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 2005 $40 million+ openers 
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
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Locks
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
War of the Worlds
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
The Ring Two


King Kong and Batman Begins are Not Locks
-Just because we love Peter Jackson doesn't mean the GP(general populations) gives a damn
-How long has the Batman Franchise been on Hiatus for?





These ALL have 0% Chance....
Elektra
Constantine
Kingdom of Heaven
Mr. and Mrs. Smith
The Dukes of Hazzard
Underworld: Evolution


Mon Jan 03, 2005 5:51 pm
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College Boy Z

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Snickety Snack 2 wrote:
-How long has the Batman Franchise been on Hiatus for?


Since 1997, I believe. But, I don't think that means much. Look at the openings for all the Batman movies.

Batman: $40,489,746
Batman Returns: $45,687,711
Batman Forever: $52,784,433
Batman & Robin: $42,872,606

All movies raked in above $40 million. It's hard to believe that Batman Begins, being released in a time where attendance at movie theaters is higher than the 90's, will score lower than $40 million. There are hardcore Batman fans out there, and this can easily do $40 million. I mean, Terminator 2 came out in 1991, and Terminator 3 came out in 2003, but did that do bad? No.


Mon Jan 03, 2005 6:01 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.


Sun Mar 06, 2005 8:20 pm
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College Boy Z

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I'll stop predicting movies forever if The Ring Two doesn't make $40 million. That's an easy landmark, considering The Grudge did it.


Sun Mar 06, 2005 9:45 pm
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DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.

Wow, xXx2? I don't know a lot of people that really liked that movie, just thought it was OK. Vin Diesel was part of the coolness of it. It was kind of a forgettable movie after awhile...


Sun Mar 06, 2005 10:39 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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MG Casey wrote:
DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.

Wow, xXx2? I don't know a lot of people that really liked that movie, just thought it was OK. Vin Diesel was part of the coolness of it. It was kind of a forgettable movie after awhile...


People were saying the same stuff about 2 Fast 2 Furious. This is the type of action movie that will attract the average teen. Plus, it will be so frontloaded, that alone will largely push it to 40m+ opening weekend.


Mon Mar 07, 2005 5:43 am
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DP07 wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.

Wow, xXx2? I don't know a lot of people that really liked that movie, just thought it was OK. Vin Diesel was part of the coolness of it. It was kind of a forgettable movie after awhile...


People were saying the same stuff about 2 Fast 2 Furious. This is the type of action movie that will attract the average teen. Plus, it will be so frontloaded, that alone will largely push it to 40m+ opening weekend.


Yeah but the Fast and the Furious became a film that defined 2001 because it gave a peak inside street racing and it caught on (don't ask me why), all XXX was a spy flick.

In conclusion, I do not see XXX making 40 mil

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Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:29 am
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Zingaling wrote:
I'll stop predicting movies forever if The Ring Two doesn't make $40 million. That's an easy landmark, considering The Grudge did it.


That's cause moviegoers were stupid enough to fall for this... Ever notice how The Grudge, The RING, Ju-On and now The RING II all focus on the same thing: A chick with long stringy jet black hair and white face with dark eyes that looks waterlogged?? Ooooooo, sounds real scary... :-#

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Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:43 am
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Zingaling wrote:
I think the minimum this can open to is $40 million. The Grudge opened to $39 million for being a The Ring look alike. I'm sure the sequel to one of the most loved teen horror movies in the past 10 years can get more than $40 million. :wink:



I honestly can't imagine why it's so loved, I really can't??? :-k I think teens are willing themselves to be scared cause there hardup and haven't seen a good horror movie and will settle for just about anything that resembles Japanese Horror..

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Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:47 am
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Emmm....JU ON was made about 7 years ago....you can't include that with GRUDGE and RING (2002). Because no one went to see it when it was in limited release last year.

THE RING made $129,000,000
THE GRUDGE made $110,000,000
THE RING TWO is going to make $100,000,000+


So yeah, the majority obviously love japanese horror.

This will be proven when THE RING TWO opens over $40M. :)


Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:47 am
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mansonmyers wrote:
Emmm....JU ON was made about 7 years ago....you can't include that with GRUDGE and RING (2002). Because no one went to see it when it was in limited release last year.

THE RING made $129,000,000
THE GRUDGE made $110,000,000
THE RING TWO is going to make $100,000,000+


So yeah, the majority obviously love japanese horror.

This will be proven when THE RING TWO opens over $40M. :)


The originality between the 3 movies you listed is sad to say the least.. If you don't see The RING II, just rent The RING and you've pretty much seen The RING II..

