Click had 100 and The Longest Yard had 119, so I don't see it being much higher than 120. It needs about 1,500 to make $12.5m and $35m this weekend.

Still it is quite aways from that. At the rate it is going it might get a thousand reviews at the most. I think it will just break 30 this weekend.

The ratio might be higher than the typical Sandler film. My parents are going to see it and they haven't seen a Sandler film in theaters since Big Daddy (they have seen Punch Drunk and Spanglish, but not the typical Sandler comedy blockbuster). What are you guys estimating at this point $30-35m for the weekend? Or worse? It seems like it is a very weak start for a Sandler film, but it might just be getting some different demos that aren't showing up in Yahoo's ratings.

Or maybe its one of those commercials where hes having his cake and eating it. Sort of like the Deuce Bigelow movies making fun and offending women with odd physical and medical conditions yet at the same time acting all preachy about looks.

I was hoping for some crowd reports but we haven't got any yet.

Hairspray - 650, +78, B+
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 357, +64, B-

Chuck and Larry is going a little faster now.

Hairspray is not *that* inflated, it is doing fricken awesome business at usual megaplex nearly triple the early morning business of Chuck and Larry per screen.

It won't be THAT separated by the end of the night, undoubtedly though.

Crowd reports are showing Hairspray doing big business... yet the reviews are not pointing to over $8 mil.

Well Hairspray is in less theaters. It probably won't domore than 20-25 million for the weekend. I would say Chuck and Larry though is disapointing so far. I think its looking more and more likely that OOTP will stay #1.

Perhaps this Friday we're going to have some low ratios. Well, at least for Hairspray.

Hairspray TC isnt that much less than C&L count, I dont think a difference of 300 theaters would make such a big difference if you are referring Chipmunky's post. Yes and it looks like HP will most likely take #1 again

I may have over-projected the ratio. The online signs and usual big ratios for films like NY Minutes and Mean Girls led me to think in that direction, but the good grade, being a musical, and high screen allocations could move it the other way.

Hairspray - 729 (284), +79, B+
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 403 (50), +46, B-

Also, Travolta draws from an older audience, which could lower the ratio as well.

The thing I don't understand though is... there is NOTHING that would indicate lower than say... a 200 ratio.

Which means to break out, as in... about $25 mil, it will probably need an almost $9 mil OD.

It would need 1800 reviews. It would need to average MORE THAN 100 reviews for the next 10 hours. I just don't see that happening.




Now with C/L... I think it needs a solid $12-13 mil OD to reach $35 mil OW. To get that with it's probable 110-120 ratio, it needs 1300 reviews, or about 100 reviews per hour for the next 10 hours.

I think C/L has a BETTER chance of getting a $12 mil OD, than Hairspray has to get a $9 mil OD.

Hairspray - 796 (294), +67 (+10), B+
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 452 (55), +49 (+5), B-

The Devil Wears Prada had a 79 ratio. It skewed older than Hairspray but around 150 sounds right, I think. It should make at least $8m today, but I wouldn't be surprised with $9-10m.

Go Hairspray!

Could Hairspay be a bit more frontloaded than that since another musical Rent pretty much died after a big opening day?

That would make the ratio lower, not higher.

2 hours:

Hairspray - 940 (328), +144 (+34), B+
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 552 (71), +100 (+16), B-

I'm biased, but the theater I was in for Chuck & Larry was packed - and for a 4:45 showing which never happens at the theater I go to. 90% filled at least. So either my theater is the exception, or C&L's number is going to jump as the night goes on.

Hairspray doesn't surprise me in the sense that as I was walking into C&L, many people (Elderly - not generalizing, just a fact) were buying tickets. The number of 900+ surprises me though.

Hairspray - 1,022 (360), +82 (+32), B+
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 613 (81), +61 (+10), B-

Right. Since no one bothered to answer my post I didn't see the need to correct, but I meant it might have a lower ratio than normal. I think it might be capturing more 45+ y.o. moviegoers. Even if the case, the ratings seems quite weak at this point, but I am not sure how many more ratings Sandler films usually get at this point. Is another 500 ratings out of the question, because that would seem to be the min. for a $12m+ OD even with a best case scenerio the ratio is under 100.

Wayy long ago Will Smith was attached to star in this... I believe the other male was going to be Nic Cage... now that woul dhave been funny!