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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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xiayun wrote: Could Sacha Baron Cohen really be a contender? Poland is pushing it, but I wonder if critics will.
If Borat make 200 million, he will be lock.
You heard it first here!
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Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:47 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm Posts: 13270 Location: Yuppieville
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Umm, not sure how much range Borat is going to allow Sacha Baron Cohen to show.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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Fri Sep 15, 2006 10:21 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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yoshue wrote: But my understanding is that Rescue Dawn isn't....very good. And as god-like as Herzog can be, he can also make poo-poo. Like any genius, really.
Lots of poor word is leaking out on the internet.
Where? Variety gave it a positive review and the other review thats on RT said it's deserving of oscar recognition.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Fri Sep 15, 2006 10:46 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40501
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So...
Whitaker
O'Toole
Pitt
Damon
Pierce
Bottom 2 are slightly hazy, Pierce is just a wild guess from me.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Sep 17, 2006 3:58 pm |
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Ripper
2.71828183
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:16 pm Posts: 7827 Location: please delete me
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Hm, well, Kingsley's and De Niro's wins certainly were deserving. But, really, he had the misfortune of being nominated next to win-locks pretty often like Peck, Kingsley, Brando and De Niro. 1964 and 1968 were his best chances.
In 64 he should have lost to Sellers.
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Sun Sep 17, 2006 4:42 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Leonardo DiCaprio
Forest Whitaker
Peter O'Toole
Will Smith
Brad Pitt (if lead)
Quite an impressive line-up if it vomes true. If it does, O'Toole will be winning.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Sep 18, 2006 7:06 am |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am Posts: 2913 Location: Portugal
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These two are locks:
Forest Whitaker
Peter O'Toole
the rest are wild guesses so far... but either way, I think it's going to be O'Toole's year (finally!) 
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Mon Sep 18, 2006 8:12 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22198 Location: Places
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m still pulling for bale to get a nom.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:59 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Leonardo DiCaprio Forest Whitaker Peter O'Toole Will Smith Brad Pitt (if lead)
Quite an impressive line-up if it vomes true. If it does, O'Toole will be winning.
I'd replace Smith with Jude Law.
I actually don't know anything about either of their films but I don't think Smith will get nominated.
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Mon Sep 18, 2006 8:35 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Raffiki wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Leonardo DiCaprio Forest Whitaker Peter O'Toole Will Smith Brad Pitt (if lead)
Quite an impressive line-up if it vomes true. If it does, O'Toole will be winning. I'd replace Smith with Jude Law. I actually don't know anything about either of their films but I don't think Smith will get nominated.
Hmm, can Law be nominated three times for a Minghella film? Possible...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Sep 19, 2006 4:20 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Forest Whitaker is gonna get the OPRAH push
He'll be on the show Thursday
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Wed Sep 20, 2006 2:46 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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At this point, Whitaker is the only one who can beat O'Toole.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Sep 21, 2006 7:13 pm |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am Posts: 2913 Location: Portugal
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ok, here we go:
Forrest Whitaker - The Last King of Scotland (locked)
Peter O'Toole - Venus (locked)
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Departed
Ryan Gosling - Half Nelson (it has the reviews, but the movie needs to expand more, I guess... I still think he'll make it, though.. weak category this year, or so it seems so far)
Matt Damon - The Good Shepherd
Alternates: Patrick Wilson (Little Children), Will Smith (The Pursuit of Happyness), George Clooney (The Good German)
Jude Law seems to be out...
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Fri Sep 22, 2006 9:58 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40501
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O'Toole, Whittaker, and Leo should all be good for nominations. So 2 more slots. Pitt and Damon I guess for now.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:40 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Shack wrote: So...
Whitaker O'Toole Pitt Damon Pierce
Bottom 2 are slightly hazy, Pierce is just a wild guess from me. Might be a good guess.... http://hollywood-elsewhere.com/archives ... ost_47.phpQuote: While speaking to Factory Girl star Sienna Miller, Daily Mail columnist Baz Bamigboye makes mention of the fact that "those who have seen early rough-cut versions" -- partly a reference to yours truly -- "tell me the performances of Sienna and leading man Guy Pearce, as Warhol, are brilliant. So much so that studio chief Harvey Weinstein plans a year-end Oscar campaign for them."
I never said anything rock-solid about Harvey planning to release Factory Girl, so presumably Baz has done some digging of his own. That or Sienna said so.
Here's how I put it in mid-August: "I know award-quality when I see it, and Sienna Miller's capturing of Edie Sedgwick totally rates. It may be the most eerily accurate reviving of a dead person I've ever seen in a film. And yet Miller projects dimension and gravitas in spades -- an unmistakable sadness and snap and aliveness like nothing I've gotten from an actress in any movie so far this year. She isn't just a dead ringer for the real McCoy -- she gets her fluttery debutante laugh, that mixture of Warholian cool and little-girl terror, the giddy euphoria, the cracked voice. It's more than convincing -- it's a kind of rebirthing."
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Sep 23, 2006 3:01 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Pitt is going for supporting, as Kris Tapley is told.
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Sat Sep 23, 2006 4:39 am |
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Anonymous
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Ryan Gosling definitely deserves a nomination.
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Sun Sep 24, 2006 9:27 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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DiCaprio will almost certainly get in. All reviews praise him in The Departed.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Sep 25, 2006 9:56 am |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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xiayun wrote: Pitt is going for supporting, as Kris Tapley is told.
If he actually turns in a great performance, he might be the front-runner. nad make the Best Actor race a bit more interesting. I don't know of there was a chance of him winning had he gone for and got nominated for lead.
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Mon Sep 25, 2006 10:46 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Dr. Lecter wrote: DiCaprio will almost certainly get in. All reviews praise him in The Departed.
Okay, now we're going a little far. He's a contender (I'm very close to predicting him), but almost certain? He's not that beloved by the academy, and I think Jack will suck up most of his energy come awards season.
My predictions:
Matt Damon, The Good Shepard
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson (Risky, I know, but everyone who sees the film loves him, and ThinkFilm sounds very confident in campaigning this)
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitiker, The Last King of Scotland
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Mon Sep 25, 2006 11:05 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22198 Location: Places
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why people seem to think smith in pursuit of happyness is gonna be an oscar movie?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Sep 25, 2006 11:54 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Even though his name hasn't been mentioned by anyone, Ed Harris playing Beethoven was a possibility. It's looking like it's not one anymore.
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/copying_beethoven/
Reviews Counted: 5
Fresh: 1 Rotten: 4
Average Rating: 4.3/10
20%
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Tue Sep 26, 2006 7:10 am |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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I don't think Gosling will get in unless the race weakens by quite a bit.
He was great, yes but giving him a nod here I think would be acknowledgin his impressive work thus far and not just solely for Half Nelson.
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Tue Sep 26, 2006 1:31 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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As of now:
Leonardo Di Caprio
Matt Damon
Forest Whitaker
Peter O'Toole
Will Smith
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Sat Sep 30, 2006 10:53 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Hm, Sasha Stone is putting Nicholson in with the Lead Actor contenders.
?
:swing:
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Sat Sep 30, 2006 10:57 am |
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