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Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:49 am
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But everyone WILL see the RING TWO, so no problem there :)

;)


Mon Mar 07, 2005 8:52 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe ...

is a lock for 40 mill im sorry if no one agrees with me, but you all need to face the fact that it is going to be huge...just wait for the trailer and everyone will agree with me :razz:


Mon Mar 07, 2005 1:55 pm
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Updated:

1. Hitch
locks:
Star Wars Episode III
Lion Witch Wardrobe
King Kong
War of the Worlds
Harry Potter 4
Batman Begins
Madagasscar (up)

Good chance:
Chicken Little
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Kingdom of Heaven
The Ring 2 (up)

Decent chance:
Bewitched
Fantastic Four
Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy

others:
Mask of Zorro
Longest Yard
The Producers
XXX2
Pink Panther (down)

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Tue Mar 15, 2005 6:40 pm
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Optimus_Prime wrote:
DP07 wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.

Wow, xXx2? I don't know a lot of people that really liked that movie, just thought it was OK. Vin Diesel was part of the coolness of it. It was kind of a forgettable movie after awhile...


People were saying the same stuff about 2 Fast 2 Furious. This is the type of action movie that will attract the average teen. Plus, it will be so frontloaded, that alone will largely push it to 40m+ opening weekend.


Yeah but the Fast and the Furious became a film that defined 2001 because it gave a peak inside street racing and it caught on (don't ask me why), all XXX was a spy flick.

In conclusion, I do not see XXX making 40 mil


xXx was a huge hit on DVD even if it wasn't quite as successful as TFATF (which was fifth in 2001 I believe). It's going to be so frontloaded, that it would only need about 90m, or less, in total to open with 40m. You don't think it has that much in it?


Tue Mar 15, 2005 7:14 pm
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Well 2 movies that are comming this weekend have a chance.

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Sun Apr 24, 2005 10:15 pm
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Updated:

1. Hitch
locks:
Star Wars Episode III
Lion Witch Wardrobe
King Kong
War of the Worlds
Harry Potter 4
Batman Begins
Madagasscar

Good chance: (86-99%)
Chicken Little
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Kingdom of Heaven

Decent chance: (61-85%)
Bewitched
Fantastic Four
Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy
Mr. and Mrs. Smith (new)

Not that bad of a chance (could go either way): (41-60%)
Mask of Zorro
Longest Yard
XXX2

Don't Think so: (new one) (20-40%)
The Producers (down)
Pink Panther (down)
Kicking and Screaming (new) (I see daddy day care #s for this)

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Sun Apr 24, 2005 10:20 pm
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Well Kingdom of Heaven comes out on Friday.
#2?

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Mon May 02, 2005 4:03 pm
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College Boy Z

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Kingdom of Heaven won't make $40 million.


Mon May 02, 2005 4:17 pm
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Teh Mexican
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no where near $40M


Mon May 02, 2005 4:22 pm
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DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.


:lol:


Tue May 03, 2005 5:54 am
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DP07 wrote:
DP07 wrote:
I'm certain The Ring Two and xXx 2 will make it. I can see Robots going either way.


:lol:


Hehe

Very uneventful year it is...

Locks:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
Madagascar
Batman Begins
War of the Worlds
Fantastic Four
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong

Good chance:

Stealth
The Longest Yard
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe
Chicken Little

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Tue May 03, 2005 11:43 am
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College Boy Z

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Eh, it's a slow year so far. The summer *better* have a million surprises.

1. Hitch

Locks:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
Batman Begins
War of the Worlds
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
Madagascar

Great Chance:

The Longest Yard
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Chicken Little
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe
Fantastic Four

Good Chance:

Kingdom of Heaven
Mr. and Mrs. Smith
Stealth
The Island

Slim Chance:

The Dukes of Hazzard
Underworld: Evolution
The Wedding Crashers
Doom (it had a great chance in August...)


Tue May 03, 2005 3:26 pm
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I'd go as far as saying that Fantastic Four is a lock, simply because this summer doesn't look exciting at all and there 'bound to be more $40+ million openers than we suppose and Fantastic Four seems like a perfect choice. It's lighthearted, summer fun. I mean it's one of Marvel's "biggies". Look at their previous biggies:

Daredevil opened to $40+ million in February
The Hulk opened to $62 million
X-Men opened to $54 million back in 2000
X2 opened to ~$85 million

I don't even need to mention Spider-Man and its sequel.

I don't see why F4 should do any worse than at least Daredevil that managed a $40 million opening in February.

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Tue May 03, 2005 3:59 pm
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F4 will probably make it, but I really think the legs will be horrible.


Tue May 03, 2005 4:38 pm
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