More then MI3, Shrek 2, T3, Meet The Fockers, Troy, Bourne Supremacy, The Last Samurai, Ocean's 12 etc. More then anything. Ever.

Well about as sure as I was when I predicted 200m+ for MBFGW. But there I had some numbers.

Hmm, I remember your Troy below-$100 million predictions, though

And now we've got Over the Hedge...

Actually, as long as you stay away from anything CGI-animated, you'll do fine

Late ads saved that from happening. That's when I increased my predictions. It was generally agreed in the industry that the marketing gave it that opening.



Well then I probably shouldn't say that Barnyard and Monster House will do poorly. But I will.

Sweet! I've got my faith restored... not that it ever left me.

i see a 102 million with no massive drop on saturday.

I see
Friday: 37 million
Saturday: 38 million +3%
Sunday: 27 million -29%
Weekend: 102 million
It will be either be between a 5% drop or 5% rise.

Should also stay above 10 million on weekdays. This will likely have have massive weekdays for 4-5 weeks.
35-40 million from weekdays
-53% next weekend (48 million 2nd weekend)

If Wom is good and due to that fact there i s nothing big after this it will likley have good drops.

After 10 days it will have 185 million to 190 million and it will have 200 million in 12 days and a nice ride to 320 million.

Friday's opening will be over $40m for sure.

MXR and RoTS had bigger hype. One of them didn't make 300 the other didn't make 400. You PoTC2 fanbois are nuts.

300 is not a lock for this film it has a very good shot at it and more then likely will make it. However it will not make 400 million 340 is the ceiling.

We're not just any fanboys. We're KJ's finest fanboys.

340 is not the celling but its unlikely it will do more.

Its now the last major film of the year and the only film with a chance at 300 million and with very little compeitition it can become a monster if it creates the perfect storm. I think it will make 300 million and it should or else the boxoffice is in trouble.
-the movie is really good and is not a complete disapointment
-the movie opens huge and has a healthy weekend (meaning it does not dive saturday)
-WOM is very positive

It will likely have stronger then usual legs meaning a multiplier of three. It can keep going through the summer so that means smaller drops and large weekdays. Superman will likely benefit from that too.

Also i don't see a massive huge friday because thier is upfront demand but not as large as Hp or x-men. So i see it going level on Saturday.

Depends on how you define "poorly". I am not sure about Barnyard, but Monster House will make $90+ million.

it should also well overseas as the WC ends 2 days after it opens.

PLus any tracking numbers. I heard Pirates was getting huge tracking numbers.

I think MH will be under 50m.

I've seen a lot of ads for MH.

DP07, I can't wait to see how disappointed you'll be when Pirates 2 "only" opens to 110 mil next week, heh. There is huge buzz no doubt, but I don't think there is enough to get that unbelievably high. I mean, 180 mil+? Let alone difficult, I don't think that's even possible for an opening weekend. There isn't enough audience around to flock that much to much to a single movie, that's beyond crazy.

And I'm in the primary audience, and I can say that while there is adequate interest, there isn't that unhumanly much. I think ROTS had more buzz, though it's audience was a bit more limited. Still though, if it get's 400 mil+ it'll be from Empire like WOM and legs, rather than a mega mega opening. I'll say 125 mil is the max for the weekend.

double.

HSX is now at a $106 m opening weekend, and rising...

Yes, $180 million is nuts. And I'm predicting close to $150 million.

i see 102 million.

They should now advertise wherever possibile to build up the hype more for this week.

i was wondering there is a prefect storm brewing out there...
The hype is there, i have seen many many ads and i have not watched much tv in a while. I see a 100 million opening and decent legs because of hardly any comepeition afterwards.

Well we remember the ROTK hype....

the Board is set...
the peices are moving..
we have come to at last!!!
THE BIGGEST MOVIE OF THE YEAR!!!

Well i have not posted much lately but with pirates coming that will change. I also predict this thread to explode in the coming week.

150m+

550m+

Nah..., but i am thinking this will get a high total because every year has one big hit movie and this seams to be it.

280 million if its worse then Pirates, 320 million if as good as the first, 350 million if it becomes a great film.

A huge opening weekend is already a given, however the quality will determine how high it will really go.

102 million. I have been perdicting 100 million openers nicely. Perdicted x-men 3 at 102 million and potter at 103 million

Why only F4 legs? The movie has no competition and will be the last really big film of the summer. I don't know why a 2.9 multiplier at the least wouldn't be obtainable. Probably somewhere in the low 3s.

Your post count is going to drop to like 500 once you get bAba to erase all of your POTC2 posts after it fails to meet your expectations

Yeah, the market is ripe for a break out to happen. OR, this could just be a year with no real break outs.

like rots in may 2005?

and Hp4 in Winter 2005?