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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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BJ wrote: MG Casey wrote: BJ wrote: Im a bit disapointed with Cinderella Man, I hope it has an increase in the 45%-50% range today  It'll break 20 million just with a 35% Saturday increase. what is your estimated sunday drop :???: The Terminal fell 30% in the middle of the summer. I was guessing 25% for the Sunday drop but that could be too light of a drop.
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:23 pm |
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Anonymous
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 BOM Numbers
[table][row color=#FFFF00]Rank[col color=#FFFF00]Movie[col color=#FFFF00]Gross[col color=#FFFF00]From Thursday[col color=#FFFF00]From Last Thursday[col color=#FFFF00]PTA[col color=#FFFF00]Total[row]1[col]The Longest Yard[col]$8.940.000[col]159,23%[col]-44,77%[col]$2.460[col]$78.644.254[row]2[col]Madagascar[col]$8.290.000[col]127,50%[col]-40,56%[col]$2.001[col]$80.557.556[row]3[col]Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith[col]$7.310.000[col]87,28%[col]-53,08%[col]$2.003[col]$290.114.625[row]4[col color=#C0C0C0]The Cinderella Man[col color=#C0C0C0]$6.000.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$2.134[col color=#C0C0C0]$6.000.000[row]5[col color=#C0C0C0]The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants[col color=#C0C0C0]$3.680.000[col color=#C0C0C0]129,09%[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$1.425[col color=#C0C0C0]$7.421.809[row]6[col color=#C0C0C0]Lords of Dogtown[col color=#C0C0C0]$2.600.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$1.394[col color=#C0C0C0]$2.600.000[row]7[col]Monster-In-Law[col]$1.680.000[col]94,00%[col]-43,81%[col]$555[col]$66.765.972[row]8[col]Crash[col]$970.000[col]99,01%[col]-23,96%[col]$735[col]$38.635.620[row]9[col]Kicking & Screaming[col]$678.000[col]58,71%[col]-52,38%[col]$369[col]$46.087.390[row]10[col]The Interpreter[col]$246.000[col]99,59%[col]-50,57%[col]$358[col]$69.852.605[row]11[col]Unleashed[col]$235.000[col]16,34%[col]-54,28%[col]$409[col]$22.949.006[row]12[col]Kingdom Of Heaven[col]$170.000[col]12,10%[col]-61,05%[col]$298[col]$45.680.324[/table]
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:26 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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MG Casey wrote: BJ wrote: MG Casey wrote: BJ wrote: Im a bit disapointed with Cinderella Man, I hope it has an increase in the 45%-50% range today It'll break 20 million just with a 35% Saturday increase. what is your estimated sunday drop :???: The Terminal fell 30% in the middle of the summer. I was guessing 25% for the Sunday drop but that could be too light of a drop. Well Seabiscuit only fell 17% _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:28 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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What the? BOM changed Monster-In-Law's number, so never mind what I said.
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:29 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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MG Casey wrote: sako wrote: MG Casey wrote: That's a huge change for Monster-In-Law and Kicking and Screaming. Not really. well not for K&S Yes it is in terms of %. It will go from $2.1 for the weekend to $2.4 just with that small change of Friday number. Monster-In-Law will go up about $0.6 for the weekend. You're joking, right? The change for Monster-In-Law is not huge at all, I don't know what you consider "huge". From $1.634m to $1.680m at BOM. Monster-In-Law is not going to increase much, if any, let alone $0.6 million from previous projections.
PEACE, Mike 
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:30 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I wonder which will have the worst internal weekend multiplier - Traveling Pants or Lords of Dogtown?
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:31 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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MG Casey wrote: I wonder which will have the worst internal weekend multiplier - Traveling Pants or Lords of Dogtown? Lords of Dogtown, easily. Not only is Dogtown just that "type" of film, but Traveling Pants opened on a wednesday, which already softens the Friday frontloadness and allows for a better Saturday.
