Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Mon Jul 21, 2025 3:25 pm



Reply to topic  [ 52 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3  Next
 Final State Break-Down Predicts. 
Author Message
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm
Posts: 16061
Location: The Damage Control Table
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Archie Gates wrote:
Obama:...
Iowa
Missouri
Colorado
New Mexico
Arizona
Virginia
North C.
Ohio
Nevada
Montana
Florida
Louisiana...


Oh no! Archie you drank the cool-aide too? But, but, you were the last mildly sane person who was left on these boards!


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:11 pm
Profile
je vois l'avenir
User avatar

Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
If Obama wins Arizona... oh lord. That would be something.

_________________
"Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."

----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)

A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:38 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Quote:
Karl Rove
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200



I think he will right.

He may be Darth Vader but he is quite good are predicting politics very very very well.

I think he was still calling on Obama winning even when McCain was ahead.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:43 pm
Profile WWW
Romosexual!
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Groucho wrote:
Fred Barnes
Winner: McCain
Electoral College: Obama 252 McCain 286
Senate Seats: 55 Democrats 43 Republicans
House Seats: 255 Democrats 180 Republicans


:hahaha: that guy is living in a dream world.

_________________
Is it 2028 yet?


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:52 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
I know when Karl Rove even says its over, its crazy for any conservative to say it is.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:58 pm
Profile WWW
All Star Poster
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 01, 2004 9:40 pm
Posts: 4679
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Mannyisthebest wrote:
He may be Darth Vader but he is quite good are predicting politics very very very well.


Karl Rove predicted that Republicans would gain seats in both houses in 2006 and increase their control of Congress for a "permanent majority."


Mon Nov 03, 2008 11:58 pm
Profile WWW
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
I mean of course after he left the politics scene.

Come on Beeblebrox, 2006 was so bad for the Republicans, I doubt Atwater could have saved them. :funny: :funny: :funny: :funny:

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Tue Nov 04, 2008 12:04 am
Profile WWW
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Obama:

Washington
Oregon
California
Nevada
Colorado
New Mexico
Minnesota
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Illinois
Indiana
Ohio
Virginia
Florida
Pennsylvania
DC
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
New York
Connecticut
Vermont
Rhode Island
Maine
Massachusetts


McCain:

Montana
Idaho
Wyoming
Utah
Arizona
South Dakota
Nebraska
Kansas
Oklahoma
Texas
Tennessee
Arkansas
Mississippi
Louisiana
Alabama
Georgia
Kentucky
South Carolina
West Virginia
North Carolina
North Dakota
Missouri

349:189

_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man

Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine


Tue Nov 04, 2008 1:40 am
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Here is my guess

Obama:
Washington
Oregon
California
Nevada
Colorado
New Mexico
Minnesota
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Illinois
Ohio
Virginia
Florida
Pennsylvania
DC
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
New York
Connecticut
Vermont
Rhode Island
Maine
Massachusetts
Montana
341

McCain:
Indiana
Idaho
Wyoming
Utah
Arizona
South Dakota
Nebraska
Kansas
Oklahoma
Texas
Tennessee
Arkansas
Mississippi
Louisiana
Alabama
Georgia
Kentucky
South Carolina
West Virginia
North Carolina
North Dakota
Missouri
197


Tue Nov 04, 2008 2:33 am
Profile WWW
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Rev wrote:
Obama:
Maine
New Hampshire
Vermont
Mass.
Rhode Island
Conn.
New York
New Jersey
Deleware
Maryland
Washington DC
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Wisconsin
Illinois
Minn.
Iowa
Missouri
Colorado
New Mexico
Washington
Oregon
California
Hawaii
Ohio
West Virgina
Virginia
Indiana
Kentucky
Tenn.
North C.
Georgia
Florida
Kansas
Nebraska
South D.
North D.
Wyoming
Montana
Idaho
Utah
Arizona
Nevada


McCain:
Alaska
Texas
Alabama
Miss.
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
South C.


All your McCain states are more likely to go blue than Utah, Idaho and Wyoming.

