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 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire/Poster&Trailer pg6 

Which place will this be in the Franchise?
first- gross more than them all = 318m+ 13%  13%  [ 5 ]
second- gross less than SS but more than 316-262m 31%  31%  [ 12 ]
third- After COS but before POA = 260-250m 26%  26%  [ 10 ]
Last- Gross less than them all = GOF<248m 31%  31%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 39

 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire/Poster&Trailer pg6 
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire/Poster&Trailer pg6
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Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

Action/Adventure, Kids/Family and Science Fiction/Fantasy
In his fourth year at Hogwarts, Harry faces his greatest challenges and dangers yet. When he is selected under mysterious circumstances as a contestant in the Triwizard Tournament, Harry must compete against the best young wizards from schools all over Europe. But as he prepares, signs begin to point to the return of Lord Voldemort. Before long, Harry is playing not just for the Cup, but for his life.
Release Date: November 18th, 2005 (wide).
Distributor: Warner Bros.

Website
http://harrypotter.warnerbros.com/gobletoffire/index.html

TRAILER
http://www.apple.com/trailers/wb/harry_potter/thegobletoffire

Cast
Daniel Radcliffe..........Harry Potter
Emma Watson..........Hermione Granger
Rupert Grint..........Ron Weasley
John Cleese...........Nearly Headless Nick
Robbie Coltrane............Rubeus Hagrid
Michael Gambon............Professor Albus Dumbledore
Jason Isaacs...............Lucius Malfoy
Gary Oldman...............Sirius Black
Alan Rickman...............Professor Severus Snape
Maggie Smith................Professor Minerva McGonagall
Brendan Gleeson...........Mad-Eye Moody
Frances de la Tour............Madame Maxine
Robert Pattinson.............Cedric Diggory
Katie Leung................Cho Chang
Clemence Poesy..............Fleur Delacour
Stanislav Yanevski................Victor Krum
Roger Lloyd-Pack................Barty Crouch
Pedja Bjelac..............Igor Karkaroff
Jeff Rawle................Amos Diggory
David Tennant................Barty Crouch, Jr.
Tom Felton............Draco Malfoy
James Phelps............Fred Weasley
Oliver Phelps..............George Weasley
Mark Williams.............Mr. Arthur Weasley
Timothy Spall................Peter Pettigrew
Ralph Fiennes...............Lord Voldemort
Miranda Richardson...........Rita Skeeter

Director Mike Newell
Screenplay Steven Kloves
Source J.K. Rowling's, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

My thoughts

I think that this movie will revive the series. Its back at November and the sixth book will be released like 4 months before, so the hype will be pretty big. Its second weekend will be great since its Thanksgiving, but it should fall like 65%+ on its third. I think that this movie will open to over 95m and drop to 60m second weekend. I think that this will make more than the last two, but less or a little over the first. I could be just saying this because I'm a huge fan, but thats what I think anyways.

Predictions

Opening Weekend
The Dark Shape-102m
Korrgan-101m
Chris-100m
Neostorm-98m
Pinkphanter- 95m
sako16-95m
Micasey-92.1m
BJ-91.15m
Dr. Lecter- 91m
Zach-90m
jb007-87m
Zingaling-85m
Hans-85m
Rougecommander-80m
Algren- 80m
Mr. X- 78.5

Final
Hans-324m
Neostorm-313m
The Dark Shape-310m
Korrgan- 305m
Ahmed Johnson-300m
Chris-300m
Pinkphanter-300m
Rougecommander-300m
Sako16-276m
Dr. Lecter- 271m
Zach-265m
BJ-265m
Zingaling-255m
Algren- 243m
Mr. X- 241.2m
Micasey- 236m
jb007-229m


Last edited by sako on Sun May 08, 2005 12:17 pm, edited 12 times in total.



Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:37 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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Here are some images

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:58 am
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I think it's going to do better than the other 3 because it has a lot great things about it, including dragons.

I'll try to get some more pics for you Sako.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:20 am
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Image

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:24 am
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The first one really lost casual moviegoers like me. That was the misstep they won't recover from in terms of growing the fanbase beyond the fans of the books, which by the way is bigger than any book/movie series and yes much bigger than LOTR. I watch about 65 to 70 movies a year in the theaters and I did not even see HP2 and HP3 either in the theater or DVD.

LOTR was able to tap into a good chunk of the casual movie audiences also. If HP had done that, the movies would have been even bigger than than they are now.

Due to the above, I don't see the next one grossing more than HP3.

87/229

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Last edited by jb007 on Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:33 am
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neostorm wrote:
Image



That's Rita!? Isn't she suppose to have red hair? :???:

Anyways... I'm really afraid they might screw this up as this is my favorite book and it's hard to get all the good stuff into 1 film... I'd say this will do Chamber of Secrets #'s, but it could do a little less than PoA...


Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:47 am
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Thanks neo for those pics.
I think that Rita Skeeter is great, just like you would expect after reading about her. Harry hair is kindof out of control, but it looks ok.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:49 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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publicenemy#1 wrote:
neostorm wrote:
Image



That's Rita!? Isn't she suppose to have red hair? :???:

Anyways... I'm really afraid they might screw this up as this is my favorite book and it's hard to get all the good stuff into 1 film... I'd say this will do Chamber of Secrets #'s, but it could do a little less than PoA...


no i think that its blonde, I'll check.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 2:50 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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Yup, she is a blonde. I just checked the book. For reference pg. 304


Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:12 am
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jb007 wrote:
The first one really lost casual moviegoers like me. That was the misstep they won't recover from in terms of growing the fanbase beyond the fans of the books, which by the way is bigger than any book/movie series and yes much bigger than LOTR. I watch about 65 to 70 movies a year in the theaters and I did not even see HP2 and HP3 either in the theater or DVD.