PEACE, Mike
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:33 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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MG Casey wrote: I wonder which will have the worst internal weekend multiplier - Traveling Pants or Lords of Dogtown? My guess is dogtown, everyone who wanted to see it should have by now I expect a drop anywhere between 5%-20%. If that is true than I totaly got a 0% in the film  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:33 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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MikeQ. wrote: MG Casey wrote: I wonder which will have the worst internal weekend multiplier - Traveling Pants or Lords of Dogtown? Lords of Dogtown, easily. Not only is Dogtown just that "type" of film, but Traveling Pants opened on a wednesday, which already softens the Friday frontloadness and allows for a better Saturday. PEACE, Mike Wrong, this film will increase 20% at most today, chech out other films of its genre, even the well recieved simiar films increase between 5-15% on saturday. Most of the wednesday films acually fall on saturday, but I expect sisterhood to over come that. BJs estimated increase for saturday: 5%-10% _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 5:36 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Well madagascar is going ovcer 200m just like my exteme skill predicted \:D/ and the longest yard is headed well over 150m, I am aiming in the hope 180m range _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 6:07 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I like BOM's numbers better.  Looks like The Interpreter will finish right between 0.8 and 0.9M. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 7:03 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Libs wrote:
I'm not saying it was bad, I just don't think it's becoming some word-of-mouth hit or anything.
But you were piling on TLY before it came out yet in the end you still gave it a solid B. If it can turn haters like you around, why wont it have some good WOM?
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 7:24 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote: I thought Cinderella Man wouldn't do huge, since it is about boxing... but even then I predicted high.
I so told you guys on Madagascar. I was the ONLY one who predicting over $30 million for it! HA! And, you also predicted, what? $22 million for Revenge of the Sith? :wink:
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 8:13 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Oh, and what I meant by "so good" for The Longest Yard was that it was a good movie, not a technically brilliant film...
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 8:16 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jun 04, 2005 10:12 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BOG's Sith estimate sucks big time
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:16 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3213
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Remember, TLY will likely increase on Saturday. Don't count it out of the #1 spot. I think it will be less than a million difference between Madagascar and TLY with TLY winning out.
_________________
I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:48 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Longest Yard needs to have a 3.37x weekend multiplier to achieve $30 million this weekend (based on BOM's number of $8.9 million). It's not impossible, considering that it's going to have a better drop this weekend than Bruce Almighty, Friday was dead slow, so Saturday should see large increases (hopefully...), and Bruce Almighty had a 3.38x multplier.
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:55 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: The Longest Yard needs to have a 3.37x weekend multiplier to achieve $30 million this weekend (based on BOM's number of $8.9 million). It's not impossible, considering that it's going to have a better drop this weekend than Bruce Almighty, Friday was dead slow, so Saturday should see large increases (hopefully...), and Bruce Almighty had a 3.38x multplier. BJs Estimates:
1. Madagascar - 32m
2. The Longest Yard - 30m
3. Sith - 29m _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:58 am |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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I see this happening.
Madagascar
Friday - $8.29m
Saturday - $12.43m (+50%)
Sunday - $9.94m (-20%)
Total - $30.66m
The Longest Yard
Friday - $8.94m
Saturday - $11.17m (+25%)
Sunday - $8.57m (-23.2%)
Total - $28.68m
Revenge of the Sith
Friday - $7.31m
Saturday - $12.06m (+65%)
Sunday - $9.04m (-25%)
Total - $28.41m
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 3:46 am |
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Amos
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm
Posts: 1585
Location: New Zealand
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BJ wrote: BOG's Sith estimate sucks big time Hmm...I was thinking $25m when I was expecting a 6.6m friday. After 7.3, 24-26 is a very low projection.
_________________
Cut My Milk!
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 4:10 am |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Amos wrote: BJ wrote: BOG's Sith estimate sucks big time Hmm...I was thinking $25m when I was expecting a 6.6m friday. After 7.3, 24-26 is a very low projection. Yeah even BOP has it doing $28.3m.
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 4:13 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Ivan K wrote: Once again, N. American audiences prove themselves to be the idiots that they are. 
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 4:33 am |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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i wouldn't be surprised if the increases today are pretty low since the friday increases were higher than expected.
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 10:43 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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sako wrote: i wouldn't be surprised if the increases today are pretty low since the friday increases were higher than expected. I think so too. The increases will be similar to last year. Around 50% for most except for TLY which could be around 10-20%.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sun Jun 05, 2005 10:47 am |
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