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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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 WOKJ's May Preview _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Wed May 03, 2006 5:15 am |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Excellent article. Agreed on almost all points.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 5:47 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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littered with under predictions, especially on the big films.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed May 03, 2006 5:49 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23250
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Brilliant!
Between you and Zing (summer preview) - this site has the best and most realistic predictions of any entertainment medium.
MI3, X3, Just My Luck, Over the Hedge and Poseidon in particular are accurate. I still think Da Vinci will go higher however in total gross. As for the rest - they all will do middling business as you predict.
I really have no idea about Poseidon. I havnt felt any buzz yet. It could do $70m total or double that - which is likely.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 5:49 am |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am
Posts: 30505
Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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i'm not big on over the hedge prediction. you've provided a horrible multiplier for it. otherwise, its cool.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 7:14 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
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I think Poseidon is very underestimated.
I mean he states its lacking star power, but it has a solid cast. But he is also comparing it too much to Air Force One and The Perfect Storm and Troy, which were adult R rated thrillers. I would say this is most comparable to troy, but will still have more accessible thanks to it being PG-13 and it does look good. This is a summer popcorn disaster film. While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Wed May 03, 2006 11:30 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Thegun wrote: I think Poseidon is very underestimated.
I mean he states its lacking star power, but it has a solid cast. But he is also comparing it too much to Air Force One and The Perfect Storm and Troy, which were adult R rated thrillers. I would say this is most comparable to troy, but will still have more accessible thanks to it being PG-13 and it does look good. This is a summer popcorn disaster film. While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million. The Perfect Storm was not R-rated. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed May 03, 2006 11:39 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Thegun wrote: While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million. DAT had a $20,000 PTA. I don't think the interest for Poseidon is even half of DAT's, but it should still get a $12,000-$15,000 PTA just because it's a disaster flick opening in the Summer. So, to that end, it probably is being underestimated.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 11:56 am |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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MadGez wrote: Brilliant!
Between you and Zing (summer preview) - this site has the best and most realistic predictions of any entertainment medium.
MI3, X3, Just My Luck, Over the Hedge and Poseidon in particular are accurate. I still think Da Vinci will go higher however in total gross. As for the rest - they all will do middling business as you predict.
I really have no idea about Poseidon. I havnt felt any buzz yet. It could do $70m total or double that - which is likely. I agree. Nice work, Xiayun. 
_________________
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The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 1:31 pm |
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Ragnarok
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
Posts: 131
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Great article, xiayun. 
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| Wed May 03, 2006 1:46 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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xiayun's prediction for Poseidon will be a lot closer than what I predicted in the Summer Preview last week. It simply does not have enough hype and great marketing to generate a $50+ million opening weekend.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 3:14 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Zingaling wrote: xiayun's prediction for Poseidon will be a lot closer than what I predicted in the Summer Preview last week. It simply does not have enough hype and great marketing to generate a $50+ million opening weekend. The studio referred to this as their "Ace in the Hole", but I also agree the hype's just not there. If this does $45M OW, that will be considered great, IMO.
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| Wed May 03, 2006 3:26 pm |
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