Snakes on a Plane prediction
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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I have a SERIOUS snake phobia.
So, of course, I'll be seeing it.
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Sat May 27, 2006 12:48 am |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm Posts: 1777 Location: The Dirty South
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insomniacdude wrote: The audience response to this trailer last night at X3 was insane. Better than any other (yes, even Superman).
28/60, but most likely higher.
Superman got boos at my place...
Snakes everyone went crazy..ghost rider there was 50% clapping etc...Omean people were like "cool"... my super ex girlfriend got tons of laughs...
When my super ex girlfriend gets a better reaction than superman in a "comic book geek" audience, its in trouble...
Anywho snakes
22 million opening....75% drop 2nd weekend 
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Sat May 27, 2006 1:03 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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1. Superman got booed because everyone hates that Singer left X3 to do Superman, they are just jealous
2. Snakes on a Plane got the BEST reaction I've EVER seen to a trailer. It wowed me!
So... My predict is:
Opening- $52.8 mil
Total- $99.9 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat May 27, 2006 1:31 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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ChipMunky wrote: 1. Superman got booed because everyone hates that Singer left X3 to do Superman, they are just jealous 2. Snakes on a Plane got the BEST reaction I've EVER seen to a trailer. It wowed me! So... My predict is: Opening- $52.8 mil Total- $99.9 mil
Those are some horrid legs. I guess they're fitting though because snakes don't actually have any 
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Sat May 27, 2006 1:33 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22210 Location: Places
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superman didnt get boos hear.whispers...no clapping oranything though
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Sat May 27, 2006 1:53 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Joe wrote: ChipMunky wrote: 1. Superman got booed because everyone hates that Singer left X3 to do Superman, they are just jealous 2. Snakes on a Plane got the BEST reaction I've EVER seen to a trailer. It wowed me! So... My predict is: Opening- $52.8 mil Total- $99.9 mil Those are some horrid legs. I guess they're fitting though because snakes don't actually have any 
Everyone who wants to see this will on opening weekend... then MOST will like it and see it one more time in about a week.
I expect it to be out of theaters by week 3 
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat May 27, 2006 2:07 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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<embed src="http://www.snakesonaplane.com/banners/468x60.swf" quality="high" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="468" height="60"></embed>
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat May 27, 2006 2:45 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40589
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Oh my god I love it.
If my sig wasn't already stock-full I would put it in there.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat May 27, 2006 4:09 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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But mine can still fit it 
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 27, 2006 6:43 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Actually, I got rid of it. I don't like that it has a sound.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 27, 2006 7:18 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Friday: 17.9
Saturday: 13.7 (-23%)
Sunday: 10.2 (-25%)
Opening: 41.8
Total: 89.8 (2.15)
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Sat May 27, 2006 4:54 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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40/80 seems like a good bet at this point. Legs will be absolutely horrible. Worse than FVJ and AVP.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Sat May 27, 2006 5:22 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Quote: 'Snakes' sheds previews
By DAVE MCNARY
Taking the route employed by many genre films, New Line has decided to avoid any potentially buzz-killing pre-release reviews of "Snakes on a Plane."
"Snakes," which has developed a surprisingly high interest level on the Internet in the past year, will launch without press screenings prior to its first late-evening showings on Aug. 17. The pic, starring Samuel L. Jackson, will open at 2,500-plus playdates.
New Line said Monday the decision was the result of the fan support for "Snakes," directed by David Ellis.
"Understanding that they would be the driving force behind the film, we decided early on they should be the first to see it," the mini-major said. "They will have the opportunity on Thursday evening, Aug. 17, at 10 p.m. shows across the country. We are not planning any advance media or promotional screenings prior to that."
http://www.variety.com/story.asp?l=stor ... 46950&c=13
So around 2500 theaters OW.
What a stupid excuse about the no press screenings.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:47 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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Killuminati510 wrote: Quote: 'Snakes' sheds previews
By DAVE MCNARY
Taking the route employed by many genre films, New Line has decided to avoid any potentially buzz-killing pre-release reviews of "Snakes on a Plane."
