Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions
44day total - Y9,320,510,372 ($110.6m), 6.3m admissions
51day total - Y9,982,504,148 ($118.2m), 6,800,988 admissions
52day total - Y10,056,769,750 ($119.5m), 6,829,569m admissions
58day total - Y10,358,746,140 ($123m), 7m admissions
65day total - Y10,567,272,351 ($125.3m), 7.15m admissions
72day total - Y10,618,153,942 ($125.8m), 7.2m admissions
79day total - Y10,661,650,365 ($126.5m), 7.23m admissions
Final Total - Y10.8b ($130.68m), 7.3m admissions
The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions
37day total - Y7,391,062,220 ($87.8m), 6.1m admissions
44day total - Y8,033,861,171 ($95.1m), 6,754,168 admissions
51day total - Y8,427,779,555 ($100.1m), 7,086,428 admissions
58day total - Y8,648,923,170 ($102.9m), 7,219,659 admissions
65day total - Y8,807,591,800 ($104.3m), 7.325m admissions
72day total - Y8,984,134,955 ($106.7m), 7.45m admissions
Final Total - Y9.25b ($111.93m), 7.7m admissions _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 11:21 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); OST Numbers Weekend Estimate for X-Men: First Class - 172,418,800 ($2.15 million), 135,301 admissions.
Compared to it's predecessors:
X-Men: The Last Stand - 276,596,973 ($2.37 million)
X-Men Origins: Wolverine - 176,857,331 ($1.91 million) / 232,615,649 ($2.51 million) (3-Day)
With the exchange rate being much, much more favorable right now than in 2006 or 2009, First Class has an 50/50 shot at $10 million total.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Tue Jun 14, 2011 1:33 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office (2011); 2011 Charts Updated Top 10 Opening Weekends of 2011 by GrossUSD
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - $14,795,098 (2-day) / $18,574,198 (3-day), 800 screens - $18,494 psa
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - $11,230,161 (2-day) / $14,476,812 (3-day), 872 screens - $12,879 psa
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - $7,291,734 (2-day), 410 screens - $17,785 psa
4. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - $6,784,687 (2-day), 375 screens - $18,092 psa
5. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) $6,704,367 (2-day), 332 screens - $20,139 psa
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - $6,401,968 (2-day) / $11,440,827 (5-day), 440 screens - $14,550 psa
7. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - $5,596,686 (2-day) / $6,630,405 (3-day), 907 screens - $6,171 psa
8. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - $5,445,080 (2-day), 368 screens - $14,769 psa
9. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - $4,418,878 (2-day), 274 screens - $16,127 psa
10. The Tourist (Sony) - $3,753,996 (2-day), 338 screens - $11,074 psa
YEN
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 1,209,024,468 (2-day) / 1,518,843,416 (3-day)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 937,409,329 (2-day) / 1,176,047,329 (3-day)
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 592,823,905 (2-day)
4. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 555,151,131 (2-day)
5. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 551,160,812 (2-day)
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 528,215,385 (2-day) / 943,963,032 (5-day)
7. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 456,552,003 (2-day) / 540,659,903 (3-day)
8. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - 446,318,074 (2-day)
9. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - 370,124,396 (2-day)
10. The Tourist (Sony) - 307,704,618 (2-day) 1. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 773,184 (2-day) / 986,455 (3-day)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 766,633 (2-day) / 961,035 (3-day)
3. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 454,220 (2-day)
4. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 453,618 (2-day)
5. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 423,675 (2-day)
6. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 412,129 (2-day) / 791,012 (5-day)
7. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops: The New Age (Toho) - 399,139 (2-day)
8. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider OOO & W Featuring Skull: Movie War Core (TOEI) - 325,667 (2-day)
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 312,850 (2-day) / 370,024 (3-day)
10. OOO, Den-O, All Riders: Let's Go Kamen Riders (TOEI) - 261,502 (2-day) / 360,065 (3-day) USD
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.) - $83 million
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - $77.69 million (4 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - $49.71 million
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - $41.02 million
5. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - $40.85 million
6. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - $38.52 million (9 weeks in release)
7. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - $38.34 million
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - $34.01 million (8 weeks in release)
9. Tangled (Walt Disney) - $31.23 million
10. The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - $31.04 million
YEN
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.) - 6.80 billion yen
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 6.23 billion yen (4 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 4.04 billion yen
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 3.40 billion yen
5. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - 3.31 billion yen
6. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - 3.14 billion yen
7. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 3.10 billion yen (9 weeks in release)
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 2.74 billion yen (8 weeks in release)
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 2.61 billion yen
10. Tangled (Walt Disney) - 2.54 billion yen 1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I (Warner Bros.) - 5.50 million
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Walt Disney) - 4.08 million (4 weeks in release)
3. Space Battleship Yamato (Toho) - 3.24 million
4. Gantz Part I (Toho) - 2.74 million
5. Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (Toho) - 2.61 million (9 weeks in release)
6. SP: The Motion Picture - Revolution (Toho) - 2.58 million
7. Partners, The Movie 2 (TOEI) - 2.46 million
8. Gantz Part II: Perfect Answer (Toho) - 2.19 million (8 weeks in release)
9. Doraemon: Nobita and the Steel Troops - The New Age (Toho) - 2.16 million
10. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader (Fox) - 1.74 million Highlights: -Pirates 4 will become the No.1 film of 2011 in Gross probably on Friday (day 29 in release), if not, then Saturday. No.1 in Admissions will still take a few more weeks. -Detective Conan 15 continues it's strong run, having already become the highest grossing film of the franchise in USD. $40 million will be a challenge, but still a possibility.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Tue Jun 14, 2011 9:48 pm |
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