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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3225
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Wow, just Wow! A $130m weekend is now likely. Possibly $140m? I estimated around $108m on the Derby and thought I might be a little high. 
_________________
I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:40 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11035
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Thats incredible for pirates 2.
fri:55.5
sat:44.4
sun:33.3
133.2
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:43 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Too many times, I had hope that the 3-day record would break, but was disappointed.
Sith
Xmen 3
HP4
Shrek 2
HP3
The Matrix 2
Sith, Xmen 3, and HP3 were the real spoilers...I was a bit hesitant about getting excited about the 3day weekend after Friday numbers (I saw more around $49 m), so the $55.5 m Friday, even with Xmen 3 legs it would still get $125 m +, and a 2.08 multiplier isn't happening, so I'm very excited to see the record finally be broken...particularly by a franchise that I like...
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:45 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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neo_wolf wrote: Thats incredible for pirates 2.
fri:55.5
sat:44.4
sun:33.3
133.2 Its not dropping over 15% on Sunday.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:45 pm |
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Outatime
Veteran
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:00 pm
Posts: 3413
Location: South Florida
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Fantastic!
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:47 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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To echo everyone else: wow. I never expected this to get over $50 million opening day, let alone $55 million. Incredible. Should do around $140 million for the weekend. It'll be ahead of Superman by Sunday.
And wow at Scanner Darkly as well. It's gonna do about $350,000 for the weekend. Quite impressive.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:50 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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fri: $55m
sat: $42m
sun: $35m
total: $132m
_________________
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:50 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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Magnus wrote: I think POTC2 OW is evidence that SM1 OW wasn't that high as it seemed. I mean, if ROTS was releaed on a Fridy, its OW would probably just be a couple million lower than POTC2. Well Spideys adjusted OW would be about $126,500,000. No matter how you cut it thats huge. POTC2 is just bigger... Amazing.
_________________
You get what you give
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:57 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Projected Opening Wknd:
Fri: 54.95m
Sat: 54.00m -1.5%
Sun: 45.30m -16%
Wknd: 154.25m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:01 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21903
Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Well color me amazed. I knever would have guessed it. after learning from a few crowds at my theater, still havent seen it yet, I was thinking 45 million. But this is absolutely amazing, this is like The Lost World beating Batman Forever. If you look at it however, each record breaker was close to 20 million higher, so this makes sense.
Lost world beat Batman by 22 million/ Harry Potter beat Lost World by 18 million, Spiderman over Harry by 24 million. I have no idea what to expect for the weekend, except that it will be frontloaded, that much is dam sure. Thanks to midnight numbers, I can see it dropping around 25% today or about 14 million. Solid 40 million second day. Give it another 35% drop and were looking at another 14 million drop to 26 million. Now given this is absolute extremes, I think it will hold a little better, but even with that it will give us a new Record of 121 million. 
Superman is disappointing, its now only going to be around 2-3 million ahead of my pace to break 200 million. It needs to hold better, or rise rediculously on Saturday, to not hit a 55%+ _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:03 pm |
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Anonymous
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Snrub wrote: Can someone list the top ten with week-to-week drops? SR -56.5%
Prada -48% (BOM), -55.4% (SBD)
Click -34.5%
Cars -28%
Nacho -41%
Lake -37%
F&F3 -41%
Waist -43%
BU -41%
DVC -37%
XM3 -50%
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:04 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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1.55m
2.48.4m -12%
39.68m -18
TOT:143.08m
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:04 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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Magnus wrote: Its huge, but it only stood for 4 years because most of the films that would have broken its record were released on non-Fridays. Over the last several years you cant dismiss the "must see" opening weekend factor. And the margins just keep grow each year. Usually followed by big drops in the upcoming weeks. This wasnt so much a factor 10 years ago and before.
