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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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 no way talladega didnt break 15 million, no way  _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 4:51 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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Barnyard: 4.1 - 4.5
Median: 4.3
Weekend Projection: 13.1 - 14.1
Median: 13.6
Descent: 2.6 - 3.0
Median: 2.8
Weekend Projection: 7.0 - 8.1
Median: 7.55
Talladega Nights: 13.7 - 14.7
Median: 14.2
Weekend Projection: 37.0 - 41.1
Median: 39.0
Last edited by Kenspy on Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:27 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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I'm gonna say:
Talladega Nights: $11.5M (I think the Nascar folk will keep the ratio higher)
The Night Listener: $0.6M
Barnyard: $4.0M
The Descent: $2.4M
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:41 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Talladega Nights - 1535, +211, B
The Night Listener - 157, +18, C+
Barnyard - 329, +20, B-
The Descent - 733, +82, 454 Friday, B
Now unclogged. I think we can use the ratios at this point.
I'd say 112 for TN for 13.7m and a 35.4m weekend.
About 95 ratio for Barnyard and 3.5m Friday. Well, at least that's what the frontloading at yahoo suggests to me. However, I would have expected about 4.1m just based on the number of reviews. I'm inclined to go with a weekend of 10.2m, but it can easily be higher. I guess 3.8m and just over 11m as a compromise.
140 ratio for The Descent for 3.25 Friday and 9m for the weekend.
About 240 ratio for NL and $650,000 Friday. 2.1m weekend.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:58 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Rolling Thunder wrote: I'm gonna say:
Talladega Nights: $11.5M (I think the Nascar folk will keep the ratio higher) I'd be thrilled if that came true.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:59 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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NO WAY DEGA BEATS DUKES FRIDAY BY ONLY MILLION NO WAY
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 6:43 am |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
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Dukes had Jessica Simpson.
'Nuff said.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:28 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:27 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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jb007 wrote: Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit. (Cough) O wrote: I'm seeing more like a $16 m opening day. I think Yahoo reviews will be in a similar situation as Cars, with some underestimation based solely on the reviews. I'm not sure if its a car/Nascar thing, but just a gut. But with crowd reports, I'm going to go with $15.5-16.5 m or so.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:32 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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O wrote: jb007 wrote: Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit. (Cough) O wrote: I'm seeing more like a $16 m opening day. I think Yahoo reviews will be in a similar situation as Cars, with some underestimation based solely on the reviews. I'm not sure if its a car/Nascar thing, but just a gut. But with crowd reports, I'm going to go with $15.5-16.5 m or so. And O was close too. 
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:36 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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jb007 wrote: O wrote: jb007 wrote: Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit. (Cough) O wrote: I'm seeing more like a $16 m opening day. I think Yahoo reviews will be in a similar situation as Cars, with some underestimation based solely on the reviews. I'm not sure if its a car/Nascar thing, but just a gut. But with crowd reports, I'm going to go with $15.5-16.5 m or so. And O was close too.  I only brought it up because I went out on a limb on it.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:41 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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O wrote: I only brought it up because I went out on a limb on it. That gives you some extra points. 
I think some were as low as $11M.
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:44 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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jb007 wrote: O wrote: I only brought it up because I went out on a limb on it. That gives you some extra points. I think some were as low as $11M. I had it at 18 million.
Look it up, it's true! _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:45 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Squee wrote: [
I had it at 18 million.
Look it up, it's true! Since the estimates are at $18.2M, your prediction sucks. 
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 12:47 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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a lot of you under projected like pansies, propbably because most of you didnt predict over 40m for the film _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:25 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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BJ wrote: a lot of you under projected like pansies, propbably because most of you didnt predict over 40m for the film It's still not going to make $55+ million opening weekend and $300+ million total.
Talladega Nights - 1246 $18,100,000 68.83
The Night Listener - 128 $1,200,000 106.67
Barnyard - 299 $5,450,000 54.86
The Descent - 342 $3,350,000 102.08
Incredibly low ratios.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: BJ wrote: a lot of you under projected like pansies, propbably because most of you didnt predict over 40m for the film It's still not going to make $55+ million opening weekend and $300+ million total. Talladega Nights - 1246 $18,100,000 68.83The Night Listener - 128 $1,200,000 106.67Barnyard - 299 $5,450,000 54.86The Descent - 342 $3,350,000 102.08Incredibly low ratios. If it pulls a wedding crashers it will look at the ratio mwhaha get ready because your looking at the 2nd biggest film if summer 2006
300m+ _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:58 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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matatonio wrote: Sucks for The Descent, hope you all wrong on that one! 
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 3:09 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I hate the way the ratios keep decreasing especially with the clogging.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:33 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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DP07 wrote: I hate the way the ratios keep decreasing especially with the clogging. I'd kinda rather have them go down and make us pleasantly surprised the next day, rather then have them keep increasing and getting our hopes up.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:46 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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i told yall
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 6:01 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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jb007 wrote: Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit. Actually we were right on based on California numbers. But the heatwave stricken rest of the country propped up the numbers a bit to the point where I was under by the same percentages on all the movies ( exactly 28% too low for all 3).
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| Sat Aug 05, 2006 9:15 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Kenspy wrote: jb007 wrote: Probably Yahoo was clogged way more than normal. Only excel was close. The rest were off quite a bit. Actually we were right on based on California numbers. But the heatwave stricken rest of the country propped up the numbers a bit to the point where I was under by the same percentages on all the movies ( exactly 28% too low for all 3). That sounds reasonable. By California numbers, do you mean notfabio's numbers?
_________________
Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Sun Aug 06, 2006 1:32 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Ridiculously low ratio for Tallageda. Honestly, I'm completely shocked. If anything, I thought the ratio would be around 110 or 120 (20-30 below Anchorman). Looks like I'll be heading back to the drawing board for next weekend.
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| Sun Aug 06, 2006 2:03 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Anchorman had the frontpage BTW. Well, we didn't look at the frontpage in 2004, but it had the pattern of a frontpage movie.
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| Sun Aug 06, 2006 2:43 am |
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