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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm Posts: 5868
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Sad Clown wrote: the BJ equation
(BJ's prediction/2)+ (BJ's prediction/10)= true NA number
382.2
I'll hold you to that...
_________________
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 4:06 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11035
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It wont come close to 500mill,it wont even get to 300mill.260mill tops!
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 4:39 pm |
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The Steeeve
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Feb 18, 2006 2:40 pm Posts: 331
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130/508
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 5:51 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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insomniacdude wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Would someone like to fill me in on when Pirates of the Caribbean apparently became a phenomenon? The kind of thing you remember twenty years after the fact? The same thing could be said about Spider-man and Shrek 2 (especially Shrek 2). And yet the latter is number three on the domestic chart. And let's not forget that Shrek 2 and Pirates 2 have a lot of similar traits...breakout original WOM family hits that sold MASSIVE DVDs. I know 500 sounds crazy, but c'mon, nobody predicted 400 for Shrek 2, and look how that turned out. I'm so in, btw. Not that you needed me to tell you.
Yeah, whether it's a "phenomenon" or not is disputable, but you can't say anything about Shrek 2 that you can't about POTC 2.
I'm in BTW, although I think the club should be at the Shrek 2 level.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 7:25 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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jedimaster193 wrote: 130/508
Can't wait until this gets a bump in July. 
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 7:28 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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Magnus101 wrote: Shack wrote: If everyone is bringing up Shrek 2, you might as well bring up Spider-man 2 as well... Not really. SM1 was always going to be huge hit. Yes, SM1 was much bigger than people thought but it was always going to be huge. Shrek and POTC were both fiilms that people were unsure about, and both movies surprised all with their fairly big openings(for a non-franchise movie). And then both really surprised everyone with their amazing legs. And both had great DVD sales. Shrek is the best comparison.
Exactly, when something is as anticipated and well know before release as Spider-Man, there are fewer potential fans to add on DVD (the reason Shrek had a far greater gain in BO then the LOTR films). On DVD sleeper hits have a large pool of people who didn't catch them in theaters.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 7:31 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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Zingaling wrote: We know the only three members in this club will be BJ, insomniacdude and DP07.
6 and counting. 
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 7:32 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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Nope.
It'll make somewhere between $350 and $400 million. I'll say $365 million just for now.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 8:35 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Magnus101 wrote: Yeah, can we change this to the 350m+ club. Cause at least that will get like more than 5 members. And there are still MANY who don't think it will get over 350m.
Not a chance.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:07 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJ would like to congrat those that have joined, may the beast sell 80m+ tickets 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:08 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Not even close.
I don't think it will make 300 mill. The first was fun but far from the kind of film that will be remembered years from now.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:16 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Members of this awesome club
1. DP07
2. Insomniacdude
3. Jedimaster193
4. Positive Jon
5. Snrub
6. Squee
7. BJ
Those not in suport of this aweosme club
1. Magnus101
2. The Dark Shape
3. Zingaling
4. Sad Clown
5. Loyalfromlondon
6. Baumer72
7. Neo_Wolf
8. Revolutions
9. Matatonio
10. RogueONE
11. Trixster
12. Tina als girl
Those BJ is unsure of.
1. Archie Gates
2. Nazgul9
3. JB007
4. Shack
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:29 pm |
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Outatime
Veteran
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:00 pm Posts: 3413 Location: South Florida
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Oh, what the hell....count me in. 
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:33 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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baumer72 wrote: Not even close.
I don't think it will make 300 mill.
I agree.
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 11:08 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't.
Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 11:19 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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dolcevita wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't. Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once.
Considering Sith was better than the first Pirates, I'd say you're wrong.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 11:30 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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The Dark Shape wrote: dolcevita wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't. Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once. Considering Sith was better than the first Pirates, I'd say you're wrong.
Good man.
In about 3 months, we get to point at this club and laugh heartily. 
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Tue Apr 11, 2006 11:35 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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The Dark Shape wrote: dolcevita wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't. Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once. Considering Sith was better than the first Pirates, I'd say you're wrong.
ooh pffft! both sucked!

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Tue Apr 11, 2006 11:39 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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[font=Microsoft Sans Serif]I'M IN [/font]:biggrin:
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 12:41 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40599
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I'm certainly out.
It'll struggle to beat the first.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 12:43 am |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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500 how cute......
NOT IN...KEEP DREAMING
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:07 am |
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tina_als_girl
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 3:43 pm Posts: 2252 Location: Wellsville, MO
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dolcevita wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't. Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once.
Well, PotC1 certainly was; I myself saw it 11 times in theaters... I know people who actually saw it more than me! (and please note that going into PotC the first time, I was NOT a Johnny Depp fan [far from it, actually]; and it took me a few months to really get into him, so my multiple viewings came out of sheer entertainment from the movie as a whole)
And for PotC2, we've got the same cast, the same crew, the same writers, the same composer (kinda; although Badelt isn't going to be back, Zimmer overproduced the first movie's soundtrack and as many people say, Media Ventures music all sounds the same anyway....), etc. So all the ingredients are there for a repeat of the first movie. Add in new exciting characters, some EXTREMELY intense character interactions (believe me, ya'll are gonna be surprised by what you see), and lots more swordplay (Keira not only gets to wield a sword, she gets to wield TWO!), and we've got the makings of a sequel that can actually be more well-liked than the original movie. I'm seein' maybe an SW:ESB vs. SW:ANH situation; DMC ups the ante just as ESB did and cliffhangs like it did, too.... People are gonna be itchin' to see PotC3!
Joy
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:30 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Box wrote: [font=Microsoft Sans Serif]I'M IN [/font]:biggrin:
YAY! ! 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:58 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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tina_als_girl wrote: dolcevita wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't. Well, you know, unless POTC2 was actually a well enough made movie that people might want to go see it more than once. And for PotC2, we've got the same cast, the same crew, the same writers, the same composer (kinda; although Badelt isn't going to be back, Zimmer overproduced the first movie's soundtrack and as many people say, Media Ventures music all sounds the same anyway....), etc. Joy
I think POTC was a Media Ventures team thing anyway. They didn't start working on it until June 2003.
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:22 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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loyalfromlondon wrote: If Sith couldn't do it, POTC2 can't.
DVD/VHS sales:
POTC - 260m (In 2003)
AOTC - 188m (In 2002)
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Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:24 am |
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