_________________
You get what you give
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:04 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Thegun wrote: Well color me amazed. I knever would have guessed it. after learning from a few crowds at my theater, still havent seen it yet, I was thinking 45 million. But this is absolutely amazing, this is like The Lost World beating Batman Forever. If you look at it however, each record breaker was close to 20 million higher, so this makes sense. Lost world beat Batman by 22 million/ Harry Potter beat Lost World by 18 million, Spiderman over Harry by 24 million. I have no idea what to expect for the weekend, except that it will be frontloaded, that much is dam sure. Thanks to midnight numbers, I can see it dropping around 25% today or about 14 million. Solid 40 million second day. Give it another 35% drop and were looking at another 14 million drop to 26 million. Now given this is absolute extremes, I think it will hold a little better, but even with that it will give us a new Record of 121 million. Superman is disappointing, its now only going to be around 2-3 million ahead of my pace to break 200 million. It needs to hold better, or rise rediculously on Saturday, to not hit a 55%+ This late in the summer movies don't drop 35% on Sunday. 20% at most. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:04 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21903
Location: Walking around somewhere
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PS, BOM has superman at 7.1 a rise of 33%. I still think it might hit 24-25 million if thats the best estimate.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:05 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Thegun wrote: Well color me amazed. I knever would have guessed it. after learning from a few crowds at my theater, still havent seen it yet, I was thinking 45 million. But this is absolutely amazing, this is like The Lost World beating Batman Forever. If you look at it however, each record breaker was close to 20 million higher, so this makes sense. Lost world beat Batman by 22 million/ Harry Potter beat Lost World by 18 million, Spiderman over Harry by 24 million. I have no idea what to expect for the weekend, except that it will be frontloaded, that much is dam sure. Thanks to midnight numbers, I can see it dropping around 25% today or about 14 million. Solid 40 million second day. Give it another 35% drop and were looking at another 14 million drop to 26 million. Now given this is absolute extremes, I think it will hold a little better, but even with that it will give us a new Record of 121 million. Superman is disappointing, its now only going to be around 2-3 million ahead of my pace to break 200 million. It needs to hold better, or rise rediculously on Saturday, to not hit a 55%+ Nah, even with X3's low multiplicator (2.28) it would still be $126.5m ($55.5m x 2.28 = $126.5m)
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:07 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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DIB2 wrote: 1.55m
2.48.4m -12%
39.68m -18
TOT:143.08m that beats spiderman 2's july opening weekend by 54.924m':happy:' _________________My Most anticipated films of 2015
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:07 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Thegun wrote: PS, BOM has superman at 7.1 a rise of 33%. I still think it might hit 24-25 million if thats the best estimate. Unlikely. I think $23 million is really the best case scenario. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:10 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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The Dark Shape wrote: I'd give DP07 props if he didn't go completely bat-shit crazy yesterday. Blah, that was all the fun. This was my most anticipated BO number of all-time. What do you expect. 
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:21 pm |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm
Posts: 1037
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Do you hear that?? That is the sound of Disney execs praising on their knees to the lord of the summer blockbuster, Jerry Bruckheimer. And that is also the sound of a 4th Pirates getting the green light as both Bruckheimer and Depp want to continue to make more of them.
_________________
"You're going to tell me what I want to know. The only question is how much you want it to hurt."
Jack Bauer- Season 5
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:23 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Good for Pirates. Too bad it was nothing more than a soulless cash-grab by Disney and a big bore of a movie.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:23 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Nebs wrote: Anyway. Plan B is now in effect.
It will drop heavily on saturday. yes it will, I expect a15%-18% drop today Plan b is in effect already Congrats to dp07 who went over 135mOW I'm running out of the alphabet.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:24 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Positive Jon wrote: neo_wolf wrote: Thats incredible for pirates 2.
fri:55.5
sat:44.4
sun:33.3
133.2 Its not dropping over 15% on Sunday. You mean sat right?
Dropping 15% for a huge opening day iswvery likely.If it drops like 15% on saturday. Its sunday drop would be bigger percent wise than the typical movie
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: I'd give DP07 props if he didn't go completely bat-shit crazy yesterday. Blah, that was all the fun. This was my most anticipated BO number of all-time. What do you expect. You seriously did expect $65 million or so, though. So how do you explain that it didn't do that? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:27 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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It's gonna drop about 25% on Saturday, mark my words...  _________________
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| Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:27 pm |
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