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 Thursday Numbers 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Thursday Numbers
1 STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH $3,903,255 -2.5% / $1,066 $282,804,625
2 MADAGASCAR $3,643,923 -3.5% / $882 $72,267,556
3 THE LONGEST YARD $3,448,657 -5.9% / $949 $69,704,254
4 THE SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS $1,606,377 -24.8% / $635 $3,741,809
5 MONSTER-IN-LAW $866,000 (estimate) 2.4% / $268 $65,085,972
6 CRASH $487,406 1.9% / $290 $37,665,620
7 KICKING AND SCREAMING $427,195 -0.2% / $144 $45,409,390
8 UNLEASHED $202,000 -2.4% / $142 $22,714,006
9 KINGDOM OF HEAVEN $151,654 4.1% / $114 $45,510,324
10 THE INTERPRETER $123,255 -6.9% / $105 $69,606,605
11 HOUSE OF WAX $119,616 0.4% / $83 $30,247,299

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:44 pm
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Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:46 pm
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Extraordinary

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Traveling Pants will have trouble getting 10M this weekend.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:46 pm
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Extraordinary
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OUCH!! Bad drop for Sisterhood.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:46 pm
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Extraordinary

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baumer72 wrote:
Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.


Yeah, a little unusual for a Thursday. Can't think of a reason.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:47 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Again decent numbers overall. Mostly small declines which is expected, though I am a bit suprised by the decline of Sisterhood. Which I suppose is typical of a Wednesday opening but with the numbers low like that I expected a better hold.

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1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
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5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m


Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:48 pm
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Last year, the top 9 movies dropped on this day too.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 3:49 pm
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Terrible drop for Sisterhood. Even my $12 million prediction is too high.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:00 pm
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jb007 wrote:
Last year, the top 9 movies dropped on this day too.


Yea, but didn't Clones and Menace increase slightly on the same day of their run?

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:01 pm
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baumer72 wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Last year, the top 9 movies dropped on this day too.


Yea, but didn't Clones and Menace increase slightly on the same day of their run?


AOTC increased and TPM dropped. I would pay more attention to last year than 2002.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:07 pm
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xiayun wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.


Yeah, a little unusual for a Thursday. Can't think of a reason.

Everything is still leveling off from Monday.

I thought this week's dailies would be pretty close to last year's.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:10 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
xiayun wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.


Yeah, a little unusual for a Thursday. Can't think of a reason.

Everything is still leveling off from Monday.

I thought this week's dailies would be pretty close to last year's.


Thursdays normally fall, don't they? I thought the other week when they rose was the anomaly.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:29 pm
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Extraordinary

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wanderer wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
xiayun wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.


Yeah, a little unusual for a Thursday. Can't think of a reason.

Everything is still leveling off from Monday.

I thought this week's dailies would be pretty close to last year's.


Thursdays normally fall, don't they? I thought the other week when they rose was the anomaly.


No, normally, holdovers increase on Tuesday and Thursday and drop on Wednesday.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:34 pm
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Star Trek XI

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xiayun wrote:
wanderer wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
xiayun wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Can someone explain these drops? I'm a little surprised with all of them.


Yeah, a little unusual for a Thursday. Can't think of a reason.

Everything is still leveling off from Monday.

I thought this week's dailies would be pretty close to last year's.


Thursdays normally fall, don't they? I thought the other week when they rose was the anomaly.


No, normally, holdovers increase on Tuesday and Thursday and drop on Wednesday.


I was looking at the dailies for some of the big blockbuster movies in the recent years and it seems to be split 50/50 as far as increases on Thursday go. So it probably depends on quirky factors like school closings, weather, etc.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:48 pm
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I was thinking of going with 9m-10m in the derby for Sisterhood. I regret that I increased it over 10m.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 4:48 pm
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Well, still, teh numbers are a little low, but nothing too shocking. I just checked last years numbers and the drops are quite conssitent with lst year.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 5:16 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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One thing, Thursday increases are more common during the school year then the summer.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 5:28 pm
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Star Trek XI

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DP07 wrote:
One thing, Thursday increases are more common during the school year then the summer.


Oh, that explains it then! Although I would have thought the opposite.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 5:46 pm
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Didn't really know where to post this, but I thought this was an interesting article (from CNN) on Crash's success (which appears to still be going strong): http://www.cnn.com/2005/SHOWBIZ/Movies/ ... index.html


Fri Jun 03, 2005 6:33 pm
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ok, not too bad for Star Wars. I've been dissapointed with this weeks drops, but it looks to be back on track now. Hoping for a 100% increase Friday (though unlikely) and be at about $8M. Then it'll avoid the 50% drop :-).


Fri Jun 03, 2005 6:56 pm
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Even with the drop for SISTERHOOD, I still think it will pull in some pretty decent numbers.

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Fri Jun 03, 2005 6:56 pm
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I wouldn't expect ROTS to follow AOTC's drops from this point forward. Expect it to plummet nearly 95% this weekend and top out at about $290-295 million.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 8:08 pm
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Dkmuto wrote:
Didn't really know where to post this, but I thought this was an interesting article (from CNN) on Crash's success (which appears to still be going strong): http://www.cnn.com/2005/SHOWBIZ/Movies/ ... index.html


I heart Crash.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 8:36 pm
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Snrub wrote:
I wouldn't expect ROTS to follow AOTC's drops from this point forward. Expect it to plummet nearly 95% this weekend and top out at about $290-295 million.


I disagree, I don't think it will drop 95%....that is a little high. More like a drop of about 80-85%. That way it'll make 300 mill.

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Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 9:15 pm
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baumer72 wrote:
Snrub wrote:
I wouldn't expect ROTS to follow AOTC's drops from this point forward. Expect it to plummet nearly 95% this weekend and top out at about $290-295 million.


I disagree, I don't think it will drop 95%....that is a little high. More like a drop of about 80-85%. That way it'll make 300 mill.


Mark my words. If this film makes over $300 million, I'll cook my own penis and eat it.


Fri Jun 03, 2005 9:26 pm
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