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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Akeelah and the Bee 471, +50, B
RV 558, +56/59, B-
Stick It 700, +73/81, B+
United 93 741, +57/87, B+
The first number is the amount added to the last update, and the second one is the amount added to the numbers seen before this update.
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| Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:38 pm |
 
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Akeelah and the Bee 519, +48, B
RV 627, +69, B-
Stick It 779, +79, B+
United 93 844, +103, B+
Last edited by Jonathan on Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:40 pm |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Very nice for United 93 and Stick It.
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| Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:41 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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The good United 93 grade really surprises me. Even the review count is good. It might just be able to open very respectfully and have great legs.
PEACE, Mike.
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| Fri Apr 28, 2006 11:20 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Akeelah and the Bee 551, +32, B
RV 684, +57, B-
Stick It 852, +73, B+
United 93 926, +82, B+
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| Fri Apr 28, 2006 11:38 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Akeelah and the Bee 564, +14, B
RV 697, +13, B-
Stick It 875, +23, B+
United 93 966, +40, B+
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:58 am |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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Any other projections here? I'm thinking U93 is going to do pretty damn well.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:59 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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the french man wrote: Any other projections here? I'm thinking U93 is going to do pretty damn well. Right now I'm thinking $5M for Akeelah, $4.5-$5M for RV, $3M for Stick It, and $4M for United 93. United is the hardest to guess, but I'm going with a 250 ratio because of the good grade and few fake reviews. Xiayun & DP07 are the pros at this, though, so wait for their estimates.
Last edited by Rolling Thunder on Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:04 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Positive Jon wrote: And don't worry about Joe, Libs. He hates all movies heavily involving blacks. Yeah... that's why Denzel Washington, Morgan Freeman, and Samuel L. Jackson are among my favorite actors. They're good in everything. I just hate films that pander to one audience while making others look bad in the process.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:07 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Akeelah and the Bee 580, +16, B
RV 717, +20, B-
Stick It 924, +49, B+
United 93 1066, +100, B+
Projections:
Akeelah and the Bee - $4-6M
RV - $4.5-6.5M
Stick It - $2.5-4M
United 93 - $4M-7M
We're gonna be in for one hell of a morning tomorrow.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:58 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Based on the numbers so far, as well as crowd reports, I'd say:
Akeelah and the Bee - $3.5-4.5 million
RV - $4-5 million
Stick It - $3.5-4.5 million
United 93 - $4-5 million
A lot closer than I expected between openers.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:10 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Good to see clogging wasn't too bad this week. I'm impressed to see U93 with such a good grade and a backloaded trend. With RV being much more frontloaded I think it can actually have a higher ratio then U93. Stick It has also been less frontloaded even then RV and Akeelah.
I'd give U93 about 7m, Stick It about 3.5m, RV might get the same, and Akeelah 3m. I want the next update a least though to have a better idea of the 4 hour totals.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:10 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Akeelah and the Bee 589, +9, B
RV 721, +4, B-
Stick It 941, +17, B+
United 93 1112, +46, B+
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:56 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Final:
Akeelah and the Bee 591, +2, B
RV 726, +5, B-
Stick It 948, +7, B+
United 93 1135, +23, B+
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:45 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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My projections:
United 93 - Probably the toughest to predict here; I'll go with 5.9m given the backloading.
Stick It - Good grade and backloaded trend are positives. 250 ratio and 25 4 hour both makes sense IMO, and would mean 3.8m.
RV - Frontpage probably had a major impact, and even without it I'm not sure the ratio would be under 100. Only 42 reviews in the final 4 hours. 3.3m.
Akeelah - Didn't hold up that well at night either, yet, 2.8 wouldn't be that poor for this movie.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:57 am |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
Posts: 23283
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if i was to have predicted U93s opening day, the numbers suggested are pretty much exactly what i would have said.
_________________
I'm out.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 9:11 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Ugh, Stick It is going to make as much Opening Day as I expected Opening WEEKEND.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 11:49 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Numbers taking forever today. I wonder if U93 did so well they had to recount or something 
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:42 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Box office Mojo didn't like their "we post numbers first" comment, and has taken Friday numbers giving to a new level... 
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:54 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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DP07 wrote: My projections:
United 93 - Probably the toughest to predict here; I'll go with 5.9m given the backloading.
Stick It - Good grade and backloaded trend are positives. 250 ratio and 25 4 hour both makes sense IMO, and would mean 3.8m.
RV - Frontpage probably had a major impact, and even without it I'm not sure the ratio would be under 100. Only 42 reviews in the final 4 hours. 3.3m.
Akeelah - Didn't hold up that well at night either, yet, 2.8 wouldn't be that poor for this movie. Blah, crap projections on RV and U93. U93 was tough to project, but I should have been higher on RV. Akeelah certainly ended up with a high ratio.
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| Sat Apr 29, 2006 5:09 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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What might explain Akeelah's high ratio? This really messed me up this weekend.
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| Mon May 01, 2006 10:59 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Rolling Thunder wrote: What might explain Akeelah's high ratio? This really messed me up this weekend. The only thing I can think of is that the film does appeal to the black audience, but I'm still surprised. I guess spelling bee fans are Internet fanatics too. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Mon May 01, 2006 1:20 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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M:I3 does have two prominent ads on the front page, but both are linked to movietickets.com, so effects will be small. War of the Worlds had a ratio of 151.11 on its opening Wednesday. The backlash against Cruise has increased since then, and it's a sequel. However, with the ultra-saturation of prints and midnight showings, I think the ratio will be similar, in the 150 range.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri May 05, 2006 12:52 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I agree.
I'll go with 65 on Hoot; it feels really low to me.
180 for American Haunting IMO.
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| Fri May 05, 2006 1:01 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I'm somewhat high on Hoot since I think the grade will be lower than B-. I'll go with 100.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri May 05, 2006 1:46 am |
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