The Da Vinci Code prediction thread
The Da Vinci Code prediction thread
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Shack wrote: Final prediction: Opening - $100 mil Total - $325 mil Honestly, I went with 89.6 for the derby, but my real no guts no glory predict is that it'll get 100. 
I like that prediction. 
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Fri May 19, 2006 1:17 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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opening - 80.4m
Final - 225.1m
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.  and many more.
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Fri May 19, 2006 1:44 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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Final Prediction
Friday - $27.8 million
Saturday - $29.2 million (+5%)
Sunday - $23.3 million (-20%)
Opening Weekend - $80.3 million (2.89x)
Total Domestic Gross - $256.96 million (3.20x)
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Fri May 19, 2006 1:58 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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85 and 250 are my final predictions.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri May 19, 2006 2:55 am |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am Posts: 13403
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80/240 for me.
_________________ Rosberg was reminded of the fuel regulations by his wheel's ceasing to turn. The hollow noise from the fuel tank and needle reading zero had failed to convay this message
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Fri May 19, 2006 3:03 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Opening - 33
Final - 125
Opening - 72m Final - 215m
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Fri May 19, 2006 3:05 am |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm Posts: 5868
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74/220
I think the "boring" factor the critics have all been talking about will affect the WOM a little bit, decresing it's full potential legs.
_________________
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Fri May 19, 2006 4:34 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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It will have two sizable drops and then level off.
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Fri May 19, 2006 4:41 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Final prediction.
Friday: $26.8 million
Saturday: $29.6 million (+10%)
Sunday: $23.9 million (-19%)
Opening Weekend: $80.3 million ($21,500 PTA)
Domestic Total: $240.9 million
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Fri May 19, 2006 6:02 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Zingaling wrote: Final prediction.
Friday: $26.8 million Saturday: $29.6 million (+10%) Sunday: $23.9 million (-19%)
Opening Weekend: $80.3 million ($21,500 PTA) Domestic Total: $240.9 million
Your opening weekend daily totals are almost to the penny what I predicted. I haev it at abotu 82 mill for the weekend, but it is uncanny at how close we the films for each day. Our precentage increase and decrease is pretty much exact with me seeing a 10% increase on Satu and a 18% decrease on Sunday.
83.5
Total- 255
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Fri May 19, 2006 6:31 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Okay, final predictions:
Opening weekend - $90.9 million
Total gross - $241 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri May 19, 2006 6:32 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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My final final predictions:
$80m / $250m
_________________
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Fri May 19, 2006 7:19 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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$58m / $148m
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Fri May 19, 2006 8:24 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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bradley witherberry wrote: $58m / $148m
Sweet. 
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Fri May 19, 2006 8:29 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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bradley witherberry wrote: $58m / $148m
Is $58M the total by Saturday night? 
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Fri May 19, 2006 8:31 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Look at it like this:
Cinderella Man was perhaps one of the best reviewed films of last year and it was laregely ignored by the public. This film will be panned by most critics and will make at least 250 mill. Now whichj one would Ron Howard rather have? I'd say the latter. Again, just proving that critics aren't worth the price of the paper that they work for.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Fri May 19, 2006 8:44 am |
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Erendis
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am Posts: 1527 Location: Emyn Arnen
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How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most.
_________________ I'm not around much anymore because I don't have time (or permission, probably) to surf the 'net from my new job.
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Fri May 19, 2006 9:19 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most.
How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it.
If it makes 80-90 mill this weekend, then it will drop no more than about 40% next weekend, if the WOM is terrible. And if that is the case, then it will make about another 50 mill for the weekend. Add in the weekdays before next weekend, and the film is already going to be at about 155-160 mill. You honestly believe it will make 20 mill more and that's it? Be realistic.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Fri May 19, 2006 9:39 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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I'm still not getting the parallel some are drawing between the Friday box office of Star Wars: ROTS and the Da Vinci Code.
I can't imagine the wide demographic I saw last year, taking the day off work/school and waiting in the parking lot for ROTS - and many of those Star Wars fans were there to see it 2-3 times back-to-back.
I can't really imagine some 20-something either taking the day off work and seeing DVC, nor seeing it more than once...
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Fri May 19, 2006 9:57 am |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it.
kind of contraictory there, innit?
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Fri May 19, 2006 9:59 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it. kind of contraictory there, innit?
No. I'm just commenting that there are people that do like it. I am not equating that to WOM though Baba.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Fri May 19, 2006 10:02 am |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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baumer72 wrote: bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it. kind of contraictory there, innit? No. I'm just commenting that there are people that do like it. I am not equating that to WOM though Baba.
but the public has seen it if there are people who enjoyed the book are raving about it.
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Fri May 19, 2006 10:04 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Weekend predictions:
Friday: 30.5
Saturday: 32.2 (+6%)
Sunday: 24.8 (-22%)
Total: 87.5
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Fri May 19, 2006 10:06 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Alright final final prediction time
Friday 22.5
Saturday 26.0
Sunday 20.5
$69m
Total Gross: $179m
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Fri May 19, 2006 10:07 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it. kind of contraictory there, innit? No. I'm just commenting that there are people that do like it. I am not equating that to WOM though Baba. but the public has seen it if there are people who enjoyed the book are raving about it.
Not the public. The "raido hosts " and such who have had advanced screenings.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Fri May 19, 2006 10:09 am |
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