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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Is this the final film of a trilogy? If so, it might get a boost like Revenge of the Sith did.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 5:14 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21896 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Maybe biggest difference is 5th SW and a hit TV series in 4 years with more to come vs, both times the end of the series 3 years later.
I can't wait for this though.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 6:09 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25427 Location: Classified
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
i.hope wrote: Is this the final film of a trilogy? If so, it might get a boost like Revenge of the Sith did. Supposedly the final episode film. But we know episode 10 starring Baby Yoda is not too far off.
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Sat Dec 14, 2019 1:46 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6331 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
DP07 wrote: Definitely not expecting a 200m opening even if previews are 50m. Even if it has a huge 2nd week drop for the date, it probably won’t be more than 50%. Opening on the 20th has to deflate the opening somewhat. It’s not going to get a multiplier under 3 and will probably still get 3.5. This club is possible, but previews will probably be too high. I changed it to $162M, literally no point in a club if it's just me lol. Still think it's too low?
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Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:00 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Well yeah, but of course it followed a movie that broke just about all unadjusted records.
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Sat Dec 14, 2019 6:34 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Magnus wrote: Black Widow isn’t breaking 536m following Endgame.  Because there have already been a billion Marvel movies.
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Sat Dec 14, 2019 7:18 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
You must know what I mean. There had been an 11 year break. Supply/demand.
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Sat Dec 14, 2019 11:58 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Magnus wrote: Rogue One was the 8th SW film. 8 films in 39 years though (at time of its release)
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sun Dec 15, 2019 12:25 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6331 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Last day to join!
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Sun Dec 15, 2019 7:16 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6152 Location: New York
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Nope.
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Mon Dec 16, 2019 11:36 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
We had an insider post Presales at MTC and its almost at TLJ level. So how on earth would it open below Rogue One. This is retarded. You would not have created this thread had you lived state side. SW brand still has value even if its diminishing in OS markets.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Dec 17, 2019 12:18 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6331 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Keyser Söze wrote: We had an insider post Presales at MTC and its almost at TLJ level. So how on earth would it open below Rogue One. This is retarded. You would not have created this thread had you lived state side. SW brand still has value even if its diminishing in OS markets. I live in Canada lol. Also after Solo was supposedly "tracking for a $170m 4-day OW" I stopped paying attention to what insiders had to say about Star Wars. I am fully prepared to do a walk of shame while simultaneously eating freshly baked crow pie if I am wrong.
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Tue Dec 17, 2019 1:21 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Its not tracking. i am talking about PS as of monday morning. its HUGE. Not in the same ballpark as Solo and way bigger than Rogue One. You will eat crow for sure.
That said early reviews seems to say its convulted and too much is stuffed into the movie. so not sure how legs would be.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Dec 17, 2019 2:34 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21896 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Oldest saying of all time. It's Star Wars
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 1:13 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
I really doubt the legs on this one will have any redeeming qualities now. Most reviews mention good fan service and there is always December to help get TROS a BIG total but I see a decline from TLJ for sure. With reviews being this bad and unfavorable December 2019 release timeline (in comparison to Dec 2015 and Dec 2017 when 25th and 31st helped to have extended weekends) RO's total is definitely going to be a good target now, which is about 14% decline from TLJ.
The pressure is certainly back on the OW and it will be interesting how the audience react to what feels like first rotten main SW movie (specially now that the reviews have become so relevant).
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 5:01 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19444 Location: San Diego
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Probably should've made this under Rogue One WW or domestic. It's certainly possible but I think OW should still be big. Even then Christmas should help it out but who knows.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 11:41 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
I mean I still don't see this opening below $160M no matter how mixed the reviews are, but this Club definitely would have had a better chance if it was under RO domestic or WW.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 7:12 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6331 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
Disney’s super early estimate for the weekend is $166m
*Giggles*
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Thu Dec 19, 2019 11:22 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Closes Sunday
$166m is definitely low-balling it but I do agree this club would be closer now with the reviews ending up rotten.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:05 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6331 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | #Believe
$44m previews means there's no way it does less than $162m OW 
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:27 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
Let's wait and see how the weekend unfolds. It was never going below $162m for sure but I still feel it will stall at $170m or so.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:38 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
No chance. Looking at PS and sunday being so close to christmas, its gonna come close to 200m. Its PS for friday/saturday are very strong. Sunday is also good. This release date is perfect .it will have good run during holidays and then collapse post that.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:40 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
No chance at all!! Just like Frozen 2 is supposed to do $15m this weekend as Keyser concurred earlier, it MUST do that.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:52 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22210 Location: Places
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
Wow great call, unreal
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Dec 22, 2019 12:56 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
Wow very surprising at how close this actually turned out to be.
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Sun Dec 22, 2019 1:14 pm |
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