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 Friday Numbers 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Friday Numbers
SCARY MOVIE 4 18.8 18.8
ICE AGE 2: THE MELTDOWN 7.9 135.1
BENCHWARMERS, THE 4.2 30.2
WILD, THE 4.2 4.2
TAKE THE LEAD 2.5 18.3
INSIDE MAN 2.2 71.2
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN 1.7 11.2
THANK YOU FOR SMOKING 1.6 8.7
FAILURE TO LAUNCH 1.0 81.6
V FOR VENDETTA .8 64.6

http://www.showbizdata.com


Last edited by Libs on Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Apr 15, 2006 11:57 am
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Sbil

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Scary Movie looks headed for about $44M. The Wild will be lucky to do more than $11M.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:00 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

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Good opening for SM4, and I knew people were overestimating when they were saying 20-22 million.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:01 pm
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Speed Racer

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Good for scary movie should make about 40-42 mil. Really good hold for Ice Age.

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Last edited by AlexGTX on Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:02 pm
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Speed Racer

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friday est from show biz data

Title Daily Total
SCARY MOVIE 4 18.8 18.8
ICE AGE 2: THE MELTDOWN 7.9 135.1
BENCHWARMERS, THE 4.2 30.2
WILD, THE 4.2 4.2
TAKE THE LEAD 2.5 18.3
INSIDE MAN 2.2 71.2
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN 1.7 11.2
THANK YOU FOR SMOKING 1.6 8.7
FAILURE TO LAUNCH 1.0 81.6
V FOR VENDETTA .8 64.6

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Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:06 pm
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That's nice for Ice Age 2, isn't that above expectations?


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:08 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

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Good call by DP07 predicting that TYFS was an exception and would not gross as much as Yahoo Reviews indicated.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:09 pm
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Speed Racer

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MG Casey wrote:
That's nice for Ice Age 2, isn't that above expectations?


I think so, Im pretty sure people had it at a 5 mil friday. Also good for Inside Man and The Benchwarmers. Oh and by the way is this a 4 day weekend or a 3 day?

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Last edited by AlexGTX on Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:10 pm
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Sbil

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Very good holds in general, as expected.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:12 pm
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Begging Naked
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Wow, it looks likea good weekend for me in the Derby!


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:12 pm
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Sbil

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Even despite Easter, this weekend should remain way ahead of the same weekend last year.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:15 pm
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I assume Easter results in lower grosses for family films. I'm not sure how it affects older audience films though.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:17 pm
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Angels & Demons

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That's pretty bad for The Wild, won't even reach 10m.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:21 pm
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Extraordinary
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headcrush wrote:
That's pretty bad for The Wild, won't even reach 10m.


I had it at 10.6, just a gut feeling, when most people had it at almost twice that, so that's good for me. However, I apparently underpredicted Scary Movie too. Well, we shall see. I am anxious to see the estimates.

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Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:34 pm
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Extraordinary

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I went w/ $11 m for the Wild, but I knew even that was optimistic. I don't know where that $20 m + avg from the derby came from, nor the high hsx price. This film had no + buzz whatsoever...

Good for Ice Age 2, its chances at $200 m have gone back up, but I think it'll fall a bit short.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:43 pm
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Are these projections any good?

SCARY MOVIE 4 $44m
ICE AGE 2: THE MELTDOWN $17.3m
BENCHWARMERS, THE $11m
WILD, THE $10.3m
TAKE THE LEAD $6.5m
INSIDE MAN 6m
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN $4.3m
THANK YOU FOR SMOKING $4.1m
FAILURE TO LAUNCH $2.8m
V FOR VENDETTA $2.2m


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:47 pm
The French Dutch Boy
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Nebs wrote:
Are these projections any good?

SCARY MOVIE 4 $44m
ICE AGE 2: THE MELTDOWN $17.3m
BENCHWARMERS, THE $11m
WILD, THE $10.3m
TAKE THE LEAD $6.5m
INSIDE MAN 6m
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN $4.3m
THANK YOU FOR SMOKING $4.1m
FAILURE TO LAUNCH $2.8m
V FOR VENDETTA $2.2m


Look pretty good to me. Could someone who can, update the calculator? It's still on last weeks films.

PEACE, Mike.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:50 pm
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On it. :shades:


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:52 pm
College Boy Z

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Great for Scary Movie. It should make closer to $45 million this weekend and finish with just over $100 million total.

Not too good for The Wild. I shouldn't have raised my prediction at the last second.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:56 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Thanks! :)

The only thing I think may be off in your projections is a 2.8 multiplier for Failure to Launch. Seems too much. But what do I know.

PEACE, Mike.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:58 pm
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College Boy Z

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Nebs wrote:
Are these projections any good?

SCARY MOVIE 4 $44m
ICE AGE 2: THE MELTDOWN $17.3m
BENCHWARMERS, THE $11m
WILD, THE $10.3m
TAKE THE LEAD $6.5m
INSIDE MAN 6m
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN $4.3m
THANK YOU FOR SMOKING $4.1m
FAILURE TO LAUNCH $2.8m
V FOR VENDETTA $2.2m


If Ice Age II follows Robots pattern from last Easter, it should make atleast $19 million over the weekend.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:59 pm
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Ah, lets leave it be for a while. Updating even just one number makes us enter all the numbers and names of movies again.

And it will get $2.8! ;)


Sat Apr 15, 2006 1:00 pm
Indiana Jones IV

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I can't help but find it amusingly ironic that Disney axed its 2-D animation in favor of movies like this one, when this film looks to be headed for a lower opening weekend than Return to Neverland, Home on the Range, and Treasure Planet.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 1:30 pm
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Wow, I thought The Wild would be a smash :blush:

I guess 3D animated movies aren't guaranteed at hitting $100+ million anymore.


Sat Apr 15, 2006 1:48 pm
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BOM's number for SM4 is much larger, at $19,150,000.
Fantastic for ICE AGE and BENCHWARMERS


Sat Apr 15, 2006 2:20 pm
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