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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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ya never know. day after tomorrow was tracking at 45 and opened to 68 with shrek 2 coming right up the ass as well...
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| Sat May 06, 2006 11:32 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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excel wrote: ya never know. day after tomorrow was tracking at 45 and opened to 68 with shrek 2 coming right up the ass as well... Um no because tracking was never really used for DAT. I dont think the forums at BOM were ever using MTC projections back then.Dont get poster's predictions mixed up with tracking. Dont make stuff up 
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| Sat May 06, 2006 12:03 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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$50 million opening weekend.
$180 million finish.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 12:03 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
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Snrub wrote: $50 million opening weekend.
$180 million finish. keep dreaming.
I lower my prediciton to 102. Got a very bad trailer reaction at the showing of MI3.
Comments I heard:
"Looks like a Titanic for poor"
"Who wants to see that"
"Kurt Russel is still alive???" 
etc........
I really start to have my doubts.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 12:05 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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FILMOre McGilmore wrote: Snrub wrote: $50 million opening weekend.
$180 million finish. keep dreaming. I lower my prediciton to 102. Got a very bad trailer reaction at the showing of MI3. Comments I heard: "Looks like a Titanic for poor" "Who wants to see that" " Kurt Russel is still alive???" etc........ I really start to have my doubts. 
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| Sat May 06, 2006 12:16 pm |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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I don't know, I think this is the type of film that many people will end up seeing since there is something appealing in it for most demographics, yet no one is going to be all gung-ho and obsessive about seeing it like with MI3, X-Men, etc. It just seems like a passable summer blockbuster, and considering MI3's disappointing opening (this is going to be an oft-used phrase over the next few days) it should be able to do well enough. I'm thinking it will get a $40 mill opening at this point.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 12:21 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm
Posts: 16061
Location: The Damage Control Table
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After this weekend, I'm pretty damn sure Poisidon won't open to more than 25 million, and will lose legs quickly.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:14 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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 RAWSAW wrote: excel wrote: but i thought Poseidon was the flop This is driving me nuts. Sometimes I get the feeling that there's a certain group in these forums that are so self absorbed in there own age group that they can make or break a film. A film may look good but if its not in their personal top 3 its bound to flop. Come on people, there are others out there that make a difference. Just about everyone over 30 would remember the original. It was a massive film for the day. Its gonna bring out the old and the new. http://www.worldwideboxoffice.com/index ... popups=yesLook at that number... Ticket price for the day was $1.70.... In '05' dollars that's over $350,000,000. Now, I don't see it doing that well, but $150mil is easily obtainable. I see no reason this couldn't get to $200mil. My guts telling me to expect King Kong numbers.... (not venting on you excel) Sorry, had to repost this here. With the good but not stellar opening of MI3, people feel this ones doomed. I wouldnt jump the gun on that one. Maybe people are just sick of Tommy boy...We have a classic remake of the staple disaster film that each summer needs. Its gonna do well....
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:38 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Poseiden:
Opening weekend: 55 mill (similar to A Perfect Storm adjusted)
Total- 175 ( a little less than a Perfect Storm adjusted)
This will be a fun film and i am looking forward to it!!
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:42 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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RAWSAW wrote: excel wrote: but i thought Poseidon was the flop This is driving me nuts. Sometimes I get the feeling that there's a certain group in these forums that are so self absorbed in there own age group that they can make or break a film. A film may look good but if its not in their personal top 3 its bound to flop. Come on people, there are others out there that make a difference. Just about everyone over 30 would remember the original. It was a massive film for the day. Its gonna bring out the old and the new. http://www.worldwideboxoffice.com/index ... popups=yesLook at that number... Ticket price for the day was $1.70.... In '05' dollars that's over $350,000,000. Now, I don't see it doing that well, but $150mil is easily obtainable. I see no reason this couldn't get to $200mil. My guts telling me to expect King Kong numbers.... (not venting on you excel) It has Godfather listed as number 1 but take into consideration its sequel Godfather 3 that came out lik 15 years later and flopped. Just because the original did bank back then wouldnt mean the sequel would also. I dont see the Exorcist prequel doing stellar numbers either
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:43 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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fyi-my flop comment was sarcasm. i think weill do 50/175.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:48 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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Oompa Loompa Midget Man wrote: RAWSAW wrote: excel wrote: but i thought Poseidon was the flop This is driving me nuts. Sometimes I get the feeling that there's a certain group in these forums that are so self absorbed in there own age group that they can make or break a film. A film may look good but if its not in their personal top 3 its bound to flop. Come on people, there are others out there that make a difference. Just about everyone over 30 would remember the original. It was a massive film for the day. Its gonna bring out the old and the new. http://www.worldwideboxoffice.com/index ... popups=yesLook at that number... Ticket price for the day was $1.70.... In '05' dollars that's over $350,000,000. Now, I don't see it doing that well, but $150mil is easily obtainable. I see no reason this couldn't get to $200mil. My guts telling me to expect King Kong numbers.... (not venting on you excel) It has Godfather listed as number 1 but take into consideration its sequel Godfather 3 that came out lik 15 years later and flopped. Just because the original did bank back then wouldnt mean the sequel would also. I dont see the Exorcist prequel doing stellar numbers either You bring up 2 shit sequels, to films that had multiple sequels/prequels... Here we have a great disaster film that everyone loved back in '72'. We havent heard squat about in in over 30 years which means it was ripe for a remake. Its the only disaster film of the summer, which we need every year. Ahhh, I gotta disagree with you on this one.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:52 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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excel wrote: fyi-my flop comment was sarcasm. i think weill do 50/175. I know. It just got me thinking...