"Snakes," which has developed a surprisingly high interest level on the Internet in the past year, will launch without press screenings prior to its first late-evening showings on Aug. 17. The pic, starring Samuel L. Jackson, will open at 2,500-plus playdates.
New Line said Monday the decision was the result of the fan support for "Snakes," directed by David Ellis.
"Understanding that they would be the driving force behind the film, we decided early on they should be the first to see it," the mini-major said. "They will have the opportunity on Thursday evening, Aug. 17, at 10 p.m. shows across the country. We are not planning any advance media or promotional screenings prior to that." http://www.variety.com/story.asp?l=stor ... 46950&c=13 So around 2500 theaters OW. What a stupid excuse about the no press screenings.
Translated= The Finished product sucks, so let the internet fans see it 1st since they made such a big deal out of it.. 
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:50 am |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21230 Location: Massachusetts
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MIAMI_BKB wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: Quote: 'Snakes' sheds previews
By DAVE MCNARY
Taking the route employed by many genre films, New Line has decided to avoid any potentially buzz-killing pre-release reviews of "Snakes on a Plane."
"Snakes," which has developed a surprisingly high interest level on the Internet in the past year, will launch without press screenings prior to its first late-evening showings on Aug. 17. The pic, starring Samuel L. Jackson, will open at 2,500-plus playdates.
New Line said Monday the decision was the result of the fan support for "Snakes," directed by David Ellis.
"Understanding that they would be the driving force behind the film, we decided early on they should be the first to see it," the mini-major said. "They will have the opportunity on Thursday evening, Aug. 17, at 10 p.m. shows across the country. We are not planning any advance media or promotional screenings prior to that." http://www.variety.com/story.asp?l=stor ... 46950&c=13 So around 2500 theaters OW. What a stupid excuse about the no press screenings. Translated= The Finished product sucks, so let the internet fans see it 1st since they made such a big deal out of it.. 
Were people expecting a finished prouct that didn't suck?
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 3:00 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Notice how that's the exact same thing that AVP did two years ago (no critic screenings, midnight showings "for the fans," etc.) and that "didn't suck" for BKB.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:26 am |
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notfabio
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:30 pm Posts: 437
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 It's timed for SLJ's Comic Con appearance..
Killuminati510 wrote: Quote: 'Snakes' sheds previews
By DAVE MCNARY
Taking the route employed by many genre films, New Line has decided to avoid any potentially buzz-killing pre-release reviews of "Snakes on a Plane."
"Snakes," which has developed a surprisingly high interest level on the Internet in the past year, will launch without press screenings prior to its first late-evening showings on Aug. 17. The pic, starring Samuel L. Jackson, will open at 2,500-plus playdates.
New Line said Monday the decision was the result of the fan support for "Snakes," directed by David Ellis.
"Understanding that they would be the driving force behind the film, we decided early on they should be the first to see it," the mini-major said. "They will have the opportunity on Thursday evening, Aug. 17, at 10 p.m. shows across the country. We are not planning any advance media or promotional screenings prior to that." http://www.variety.com/story.asp?l=stor ... 46950&c=13 So around 2500 theaters OW. What a stupid excuse about the no press screenings.
Basically they went this route so they could have a marketing gimmick to throw out at SLJ's Comic Con appearance
on Friday.
Besides, you know that even if Joe Q Python gave a stunningly heartbreaking performance critics would still slash
and burn it.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 8:37 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Killuminati510 wrote: Quote: 'Snakes' sheds previews
By DAVE MCNARY
Taking the route employed by many genre films, New Line has decided to avoid any potentially buzz-killing pre-release reviews of "Snakes on a Plane."
"Snakes," which has developed a surprisingly high interest level on the Internet in the past year, will launch without press screenings prior to its first late-evening showings on Aug. 17. The pic, starring Samuel L. Jackson, will open at 2,500-plus playdates.