LOTR was able to tap into a good chunk of the casual movie audiences also. If HP had done that, the movies would have been even bigger than than they are now.



You got it right. I am a big Harry Potter fan (of the books, not the movies) and I didn't love any of the three movies so far. I saw all of them in theatres. I thought the first was pretty bad, I disliked it big time and that screwed up the whole franchise. The first movie seemed so childish and stupid at times that it turned off people from the series.

I thought the second movie was just okay, but in itself a major improvement over the first. As for the third, I thought it was fairly good actually and better than the previous two, but still by far not great. However, the trend so far is that each new movie is better, so I have my hopes up for the new one.

I think it'll open at least as big as the second and will probably have better legs since it won't have to deal with LOTR.


I predict:

Opening weekend - $91 million

Total gross - $271 million

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:52 am
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More Picture(Magazine)

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 4:09 am
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These are getting boring now, as BO numbes are showing:

Opening: $80 Million

Total: $243 Million

YAWN!

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 8:29 am
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Last.

Grrr, harry Potter.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 8:36 am
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Good man manson :smile:

I thought Harry Potter was meant to be a young boy, ffs Daniel Radcliffe will be like 16 GoF is released, i thought Harry Potter weas meant to be like 10 ish. weird!

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Algren wrote:
Good man manson :smile:

I thought Harry Potter was meant to be a young boy, ffs Daniel Radcliffe will be like 16 GoF is released, i thought Harry Potter weas meant to be like 10 ish. weird!



Daniel Radcliffe is only 1 year older than what harry is supposed to be, Emma is the same age as hermione, and Ron is 2 years older than Ron.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 10:48 am
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85/324 :roll: it will be the top grossing of the franchise. :oops:

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 10:57 am
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I'm thinking 98/313


Sun Jan 16, 2005 10:58 am
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neostorm wrote:
Algren wrote:
Good man manson :smile:

I thought Harry Potter was meant to be a young boy, ffs Daniel Radcliffe will be like 16 GoF is released, i thought Harry Potter weas meant to be like 10 ish. weird!



Daniel Radcliffe is only 1 year older than what harry is supposed to be, Emma is the same age as hermione, and Ron is 2 years older than Ron.


Oh right, but, in terms of look, Daniel looks about 18. Harry Potter is supposed to look like a child, not a teenager. I think theyre shit films, not just for this reason.

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 11:02 am
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neostorm wrote:
I'm thinking 98/313


Thats a ridiculous opening, infact, ridiculous prediction altogether. And as for hans' prediction, well im gobsmakced, thought he might have had a bit more common sense, $324 Million, realistically hans, what did HP3 get? ](*,)

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 11:06 am
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Lower opening but better legs. $80 million opening, $300 million total.

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 11:08 am
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Algren wrote:
neostorm wrote:
I'm thinking 98/313


Thats a ridiculous opening, infact, ridiculous prediction altogether. And as for hans' prediction, well im gobsmakced, thought he might have had a bit more common sense, $324 Million, realistically hans, what did HP3 get? ](*,)


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Sun Jan 16, 2005 11:29 am
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Algren wrote:
neostorm wrote:
Algren wrote:
Good man manson :smile:

I thought Harry Potter was meant to be a young boy, ffs Daniel Radcliffe will be like 16 GoF is released, i thought Harry Potter weas meant to be like 10 ish. weird!



Daniel Radcliffe is only 1 year older than what harry is supposed to be, Emma is the same age as hermione, and Ron is 2 years older than Ron.


Oh right, but, in terms of look, Daniel looks about 18. Harry Potter is supposed to look like a child, not a teenager. I think theyre shit films, not just for this reason.


No he is suppose to look like a teenager and he is a teenager.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 12:12 pm
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For the past two sequels, people have overpredicted greatly, and each time people say "Oh boy, it's going to be the best of the franchise, 95/370!!!!!1111" Come on, you have to know by now it's not going to get much better, especially halfway between the first and last film, should they go right to seven like the books.

78.5/241.2 (most likely will still be on par with Prisoner of Azkaban, for final gross, but it won't outgross it).

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 12:17 pm
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Now, i'm very horrible with Box oFfice stats, but let me attempt to show something presentable...

HP1 Opening Week 90.3 Million Total 317.5 Million # of theatres 3672
HP2 Opening Week 88.3 Million Total 261.9 Million # of theatres 3682
HP3 Opening Week 93.7 Million Total 249.5 Million # of theatres 3855

Now let's see. Despite ppl thinking that the series is in decline (due tot eh total box office revenue) Harr Potter's opening weeks don't follow the same pattern. Let's say that HP4 manages to 4000 theatres in November, which i think is likely. There's a high probability that it will beat teh opening week of 93.7 Million set by HP3. Let's say it get $95 Million. You factor in the multiplier for that time, add a little extra because of christmas, and i am positive that it will at the very least beat HP3, most likely HP2.

I think it's possible that it might beat HP1, not probably but possible.


Last edited by Neostorm on Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:05 pm
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neostorm wrote:
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With that picture, he can easily be mistaken for some guy from the 70's.

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