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 Flight of the Phoenix Prediction Thread 
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College Boy Z

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Post Flight of the Phoenix Prediction Thread
Flight of the Phoenix

Release Date: December 22, 2004
Studio: 20th Century Fox
Director: John Moore
Screenwriter: Scott Frank, Edward Burns
Starring: Dennis Quaid, Giovanni Ribisi, Tyrese Gibson, Miranda Otto, Hugh Laurie
Genre: Action, Adventure
Official Website: FlightofthePhoenix.com

Plot Summary: An action-adventure in which a group of air crash survivors - cast-offs from society who will never be missed - are stranded in the Mongolian desert with no hope of rescue. As they attempt to build a new plane from the wreckage of the old one, in hopes of flying back to civilization, they experience a rebirth of their own.

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I think this movie looks really good. It has a good cast and a great release date, and positive reactions to the trailer. It opens on the same day as Meet The Fockers, so it can't have a huge opening, though I doubt it would have had one anyways. I see Master & Commander numbers for this one, but a smaller total.

Opening- $23.8 million
Total- $83.3 million


Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:03 pm
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Opening weekend - $18.8 million

Total gross - $70 million

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:21 pm
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This reminds me of the move "Alive"

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:38 pm
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Opening: $13.0 million
Total: $31 million

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:02 pm
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Opening: $12.9
Total: $40.0

Desert movie in the winter....yes! :wink: It will do OK, but I don't think it will do phenomenal. Winter is waaay too crowded.


Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:51 pm
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sorry i know nothing about this movie!!!

its there a trailer yet??


Thu Oct 28, 2004 2:10 pm
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College Boy Z

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matatonio, there's a trailer at the offical site.


Thu Oct 28, 2004 2:56 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
matatonio, there's a trailer at the offical site.


oh OK! thanks!! :D


Thu Oct 28, 2004 2:58 pm
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now we know
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Looks good from what ive seen:

Opening: $15 Million

Total: $56 Million

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 2:59 pm
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To me it looks really good. Giovanni Ribisi's character looks really interesting, thing is, I don't think it will grab that many people...

I'm going to go with 17.8/52


Thu Oct 28, 2004 3:00 pm
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Teh Mexican
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ts looks very good!!
well i think i know what the ending is!!easy!!!

$15.2M/$68M


Thu Oct 28, 2004 3:14 pm
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I personally think it looks kind of silly. I doubt I'll go to see it, unless the reviews are really good.

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 4:30 pm
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16/57

I'm interested in it, but I don't think as many other people will be.

It'll do better if they can make everyone forget that Quaid was in the disaster that was TDAT (pun intended)

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 7:30 pm
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Saw the trailer again tonight. I've changed my views slightly, as it looked like it might be good.

I'll up my prediction to: $19 million opening, $75 million total.

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Thu Oct 28, 2004 10:27 pm
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$18.2m/$68m

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Sat Oct 30, 2004 12:30 pm
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A good idea for a movie a decent looking trailer but coming out the wrong time of the year look for Timeline or Paycheck type numbers, the holidays are for family and kids and Oscar movies, not much time for action...

10.5 / 39


Sat Oct 30, 2004 12:35 pm
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This film is being released on what is by far the best weekend of the year for legs. The multiplier will be at least 4, and will probably be abover 5. However, I don't think this film has much potential.

Open: 6m
Total: 34m
Multiplier: 5.67
Second week: +12% (It's almost certain to increase)


Sat Oct 30, 2004 6:41 pm
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About 40 million, I think.


Fri Nov 05, 2004 8:44 pm
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College Boy Z

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The Flight of the Phoenix has switched release dates. It is now bumped up to December 17, 2004. Any new predictions?

Opening: $20.0 million
Total: $65.0 million


Fri Dec 03, 2004 7:00 pm
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Opening: $8.1
Total: $36.0

Too much competition.


Fri Dec 03, 2004 7:28 pm
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I saw the original on cable a few weeks ago.

Interesting movie. Kinda boring though at times.


Fri Dec 03, 2004 7:33 pm
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No real change.

Open: 6m
Total: 33m
Multiplier: 5.5
Second week: -38%
Third Week: +19%


Fri Dec 03, 2004 7:50 pm
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Draughty

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18m
55m total.

It looks not too bad, but who wants to sit and watch a movie about people trying to rebuild a plane for 2 hours, unless I'm missing something more dramatic about it than that.


Fri Dec 03, 2004 9:21 pm
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Now it has to fight off The Aviator too. Meh. This is not gonna do too well.

$18m (5-day)/$52m

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Sat Dec 04, 2004 11:46 am
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Sbil

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This film will perform moderately, I think. I'd give it an $11M opening, with about a $45-50M total. It seems like it would behave like After the Sunset, but with better legs due to opening near Christmas.


Sat Dec 04, 2004 11:53 am
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