New Line said Monday the decision was the result of the fan support for "Snakes," directed by David Ellis.
"Understanding that they would be the driving force behind the film, we decided early on they should be the first to see it," the mini-major said. "They will have the opportunity on Thursday evening, Aug. 17, at 10 p.m. shows across the country. We are not planning any advance media or promotional screenings prior to that." http://www.variety.com/story.asp?l=stor ... 46950&c=13 So around 2500 theaters OW.
Is anyone really surprised by this? It's a film called 'Snakes on a Plane' for goshsakes. Critics aren't really the audience for it. I knew ever since this whole thing started that it wouldn't have press screenings. There's no reason to. Either you want to see it or you don't.
Nice to know it's going to have early showings. I've got to go to one of those. It'll be like a party. 
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 9:26 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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2500 theaters definately means it wont open to 30 million. While calling it a bomb is too extreme in BKB's case, he is right though that its being quite overpredicted but I still think an opening in the low 20s makes more sense and its still a hit no matter.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 12:47 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: 2500 theaters definately means it wont open to 30 million. While calling it a bomb is too extreme in BKB's case, he is right though that its being quite overpredicted but I still think an opening in the low 20s makes more sense and its still a hit no matter.
It says "2,500 plus", I expect around 2,700-2,800 theatres and a certain $10,000+ PTA.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:02 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Dr. Lecter wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: 2500 theaters definately means it wont open to 30 million. While calling it a bomb is too extreme in BKB's case, he is right though that its being quite overpredicted but I still think an opening in the low 20s makes more sense and its still a hit no matter. It says "2,500 plus", I expect around 2,700-2,800 theatres and a certain $10,000+ PTA.
Certaintly not 3000 though, I do think at this stage the buzz has alot to do with the internet as I saw the reaction for SOAP trailer that got "what the hell was that?" type giggles. Also its jump on the yahoo buzz and imdb wasnt that huge or significant. 20+ million OW sounds reasonable but definately not the insane 30 million OW
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:09 pm |
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm Posts: 9566
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: 2500 theaters definately means it wont open to 30 million. While calling it a bomb is too extreme in BKB's case, he is right though that its being quite overpredicted but I still think an opening in the low 20s makes more sense and its still a hit no matter. It says "2,500 plus", I expect around 2,700-2,800 theatres and a certain $10,000+ PTA. Certaintly not 3000 though, I do think at this stage the buzz has alot to do with the internet as I saw the reaction for SOAP trailer that got "what the hell was that?" type giggles. Also its jump on the yahoo buzz and imdb wasnt that huge or significant. 20+ million OW sounds reasonable but definately not the insane 30 million OW
Of course it is, it's entirely about the Internet. If the level of excitement for Snakes on a Plane was representative of the world outside the internet, I think many of us would be predicting more in the 200m range.
The reality is around (at a high) 60m at this point.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:36 pm |
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TimTheEnchanter
Hatchling
Joined: Fri May 20, 2005 11:47 am Posts: 11
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The dailies on this should be interesting. Maybe something like...
Thursday Midnights: $12m
Friday: $6m
Sat: $4m
Sun: :crickets:

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Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:08 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40589
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I'm thinking low 20s opening for now. It's being marketed as a straight thriller, only the posters are funny. I don't think the real world is in on the joke, it's all the internet, this isn't building hype like Scary Movie I don't believe. Also, the audience for this is extremely limited, it's basically young males and the random internet dork.
So it'll do well, but 40 mil+ and 50 mil+? Nah.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:56 pm |
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Dreamline
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:18 pm Posts: 431 Location: SoCal
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TimTheEnchanter wrote: The dailies on this should be interesting. Maybe something like... Thursday Midnights: $12m Friday: $6m Sat: $4m Sun: :crickets: 
I agree with a low 20s for its opening. 50m total will be interesting.
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Tue Jul 18, 2006 5:52 pm |
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