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 2005 Golden Globe Prediction Thread 
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:sad: I'ma be at work till 9:30 :sad:

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Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:53 am
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andaroo wrote:
Make sure you have some sort of comedy thing to watch after it.

Seriously.


I think I might need to do something like that after Capote, but for different reasons. I saw the trailer before The Squid and the Whale tonight, and the voice just irritates me to no end. I have no idea how I'm going to be able to sit through that one. :huh:


Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:53 am
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Extraordinary

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Raffiki wrote:
:sad: I'ma be at work till 9:30 :sad:


Worse being on the west coast, who can't get anything live except for Oscar.

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Sat Jan 14, 2006 3:59 am
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Honestly... that bothers me a bit about Capote as well.

I understand that he talked like that, but also understand I would have strangled the real Capote probably!


Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:00 am
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xiayun wrote:
Raffiki wrote:
:sad: I'ma be at work till 9:30 :sad:


Worse being on the west coast, who can't get anything live except for Oscar.

The Golden Globes are live on the West Coast too.


Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:02 am
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So? Do the winners next Monday have a huge impact on Oscar noms? How much do you think they have? Perhaps the Oscars also unconsciously try to distinguish themselves from the Globes and never end up picking the same nominees (full set of course) or winner?

Its airing on Martin Luther King Day. That's odd....


Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:04 am
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Extraordinary

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andaroo wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Raffiki wrote:
:sad: I'ma be at work till 9:30 :sad:


Worse being on the west coast, who can't get anything live except for Oscar.

The Golden Globes are live on the West Coast too.


Hmm, it's always delayed for me every year, and this year is no different. It's 8PM EST and PST.

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Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:06 am
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dolcevita wrote:
So? Do the winners next Monday have a huge impact on Oscar noms? How much do you think they have? