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 Mission: Impossible: III Prediction Thread 
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College Boy Z

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I love how your personal feelings on the film made your prediction drop by half.


Fri May 05, 2006 1:55 am
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Zingaling wrote:
I love how your personal feelings on the film made your prediction drop by half.


As opposed to the crowd report you posted about the guy who was claiming MI3 was selling out friday and saturday shows and nothing like this happening unless it was Shrek 3 or Spiderman 2 :lol:
Im not saying it will disappoint or anything but it seems like there are crowd reports on both extreme ends


Fri May 05, 2006 1:59 am
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bradley witherberry wrote:
bradley witherberry wrote:
I'm standing by my original prediction...

bradley witherberry wrote:
Wow - I can't believe people are predicting Mi:III lower than the DaVinci Code! What a mixed up crazy world we live in.

85/330

Okay, I've seen the movie - at the Thursday 10pm premiere screening with 27 other people in a 400 seat theatre - it sucks.

I apologize for my wild-ass prediction - legs are going to be short as word of mouth gets out - let's say - 42/135...


Sure how can it be a success, since it could not beat the all-time classic Aeon Flux. :hahaha:

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Fri May 05, 2006 2:00 am
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Zingaling wrote:
I love how your personal feelings on the film made your prediction drop by half.

I think those who've known me for a while here, know that I've got no clue on BO...


Fri May 05, 2006 2:01 am
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Zingaling wrote:
Well, X3 is a more internet film than both The Da Vinci Code and Mission: Impossible III, and I'm sure X3 tops more 'anticipated lists' than M:I-3 might.
It's all about fanboys. If I remember correctly BB was beating the crap out of WotW in the poll and look at their openings.


Fri May 05, 2006 2:04 am
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Oompa Loompa Midget Man wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I love how your personal feelings on the film made your prediction drop by half.


As opposed to the crowd report you posted about the guy who was claiming MI3 was selling out friday and saturday shows and nothing like this happening unless it was Shrek 3 or Spiderman 2 :lol:
Im not saying it will disappoint or anything but it seems like there are crowd reports on both extreme ends


Don't see how that's even related. I've held strong to my M:I-3 prediction for quite a while, and after bradley seems the film, his opening weekend prediction drops from over $80 million to just over $40 million.

It's not like I claimed that M:I-3 sold out all shows. I'm posting what I saw on HSX.


Fri May 05, 2006 2:12 am
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Libs wrote:
Just bought tickets for 7pm tomorrow. I'm excited to see something so stupid-yet-lots of fun.


I suppose if Reese Witherspoon were in it, it would bring it up a notch?? :-k


Fri May 05, 2006 2:14 am
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BKB_The_Man wrote:
Libs wrote:
Just bought tickets for 7pm tomorrow. I'm excited to see something so stupid-yet-lots of fun.


I suppose if Reese Witherspoon were in it, it would bring it up a notch?? :-k


:lol:

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Fri May 05, 2006 2:15 am
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bradley witherberry wrote:
bradley witherberry wrote:
I'm standing by my original prediction...

bradley witherberry wrote:
Wow - I can't believe people are predicting Mi:III lower than the DaVinci Code! What a mixed up crazy world we live in.

85/330

Okay, I've seen the movie - at the Thursday 10pm premiere screening with 27 other people in a 400 seat theatre - it sucks.

I apologize for my wild-ass prediction - legs are going to be short as word of mouth gets out - let's say - 42/135...


Those would be fantastic legs for this film. ;)


Fri May 05, 2006 5:11 am
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bradley witherberry wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I love how your personal feelings on the film made your prediction drop by half.

I think those who've known me for a while here, know that I've got no clue on BO...


Hehe, true, because the legs you predicted are the best that anyone of us has predicted thus far.

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Fri May 05, 2006 5:29 am
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I got exactly what i expected from MI3, nothing less, nothing more. It was easily the best MI movie and 2 hours of an enjoyable action romp.

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Fri May 05, 2006 6:33 pm
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jb007 wrote:
Sure how can it be a success, since it could not beat the all-time classic Aeon Flux. :hahaha:

If the MI:3 storyline had 10% of the intelligence of Aeon Flux, it could have been a great movie, too...


Fri May 05, 2006 7:57 pm
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I'd agree that Aeon Flux did have a much better and smarter plot.


Fri May 05, 2006 8:32 pm
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hehehehehe
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Fri May 05, 2006 10:53 pm
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DP07 wrote:
I'd agree that Aeon Flux did have a much better and smarter plot.


The multiplier for it also may be lower than usual because of it opening in 4000 theaters too. There is some kind of multiplier correlation between theater counts and multipliers, I just dont know the formula for it. A movie like total Recall only opened in 2000 theaters with something like a 14 million opening but was able to reach 100 million dollars. I think it basically goes by supply and demand where if you dont meet the demand of sold out shows within a certain day, it may get carried over to the next week. The problem with opening in too many theaters is the supply is met too well that it wont have as many people "turned away" from sold out shows to carry onto next week. It would be interesting to see how multipliers for movies in over 4000 theaters do


Fri May 05, 2006 10:58 pm
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FILMOre McGilmore wrote:
hehehehehe
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:hahaha: :hahaha: :hahaha: :2thumbsup:

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Fri May 05, 2006 11:05 pm
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I remember I think it was Roid and I said Cruise's antics would not hurt WotW but moreso the next movie he's gonna star in and people said that doesnt make sense. Well do you belive it now? HUH? HUH? Okay the numbers arent out yet but seems as though we should be expeting something below expectations.

Obviously though Cruise and his weird behavior isnt the only reason this movie might be underperforming. As we've been seeing, straight up action flicks have been having a hard time at the BO and the demand on another MI movie might've not been so high.


Fri May 05, 2006 11:11 pm
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Killuminati510 wrote:
I remember I think it was Roid and I said Cruise's antics would not hurt WotW but moreso the next movie he's gonna star in and people said that doesnt make sense. Well do you belive it now? HUH? HUH? Okay the numbers arent out yet but seems as though we should be expeting something below expectations.

Obviously though Cruise and his weird behavior isnt the only reason this movie might be underperforming. As we've been seeing, straight up action flicks have been having a hard time at the BO and the demand on another MI movie might've not been so high.


Thanks Kilumanti, you always have my back covered in almost all the topics. ;) . So Lecter, if MI3 doesnt reach 50 million and you dont have the 50 dollars., there are other alternatives like Lecter on a corset as an avatar or a really bad movie for you to see. Ill ask Killumanti for suggestions :nutso:

Dp07 also the most balls for sticking with his gut instinct too. Congrats again DP07, this is like your O12 triumph


Last edited by El Maskado on Fri May 05, 2006 11:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri May 05, 2006 11:17 pm
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Hmmm how about Lecter in a corset going to see a bad movie?


Fri May 05, 2006 11:24 pm
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Killuminati510 wrote:
Hmmm how about Lecter in a corset going to see a bad movie?


Lecter in a corset seeing a movie about a drag queen


Fri May 05, 2006 11:26 pm
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Oompa Loompa Midget Man wrote:
Killuminati510 wrote:
Hmmm how about Lecter in a corset going to see a bad movie?


Lecter in a corset seeing a movie about a drag queen
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Fri May 05, 2006 11:30 pm
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:2thumbsup:
But its too early to jump the guns yet. Ill wait for tommorrow's numbers and then I will decide what options Lecter will have.


Sat May 06, 2006 12:17 am
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No numbers in yet of course so i'll toss out my guesses.

Opening 70.0
Domestic 230
Worldwide 430

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Sat May 06, 2006 2:31 am
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Hehe, I wouldn't have bet on $50 if I had financial problems :)

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Sat May 06, 2006 2:36 am
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Zingaling wrote:
Well, X3 is a more internet film than both The Da Vinci Code and Mission: Impossible III, and I'm sure X3 tops more 'anticipated lists' than M:I-3 might. It's not asking if people are anticipating the film, but what people are more excited about. In a month filled with three or four great-looking films, it's wrong to expect M:I-3 will be much higher than that. A better way to determine the hype for a single film is the polls at Movies.com, like for Poseidon, X-Men: The Last Stand and The Da Vinci Code. Unfortunately, we can't see M:I-3's results now because the poll has been changed to "I've seen the flick, and I'd grade it as...". Obviously, with those three films, you can see a difference in the level of anticipation between X3, The Da Vinci Code, and Poseidon. This is a better indicator.


In general I think it actually is a good indicator for films like this as the audience is more split up then you might expect. If you took X3 out TDVC would still have a big lead as the X3 voters would be split pretty proportionally.


Sat May 06, 2006 4:16 am
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