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 Theater Counts (Thanksgiving weekend) 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Theater Counts (Thanksgiving weekend)
New
Christmas with the Kranks 3,393
Alexander 2,445
A Very Long Engagement 4
Guerrilla: The Taking of Patty Hearst 4

Holdovers (Expanding)
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie 3,307 +95
National Treasure 3,243 +226
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason 2,473 +23
Finding Neverland 513 +456
Sideways 497 +218
Kinsey 188 +152

Holdovers (Steady)
The Polar Express 3,650

Holdovers (Declining)
The Incredibles 3,453 -230
After the Sunset 2,309 -510
Ray 1,500 -527
The Grudge 1,486 -626
Shall We Dance? 1,054 -481
Saw 1,043 -636
Shark Tale 512 -395
Friday Night Lights 337 -250
Alfie 279 -1,007
The Bourne Supremacy 139 -42


Last edited by xiayun on Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Tue Nov 23, 2004 5:03 pm
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College Boy Z

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Okay for Alexander. Atleast it's better than 2,300.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 5:05 pm
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Alexander has BOMB written all over it.

I project 75m total.

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Tue Nov 23, 2004 5:15 pm
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Yeah i rekon about $8,000 pta for Alexander, with a $19,000,000 weekend.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 6:37 pm
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I hope Alexander doesnt bomb :cry:

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Tue Nov 23, 2004 6:51 pm
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Extraordinary

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Polar Express is keeping all its theaters this week.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 7:30 pm
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All of the theater counts are up..

Finding Neverland was way overestimated.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:19 pm
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Sbil

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Post 
New
Christmas with the Kranks - 3,393
Alexander - 2,445

Holdovers
The Polar Express - 3,650 (no change)
The Incredibles - 3,453 (-230)
SpongeBob SquarePants - 3,307 (+95)
National Treasure - 3,243 (+226)
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - 2,473 (+23)
After the Sunset - 2,309 (-510)
Ray - 1,500 (-527)
The Grudge - 1,486 (-626)
Shall We Dance - 1,054 (-481)
Saw - 1,043 (-636)
Finding Neverland - 513 (+456)
Sideways - 497 (+218)
Kinsey - 188 (+152)

December 3 Estimates
Closer - 450+


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:29 pm
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College Boy Z

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Great increase for National Treasure, and good for Spongebob. Great opening for Kranks! :shock:


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:36 pm
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OK right now im looking at 4 $20M+ movies, i dont know about alexander! :?


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:42 pm
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Extraordinary

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matatonio wrote:
OK right now im looking at 4 $20M+ movies, i dont know about alexander! :?


I think Polar Express has a chance as well. I'm less and less certain about Alexander too.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:50 pm
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Teh Mexican
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xiayun wrote:
matatonio wrote:
OK right now im looking at 4 $20M+ movies, i dont know about alexander! :?


I think Polar Express has a chance as well. I'm less and less certain about Alexander too.


i think Polar Express will be short of the $20M, im predicting its going to be around $18.5M (a little increase)


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:52 pm
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Extraordinary

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Poor Alfie, but at least Closer is coming right up for Jude Law. Also House of Flying Daggers will be in 15 theaters next weekend. Should be interesting to track.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:59 pm
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College Boy Z

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I think Alexander can pull off atleast a $8,000 PTA. It should have about $18-22 for the weekend. The Polar Express was really impressive yesterday. Up 25% from last week. I also think it may be able to crack $20 million.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 10:00 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
I think Alexander can pull off atleast a $8,000 PTA. It should have about $18-22 for the weekend. The Polar Express was really impressive yesterday. Up 25% from last week. I also think it may be able to crack $20 million.


$8,000 may be a little strong, considering all the astonishingly bad buzz it is getting.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 10:50 pm
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Extraordinary

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Libs wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think Alexander can pull off atleast a $8,000 PTA. It should have about $18-22 for the weekend. The Polar Express was really impressive yesterday. Up 25% from last week. I also think it may be able to crack $20 million.


$8,000 may be a little strong, considering all the astonishingly bad buzz it is getting.


Agreed. The tone of all the reviews really worries me now. It's not like people are bashing it because they hate Oliver Stone or they think it's too long or boring or one particular aspect. The movie seems to be bad from the beginning to the end. The buzz from early general screening is terrible as well. This is one film that needs good reviews, and I don't see how it can survive and have any kind of legs.


Tue Nov 23, 2004 11:03 pm
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Alexander doesn't seem to be just bad, it seems to be a laughably horrendous Showgirls-like epic. I don't see how i can manage a $8,000 average. I'd be very happy about $7,000.


National Treasure is getting a good expansion. Look for it to drop less than 5% this weekend. The movie is pretty much a lock for $100 million in the USA and an assured hit overseas (it's being marketed the heck of, over here in Germany).

Another neat expansion for Sideways. I wonder if it'll ever reach 1,000 theatres, though. Hopefully it can somehow maintain a $5,000+ PTA this weekend. It needs to gross as much as it can to build up some monumentum for a possible Best Picture nomination.

Christmas with the Kranks is getting a predictably high theatre count and even the terrible reviews won't prevent it from making a very decent amount of money over the weekend.

Where is Seed of Chucky's theatre count? I wouldn't be surprised if it lost 1000+ theatres too.

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Wed Nov 24, 2004 1:45 pm
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i expected Polar to lose quite a few theaters this week, like 500 but its holding. I think it'll crack 20, just - 20,400,000


Wed Nov 24, 2004 3:21 pm
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I don't see it breaking $20 million this wekend, but it might get over $18 million. It is still a lock for $110+ million in my opinion.

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