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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm Posts: 2120
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Killuminati510 wrote: Tracking has it at over 110m
really? well that's certainly something to get excited about then!!
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 3:57 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The tracking is said to be at a level that we've never seen. All four quadrants (Male under 25, Male over 25, Female under 25, Female over 25) have over 70% definite interest in seeing the film.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:01 pm |
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liesse00
Commander Coo Coo Bananas
Joined: Sat May 20, 2006 10:45 am Posts: 585 Location: North Central Illinois
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Look at all the high predictions for Pirates, I love it! Looks like you guys have finally come to your senses.
_________________Last FMTwitter
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:02 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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Highest combination of definate interest and first choice ever recorded. In other words it tracking better then anything ever has been, with the openings we have seen such as ROTS I think that puts it at least over 140m.
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:02 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Also, notfabio reported Friday night that Pirates' pre-sale numbers were already on par with what Spider-Man had on the Sunday night before its release. One could argue people are doing more advance purchase now than 4 years ago, but that's still very impressive.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 5:00 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm Posts: 1406
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xiayun wrote: Also, notfabio reported Friday night that Pirates' pre-sale numbers were already on par with what Spider-Man had on the Sunday night before its release. One could argue people are doing more advance purchase now than 4 years ago, but that's still very impressive.
Spider-Man 1 or 2?
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 5:50 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ghostooze wrote: xiayun wrote: Also, notfabio reported Friday night that Pirates' pre-sale numbers were already on par with what Spider-Man had on the Sunday night before its release. One could argue people are doing more advance purchase now than 4 years ago, but that's still very impressive. Spider-Man 1 or 2?
1, I believe.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 5:51 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Pirates 2 will set the new 3-day weekend record, eclipsing Spider-Man. Period.
All other films will have a hefty fall.
PEACE, Mike.
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 5:55 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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I will love to see the perdictions of the websites on this film. I see 106 million and if it gets that much it will become a monster at the boxoffice anways and will be a superduper mega hit and Disney will be jumping in joy.
Over 17 million people need to come out to see pirates to break Spideys record and 19 million to beat the adjusted 130 million record.
Spiderman did not have massive internet hype and so doesn't this film so i think this has a strong chance at an 100 million weeked and now that Superman will get around 25 million in its 2nd weekend it faces hardly any competition.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:16 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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lol i have to say i love how this will break the record and we could all be dissapointed.
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:17 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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okay imo people perdicting over 125 million are just insane or just having fun.
Perdictions for this are good at 100-120 million.
If it breaks Spideys record imagine the Media hype on the film which would drive even more people to see it like it did to me in 2002. Spiderman looked interestiung but when it get 114 million i was like holy shit and said this film must be great and i wacthed it and it was good. Also it was the film that made me interested in the boxoffice.
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:22 pm |
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notfabio
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:30 pm Posts: 437
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 It reached SUPERMAN's advance sales ahead of pace...
xiayun wrote: Also, notfabio reported Friday night that Pirates' pre-sale numbers were already on par with what Spider-Man had on the Sunday night before its release. One could argue people are doing more advance purchase now than 4 years ago, but that's still very impressive.
Not Spider-man's though I don't blame your eyes glazing over that since I posted SPRMN at 12:10am  . Actually I don't have records going back that far since I wasn't actively looking at those numbers back in the olden days.
Also, advance ticketing really wasn't anywhere near as big then as it is now, so those numbers wouldn't be helpful
anyway.
SPRMN was at just over 200 for its pre-open on Monday night at close for the Tuesday. I wouldn't be shocked if it reaches 200 by the end of tonight for Thursday's pre-open.
At this point I'm expecting at least 7 million for the pre-open.
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:24 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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i just hope it doesnt drop hard. then the media will flip out. "pirtates down 60% for second straight wekend, 3rd film seems doomed".
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:24 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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not really a opening near 110 million will make it gross 300 million unless it falls +50% each weekend.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sat Jul 01, 2006 6:27 pm |
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Amer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:35 pm Posts: 1912 Location: Texas
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POTC 2- 145 Million
SMR- 31 Million
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 7:14 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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if it gets 100 million its all good in my books because then it will have better legs.
I think disney would be exicted with an 100 million weekend.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 10:35 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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POTC Deux - $100m
Superman - $27m
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 3:36 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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Mannyisthebest wrote: okay imo people perdicting over 125 million are just insane or just having fun.
Perdictions for this are good at 100-120 million.
If it breaks Spideys record imagine the Media hype on the film which would drive even more people to see it like it did to me in 2002. Spiderman looked interestiung but when it get 114 million i was like holy shit and said this film must be great and i wacthed it and it was good. Also it was the film that made me interested in the boxoffice.
Agreed. Is the hype as big as Superman 2 and Shrek 2? Perhaps but then they didn't have to go up against Superman's 2nd weekend. Any dent in boxoffice earnings is significant when you get in the $100-$130m range because that's where the record holders are. A difference of $2 million could mean getting dropped 2 spots on the all-time list.
My prediction stands: $100 m for the 3 day
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 3:38 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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Actually, due to superman dissapointing many people including myself have increased pur perdictions. I went from 95 million then to 102 million and now at 106 million. Its possibile to get 110 million as well because almost every single teenager i meet wants to see this film.
Spiderman didn't have a lot of early hype however in the last week or so it was everywhere and it was in everyones to go watch list. Pirates has a lot of fans in the general public like Spiderman 1 did and Shrek 2 did and that should give it a spiderman style opening. So i see 106 million.
Well its more hyped then x-men 3 and hyped like shrek 2 so it will get over 100 million, but the point is how high can it go over 100 million. 100 million is where its expected to get but it can go all to up to spideys record.
Nevertheless it can win the crown of the year domestically but not overseas as 500 million is way to much for this film to get, however due to a large domestic run it can beat out DVC total of 725 million.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:04 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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pirates 2-140
superman - 25 million
prada-10 million
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:26 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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i can see 115 million but what suggests 140 million?
I know it is possibile as spiderman got 130 million (adjusted) in 3600 theaters and this will likely get 4000+ and even the record.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:31 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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58 million openng day tracking.
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:51 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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excel wrote: pirates 2-140 superman - 25 million prada-10 million
Prada dropping more then Superman = Impossible
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:51 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5824
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excel wrote: 58 million openng day tracking.
just your predictions or according to what source?
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:55 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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excel where did you get that from??
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Sun Jul 02, 2006 4:57 pm |
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