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 July 7-9 Predictions 
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http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend.htm

Guru's predictions.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 6:59 am
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near my 108.5 million.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:02 pm
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am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:14 pm
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excel wrote:
am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?

Nope.

I have heard there a lot of TV ads but i haven't seen them(I don't watch TV). Other then the boards on the net I would have had no idea it was coming out this weekend. The only poster I have seen is across the street fromt eh Moscone Center at the Metreaon. Zero Billboards, Hell I have seen more posters for a Scanner Darkly than PoTC 2.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:17 pm
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excel wrote:
am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?


It doesn't need to be everyone new about this from about a year ago.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:19 pm
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liesse00 wrote:
excel wrote:
am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?


It doesn't need to be everyone new about this from about a year ago.

I am not convinced. THE internet Fanboys know about it. The General public may know about it but not 100% knows it is coming out this week.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:21 pm
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redspear wrote:
liesse00 wrote:
excel wrote:
am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?


It doesn't need to be everyone new about this from about a year ago.

I am not convinced. THE internet Fanboys know about it. The General public may know about it but not 100% knows it is coming out this week.


I believe someone posted a while back that the general interest and first-choice among the audiences were an all-time high. I think. xiayun would know.

Awareness is there. Marketing isn't as extreme as some other films, but it's just enough.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:22 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
redspear wrote:
liesse00 wrote:
excel wrote:
am i da only one who thinks pirates 2's u.s. marketing really wasnt all that big?


It doesn't need to be everyone new about this from about a year ago.

I am not convinced. THE internet Fanboys know about it. The General public may know about it but not 100% knows it is coming out this week.


I believe someone posted a while back that the general interest and first-choice among the audiences were an all-time high. I think. xiayun would know.

Awareness is there. Marketing isn't as extreme as some other films, but it's just enough.

I beleive it was DPo7 and he was relieing on the Yahoo Buzz meters. I don't think there was any actual studio tracking for that.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:24 pm
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No, I'm not referring to Yahoo!. It's another form of tracking, notfabio posted about it a while back.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:25 pm
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A lot of the big openers Shrek 2, X-men 3 and Rots and Hp4 had a lot of hype but not many tv ads.


I also heard Disney wants to lower hype so it will not become a massive dissapointment. So i think its good for hype to be at matrix reloaded levels.

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Last edited by Mannyisthebest on Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:25 pm
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see if this had gotten sith-sized promotion id be saying it might do 150million+cause the demand is so high. but ill keep itat 140 cause awareness


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:25 pm
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Here it is.

http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopi ... 782#674782

And you can scroll down to see comparisons to X3, Da Vinci and others. That was three weeks ago.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:28 pm
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Mannyisthebest wrote:
A lot of the big openers Shrek 2, X-men 3 and Rots and Hp4 had a lot of hype but not many tv ads.


I also heard Disney wants to lower hype so it will not become a massive dissapointment. So i think its good for hype to be at matrix reloaded levels.

Apparantly there are tons of TV ads.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:30 pm
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Extraordinary

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The TC for potc2 is 4,133, third best ever.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:38 pm
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Yeah but there is something fishy going on. For example, for some reason the theater has only 3 screens for Pirates and a normal blockbuster has 4-5. WHY??

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:40 pm
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Mannyisthebest wrote:
Yeah but there is something fishy going on. For example, for some reason the theater has only 3 screens for Pirates and a normal blockbuster has 4-5. WHY??



Apparantly disney didnt make enough prints.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:41 pm
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those idiots that can limit its opening weekend!!

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:42 pm
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Mannyisthebest wrote:
Yeah but there is something fishy going on. For example, for some reason the theater has only 3 screens for Pirates and a normal blockbuster has 4-5. WHY??

I want to know why this movie is selling out in Denver and not SF. AMC Van Ness is 30% full right now for midnight showings apparantely. Yet elsewhere it is selling like mad? LA and Orlando make sense Disney is like god over there. Oh well I wonder how it is doing in New York?

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:42 pm
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Disney reported that they wanted to keep Cars in theaters long enough to make $200 million total or something. Kinda stupid, since it'll make it this weekend, but whatever.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:43 pm
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Mannyisthebest wrote:
those idiots that can limit its opening weekend!!

I dout that. There will be sell outs(there are always sell outs) but the release is wide enough that it will sustain the demand for the film. Which I project is not as great as you guys seem to think it is.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:47 pm
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i don't think it will be able to fill demand for this film at our theater if x-men 3 and hp4 sold out at evenings and nights on 5 screens.

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 3:50 pm
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pta is looking to be north of 30,000 even with its enormous 4133 count.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:03 pm
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The way some of you guys are talking, an OD gross of 39mill would sound dissapointing, lol!


Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:06 pm
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With the lowest possibile theater average i can forsee is $24,000 and it breaks 99 million

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Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:07 pm
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an opening day under 40 million WOULD be dissapointing.


Thu Jul 06, 2006 4:11 pm
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