Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Mon Jun 16, 2025 7:17 am



Reply to topic  [ 14 posts ] 
 November 1-3 Predictions 
Author Message
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21525
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
Post November 1-3 Predictions
Here 14m

Venom -55%

Gonna be a dull first half of November


Sat Oct 26, 2024 10:52 am
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35231
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
With the awful reviews, I could see Here doing single digits. It will definitely flop.

With the next major film release not being until November 15th, this should allow holdovers to see respectable holds. Smile 2 had a big drop this weekend, but I'm hoping it will recover over the next couple of weekends. Additionally, I hope Terrifier 3 will have some staying power beyond Halloween, especially with a Christmas theme to help keep it relevant.


Sun Oct 27, 2024 5:25 pm
Profile
Angels & Demons

Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm
Posts: 249
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
Here: 6-8m

Venom: -59%


Sun Oct 27, 2024 11:41 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23319
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
Surprised Here is getting such dismal reviews. I get it as it is a gimmick but thought Zemeckis would get more out of this.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Mon Oct 28, 2024 7:25 pm
Profile
On autopilot for the summer
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21879
Location: Walking around somewhere
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
I'm more than convinced that Zemeckis has been replaced by a pod and has been living on the island from Cast Away the last 25 years. He has always been a revolutionary with new cameras and technology, but he doesn't use them as part of the story anymore, he makes the style the driving force and his quality has certainly suffered as a result.

_________________
Image

Chippy wrote:
As always, fuck Thegun.


Chippy wrote:
I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!


Mon Oct 28, 2024 7:43 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19398
Location: San Diego
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
Zzz. Excited to see Anora this weekend though!


Mon Oct 28, 2024 10:24 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35231
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
I thought Juror #2 was going to get terrible reviews since they're dumping it into 50 theaters, but reviews are actually good? All 9 reviews on Rotten Tomatoes are positive. This looks like Eastwood's most appealing film in a while, so it's really confusing why they're burying it.


Tue Oct 29, 2024 12:50 am
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40443
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
1.9 mil for Here.

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Sat Nov 02, 2024 12:43 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19398
Location: San Diego
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
Lol at Venom having a very good drop


Sun Nov 03, 2024 12:56 pm
Profile
Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1885
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
A snooze of a weekend made for some excellent drops for holdovers. Venom 3 -49%, Wild Robot +11% (!!, how?), Smile 2 -29%, Conclave -20%, We Live in Time -28%. Anora had a good expansion with a $7500 PTA in 253 theaters.

And with Here’s $5m opening, it only needs a 66x multiplier to reach Forrest Gump’s (unadjusted) gross from 1994. I think it can make it, just need to keep it in the same place showing endlessly for the rest of time.

_________________
how am I not myself?


Sun Nov 03, 2024 12:56 pm
Profile
On autopilot for the summer
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21879
Location: Walking around somewhere
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
Venom is easily going to be the most forgettable franchise to pass 1.5 billion

_________________
Image

Chippy wrote:
As always, fuck Thegun.


Chippy wrote:
I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!


Sun Nov 03, 2024 10:24 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40443
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
I'll always cheer for movies like Conclave and We Live in Time to do well in this IP porn era, hopefully December has some sleepers like last year too though.

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Sun Nov 03, 2024 10:32 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68291
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
It would be funny if people went to see Luther: Never Too Much expecting to see Idris Elba.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Mon Nov 04, 2024 5:18 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
Post Re: November 1-3 Predictions
So clearly Venom remains well liked. Without the World Series and Halloween probably would have done mid 60s I think on a regular weekend. Not great but the studio gave it the worst release date of the year.

Conclave is doing crazily well. I saw it this weekend and can see why. Take out Friday and its Sat/Sun are down only -6.8% and -6.1% respectably. Feels like this is going to have a nice run this month.

Wild Robot's Sat was ultra impressive, bigger than all of its dailies last weekend and bigger than Fri/Sun from two weekends ago. A nice $150M finish would be good for it but Wicked/Moana will stop it from going any further.

Beetlejuice got the slight Halloween day bump but will surely miss $300M unfortunately without some type of insane holds. With the number of movies coming out going to be tough but still an amazing run. 3.98X multiplier from Beetlejuice 36 years ago unadjusted. Compare that to TGM's 4.07X multiplier from TGM 36 years earlier and essentially has been proven that there is a model to replicate TGM's unheard of run.


Mon Nov 04, 2024 8:49 pm
Profile WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 14 posts ] 

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 42 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.