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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
The latest polls from SurveyUSA have Obama up by 13 in Oregon (75-80% of votes are already in since it's a completely mail-in election) and Clinton up by 31 in Kentucky. Ironically, even though Kentucky's result will come in first and Obama will lose big there, it should be the one that pushes Obama's pledged delegate count to pass the definite-majority milestone.
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Tue May 20, 2008 1:28 pm |
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Beeblebrox
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Dec 01, 2004 9:40 pm Posts: 4679
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
Both contests are going to be such blowouts that it's actually kind of boring. The interesting fact is that, as you say, Obama will likely pass an important milestone tonight, the majority of pledged delegates.
Last edited by Beeblebrox on Tue May 20, 2008 6:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tue May 20, 2008 4:59 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
With 5% reporting in KY, Clinton is only leading Obama by 8 points, 52-44.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Tue May 20, 2008 6:35 pm |
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Anita Hussein Briem
Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
xiayun wrote: With 5% reporting in KY, Clinton is only leading Obama by 8 points, 52-44. Cities report first in Kentucky. I'd hazard an estimate of 62-35-3.
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(hitokiri battousai)
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Tue May 20, 2008 6:43 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
Yeah I know, but it's still pretty amusing, and it's now down to 50-46 with 9% reporting.  Anything within 30% will be a good result for Obama.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Tue May 20, 2008 6:51 pm |
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Anita Hussein Briem
Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
People watching the results on TV surely are (temporarily) astonished.
Obama will do much better in KY than in WV, if only by virtue of having real cities to compete in (and win). Louisville, Lexington, and suburban Cincinnati will slice ten points off Clinton's margin.
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(hitokiri battousai)
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Tue May 20, 2008 6:56 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
The exit poll points to a 35 points victory by Clinton.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Tue May 20, 2008 7:04 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
And Clinton now indeed leads by 35%. From the exit poll Fox News posted, Obama should win Oregon by a margin of 56%-42%.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Tue May 20, 2008 8:46 pm |
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Anita Hussein Briem
Yes we can call dibs on the mountain guide
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 3290 Location: Houston
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 Re: Kentucky and Oregon Results Thread
Nice, the preceding polls were on target for once.
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(hitokiri battousai)
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Wed May 21, 2008 9:31 am |
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