_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Tue Nov 04, 2008 5:16 am
Profile WWW
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Maine (4) Obama +16
New Hampshire (4) +10
Vermont (3) Obama +24
Mass. (12) Obama +18
Rhode Island (4) Obama +24
Conn. (7) +22
New York (31) Obama +26
New Jersey (15) Obama +14
Deleware (3) Obama +30
Maryland (10) Obama + 18
Washington DC (3) Obama +72
Pennsylvania (21) Obama +4
Michigan (17) Obama +14
Wisconsin (10) Obama+10
Illinois (21) Obama +26
Minn. (10) Obama +10
Iowa (7) Obama +16
Missouri (11) McCain +2
Colorado (9) Obama +6
New Mexico (5) Obama +6
Washington (11) Obama +16
Oregon (7) Obama +12
California (55) Obama +22
Hawaii (4) Obama +48
Ohio (20) Obama +2
West Virgina (5) McCain +8
Virginia (13) Obama +6
Indiana (11) McCain +4
Kentucky (8) McCain +16
Tenn. (11) McCain +14
North C. (15) Obama +2
South C. (8) McCain +16
Georgia (15) McCain +2
Alabama (9) McCain +20
Miss. (6) McCain +10
Florida (27) McCain +2
Arkansas (6) McCain +8
Louisiana (9) McCain +10
Texas (34) McCain +8
Oklahoma (7) McCain +20
Kansas (6) McCain +20
Nebraska (5) McCain +20
South D. (3) McCain +6
North D. (3) McCain +4
Wyoming (3) McCain +22
Montana (3) McCain +4
Idaho (4) McCain +24
Utah (5) McCain +24
Arizona (10) McCain +6
Nevada (5) Obama +4
Alaska (3) McCain +18


Obama 325, McCain 213

Agree with Begala (we might have the same states for each candidate) and Carville's projections. I'm a little worried about the bigger states though. Many times during the primary polls showed Obama doing better than he did in some of the bigger states. Ohio could very well go McCain despite polls showing Obama up 4-6 or so. But Ill stick with 325-213, my second guess would be 305-233.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Nov 04, 2008 5:55 am
Profile WWW
je vois l'avenir
User avatar

Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Image

_________________
"Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."

----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)

A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.


Tue Nov 04, 2008 6:19 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Obama campign has strangely let go of NC in the past days and gone after Indiana??

wierd...

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Tue Nov 04, 2008 9:37 am
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Mannyisthebest wrote:
Obama campign has strangely let go of NC in the past days and gone after Indiana??

wierd...


A little bit of overconfidence, I guess.


Tue Nov 04, 2008 10:28 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
It was overconfidence, the rain will keep in some their vote and the last polls should a slight McCain edge there.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Tue Nov 04, 2008 11:23 am
Profile WWW
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Meh, NC should be easier for Obama than IN. Don't forget Obama was underpolled in NC during the primaries, could happen again. NC is even more likely than OH imo.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Nov 04, 2008 11:38 am
Profile WWW
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Eh... I was two off... I gave MO and NC to McCain. In my defense, they're both technically "too close to call" I think, so I think I did pretty good.

_________________
Top Movies of 2009
1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man

Top Anticipated 2009
1. Nine


Wed Nov 05, 2008 6:46 am
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm
Posts: 16061
Location: The Damage Control Table
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Well, you guys were certainly right this time around. I was dead wrong; that was a complete blow-out victory!


Wed Nov 05, 2008 12:45 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Looks like I will be wrong on Indiana and NC but Missouri looks to stay red, barley.

I am surprised Indiana went Red and not Missouri.

Anyways, I was certain Ted Stevens would win.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Wed Nov 05, 2008 9:22 pm
Profile WWW
Confessing on a Dance Floor
User avatar

Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Mannyisthebest wrote:
Looks like I will be wrong on Indiana and NC but Missouri looks to stay red, barley.

I am surprised Indiana went Red and not Missouri.

Anyways, I was certain Ted Stevens would win.


IN is blue :thumbsup:


Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:05 pm
Profile
Superfreak
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
sam became a obama supporter. good, i recall you saying youd never vote for him back in the spring.

_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.


Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:07 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
the only real surprise election night was that Obama won Ohio so handily and he won Indiana.

I thought we had a squeaker in Virgina which would have a surpsie, but the lead has opened up there.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:09 pm
Profile WWW
Confessing on a Dance Floor
User avatar

Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5578
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Adalius Prime wrote:
sam became a obama supporter. good, i recall you saying youd never vote for him back in the spring.


Well, I do wish it was Hillary. I was just bitterly reacting to the primary loss. But Obama totally won me over during the debates and final weeks of the election so I am 120% nehind him and his message now.


Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:14 pm
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
Obama got 99% of the Hilary vote, I think.

There was a few hold outs like Sam and me, but Obama won us over by acting like a real leader during the Financial crisis and the debates.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Wed Nov 05, 2008 11:15 pm
Profile WWW
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: Final State Break-Down Predicts.
I was a Clinton supporter, but didn't vote Obama because he won me over, and not because I'm a registered democrat. He did fine after the primaries and in the debates, but that didn't change my opinion of him. I voted for Obama because he' was the closest thing to pushing such things like Universal Health Care left (even though is plan his/was the weakest during the primares out of the big three), Hillary's speech at the DNC, and because I could never support McCain/Palin. But it was not because he "won" me over.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Nov 06, 2008 1:16 am
Profile WWW
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 52 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 87 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.