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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 July 19-21 Predictions
Twisters- 37 Oddity- 2
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 12:56 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6753
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
40m will happen. Industry expectations is 70m+ which looks tough to me. I am thinking low 50s for now.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 1:09 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40457
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Flop for its budget (mid 30s).
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 1:12 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
45m for Twisters. Think it could have a solid run.
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 1:20 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Should clear $40m. That's not very high. But I don't believe it will be a $300m+ or $200m+ or even $150m+ blockbuster.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 2:16 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25317 Location: Classified
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
I think our current good box office streak will continue and Twisters will hit $60M+. Legs will be cut off by Deadpool, but a $170-190M final feels right for the movie thanks to a pretty empty August.
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 6:01 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Twisters is probably the best blockbuster I've seen in a while. Much better than the first (which I admit I never loved even back then).
I just don't know if it can get that opening big enough to springboard it past $250m and I blame Universal for the poor release date and marketing.
It needs to open over 60m but looks more like 45.
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 8:11 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22194 Location: Places
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Twisters should be very walk up heavy and perform well above when its pre sales multipliers show. We'll see what happened.
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Fri Jul 12, 2024 10:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Twisters opened here to the equivalent of a $35-40m domestic opening. It was No.3 behind DM4 and IO2. That said Saturday it was at No.1. It should be bigger stateside but no guarantee. Though have to say marketing has been poor and most didn't even know it was out yet.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Mon Jul 15, 2024 2:55 am |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 249
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
55m
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Mon Jul 15, 2024 2:21 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
76m
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Jul 16, 2024 12:34 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6753
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Ok. Presales accelerated very well today. I am bumping my OW prediction to 60m now.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Jul 16, 2024 1:13 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35232 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: Ok. Presales accelerated very well today. I am bumping my OW prediction to 60m now. That's great to hear.
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Tue Jul 16, 2024 2:10 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25317 Location: Classified
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Longlegs has mixed wom (much like every horror), but I think its become enough of a watercooler movie to have a good drop this weekend.
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Tue Jul 16, 2024 2:39 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Budget aside $50m+ for Twisters sounds pretty great. If it has good WoM I'm expecting it to still have a big drop againsy Deadpool but do well for rest of summer.
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Tue Jul 16, 2024 12:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35232 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Oddity hasn't generated as much buzz as other recent IFC horror films like Late Night With The Devil and In A Violent Nature. Unfortunately, it seems destined to underperform. It sounds fantastic, so I hope I'm wrong, but I just can't see it succeeding. People are more likely to discover it when it's streaming. Nevertheless, I'm really looking forward to watching it.
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 12:58 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35232 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: Ok. Presales accelerated very well today. I am bumping my OW prediction to 60m now. How were they today?
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 1:00 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6753
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Did not accelerate as much as what I expected but still its robust. Overall it is ahead of Apes movie. So keeps 60m in play unless walkups are way worse. Will know today with the huge early shows release. I see over 700 Imax/PLF shows across just 2 MTC. overall must be twice that number and it seems to have multiple shows as well.
At least there is definite interest in the movie and good reviews are not hurting. Plus a very attractive cast. Powell is no Leo (even 2 decades ago) but he is definitely a star for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 12:05 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21527 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
A 60m ow would put 200m in play If it recovers after Deadpool.
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 12:23 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40457
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
The budget was just too high on this one, you can't ask for more from a modern disaster movie than San Andreas 198 million with a much bigger star than this movie has. Meanwhile, the worst case scenario was really low.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 4:42 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21889 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Where is the marketing for this movie? It seems like an easy win, but I have not seen an ad
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 5:50 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23323 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Marketing is terrible. Though the film is good. Go see it.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 10:27 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6753
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Thinking 8m previews including early shows today which are extensive(2.25m ish). Low 60s OW is in play.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Jul 17, 2024 11:23 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
That would be really good imo. I just saw it and if people in middle America see it they may eat it up lol
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Thu Jul 18, 2024 12:23 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68295
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 Re: July 19-21 Predictions
Marketing is everywhere in the UK.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Jul 18, 2024 3:46 pm |
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