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:54 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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dolcevita wrote: After this weekend, I'm pretty damn sure Poisidon won't open to more than 25 million, and will lose legs quickly. My offer is still on the table!!!!
And holy crap, I was quote worthy?! _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Sat May 06, 2006 1:56 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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I do think every summer needs that one big event disaster film. The Day After Tomorrow had a stronger central selling point (along with some awesome marketing), which is why it'll almost certainly have the higher opening weekend, but I think Poseidon will have better legs (or rather... *titter* better SEA legs!).
Honestly, I can't see this doing less than $40 million. Unless, that is, it does pull an Island or Stealth. But come on, those films were tired and cliched, products from another era. And the star power was weak. I mean, as if Josh Lucas and Jamie Foxx were ever going to draw in a crowd.
Josh Lucas and Richard Dreyfuss, on the other hand... money in the bank!
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:07 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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If we look at A Beautiful Mind's box office run, clearly Josh Lucas is a box office draw.
I rest my case.
I mean... case closed.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee."
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:10 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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Squee wrote: If we look at A Beautiful Mind's box office run, clearly Josh Lucas is a box office draw.
I rest my case.
I mean... case closed. He was also clearly the only reason Hulk scraped its way to $135 million. His name alone was enough to get people in to see a dreary art film about daddy issues and bad cgi.
Using this new "Josh Lucas is a star" theorum, I have deduced the reason Stealth failed was not down to any lack of star power, but rather due to a freak astrological event. Saturn and Mars aligned in the weeks leading to its release, causing a temporary Stealth Blind Spot (an SBS) in many Leo's and Saggitarians (Josh Lucas's main demographic).
Last edited by Snrub on Sat May 06, 2006 2:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:17 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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dolcevita wrote: After this weekend, I'm pretty damn sure Poisidon won't open to more than 25 million, and will lose legs quickly. Would you care to make that interesting?
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:17 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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Snrub wrote: Squee wrote: If we look at A Beautiful Mind's box office run, clearly Josh Lucas is a box office draw.
I rest my case.
I mean... case closed. He was also clearly the only reason Hulk scraped its way to $135 million. His name alone was enough to get people in to see a dreary art film about daddy issues and bad cgi. Using this new "Josh Lucas is a star" theorum, I have deduced the reason Stealth failed was not down to any lack of star power, but rather due to a freak astrological event. Saturn and Mars aligned in the weeks leading to its release, causing a temporary blind spot in many Leo's and Saggitarians (Josh Lucas's main demographic) to the film's existence. I bow down to thee and your freakish number crunching movie powers.
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You get what you give
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:20 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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RAWSAW wrote: Snrub wrote: Squee wrote: If we look at A Beautiful Mind's box office run, clearly Josh Lucas is a box office draw.
I rest my case.
I mean... case closed. He was also clearly the only reason Hulk scraped its way to $135 million. His name alone was enough to get people in to see a dreary art film about daddy issues and bad cgi. Using this new "Josh Lucas is a star" theorum, I have deduced the reason Stealth failed was not down to any lack of star power, but rather due to a freak astrological event. Saturn and Mars aligned in the weeks leading to its release, causing a temporary blind spot in many Leo's and Saggitarians (Josh Lucas's main demographic) to the film's existence. I bow down to thee and your freakish number crunching movie powers. I hope you're referring to me.... _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee."
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:23 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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Squee wrote: I hope you're referring to me.... 
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| Sat May 06, 2006 2:34 pm |
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DarkWater
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Dec 26, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 108
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opening weekend: 50/60 million
total: 180 million
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| Sun May 07, 2006 8:55 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Snrub + Squee = A match made in heaven. Or Massachusetts.
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| Sun May 07, 2006 10:02 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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After the MI: 3 disappointment, I think Poseidon will get some action-hungry folks into theaters. I'm upping my OW prediction to $40M. It should still have weak legs with DVC due out the week after.
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| Sun May 07, 2006 10:26 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Right now I see no way this one hitting close to $40M. notfabio reported it will average three screens in the large theaters. That pretty much put its ceiling at 40M. The online buzz numbers are much weaker than M:I3's at the same point last week.
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| Sun May 07, 2006 1:54 pm |
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