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 Weekend Estimates - Top 12 
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Lords of Dogtown gets only $5.7 million for the weekend! Grrr, no freaking way. What a huge saturday drop.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:14 pm
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The Dark Knight
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The Longest Yard 26.1
Lords of Dogtown 5.7 (ouch)

Does anyone have a list of worst internal multipliers for a weekend? I bet LoD ranks pretty high up there.


Last edited by Jeff 42 on Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:14 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Either Sony is being modest or Lords of Dogtown is hugely frontloaded, because that's a 30% drop from Friday to Saturday and we're not even in the middle of summer yet.

If that holds up, this might be looking at a drop near 65% next weekend a finish of under $15M.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:18 pm
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Madoshi
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Given last weeks estimate accuracy on the parts of the various studios, I'm gonna take a wild guess here and say that SITH will end up #2 when the final numbers come out.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:19 pm
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Hatchling

Joined: Fri May 20, 2005 4:36 am
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I, too, think that Sith will end up as no 2 and TLY as no 3.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:23 pm
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Veteran
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Madagascar weekend IM (3.45) was lower than Sith (3.59).

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:28 pm
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Wallflower
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I knew LORDS OF DOGTOWN would drop on Saturday. I was predicting like 2.1 Million for Saturday though and a weekend of 6.5 Million. Oh well, happy to see it did worse :razz:.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:29 pm
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Horror Hound
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I predicted a 3,000 pta for DOGTOWN.

Thank god it crashed and burned, trailer was Lame.

Nice for SISTERHOOD, MADAGASCAR and LONGEST YARD.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:35 pm
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Extraordinary
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HAH! I believe I predicted 5.7 for Lords of Dogtown in the prediction thread for this weekend. Heh.
Wonder how Cinderella Man did...


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:41 pm
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Extraordinary

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Not a very good Saturday overall and lower IMs in general.

Lords of Dogtown's pattern is similar Dumb and Dumberer: http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/2003/DUMB2.php

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:46 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Highly annoying. The one film that I thought I had nailed, turns against me and screws my predictions over so I lose in Domestic vs. International.

Bleh. Everyone rush out and go see Lords of Dogtown today! :)

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:50 pm
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The Dark Knight
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xiayun wrote:
Not a very good Saturday overall and lower IMs in general.

Lords of Dogtown's pattern is similar Dumb and Dumberer: http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/2003/DUMB2.php


It's more similar to Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:52 pm
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SBD has this for saturday:

Madagascar - $12.1m
The Longest Yard - $10.8m
Sith - $10.7m
The Cinderella Man - $7.5m (+25%)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:53 pm
Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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MikeQ. wrote:
Highly annoying. The one film that I thought I had nailed, turns against me and screws my predictions over so I lose in Domestic vs. International.

Bleh. Everyone rush out and go see Lords of Dogtown today! :)

PEACE, Mike ;)


It did me in as well, and considering I increased it from 6.7 to 8.5 in the last moment... ](*,)

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:53 pm
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The Dark Knight
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Nebs wrote:
SBD has this for saturday:

Madagascar - $12.1m
The Longest Yard - $10.8m
Sith - $10.7m
The Cinderella Man - $7.5m (+25%)


Looks like $18.5-19m for Cinderalla Man's weekend.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:55 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Ouch for Lords of Dogtown. Infact, overall, a very weak Saturday for almost everything.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:55 pm
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Extraordinary

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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/ch ... =22&p=.htm

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:03 pm
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Horror Hound
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Cinderella Man- $18.6M


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:04 pm
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The Dark Knight
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Other than the top three and Crash, this turned out to be a pretty blah weekend.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:04 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Well there goes my derby....

What a disappointing number for Cinderella Man, for me personally.

And I officially hate Lords of Dogtown.

And The Interpreter.

And The Longest Yard.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:07 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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MikeQ. wrote:
Well there goes my derby....

What a disappointing number for Cinderella Man, for me personally.

And I officially hate Lords of Dogtown.

And The Interpreter.

And The Longest Yard.

PEACE, Mike ;)


LOL! Same here - why did I predict 26.6m (Derby) and 28m (Dom. vs. Int.) for Cinderella Man? :wink:


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:11 pm
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I was sure Madagascar was going to get closer to $30 million than that, but an inflated Friday prevented that....

Not that amazing for Cinderella Man. Traveling Pants did blah and just wow on Lords of Dogtown.

Kicking and Screaming is having a lot of trouble staying afloat.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:29 pm
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Speed Racer

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
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Skateboarding movies have a very esoteric audience it seems. Grind also dropped over 20% on its second day.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:46 pm
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Extraordinary

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Ragnarok wrote:
Skateboarding movies have a very esoteric audience it seems. Grind also dropped over 20% on its second day.


Good research. It will drop close to 65% next week for sure.

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:52 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates - Top 12
Nebs wrote:
[table][row color=#FFFF00]Rank[col color=#FFFF00]Movie[col color=#FFFF00]Gross[col color=#FFFF00]Drop[col color=#FFFF00][col color=#FFFF00]PTA[col color=#FFFF00]Total[row]1[col]Madagascar[col]$28.700.000[col]-39,23%[col][col]$6.929[col]$100.967.556[/table]

Wow... just noticed its total! That's really amazing that it already broke $100 million. I remember last year with the 3 $50 million openers in a row and that none of them could get $100 million by the end of their 2nd weekend. It was always close...


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:53 pm
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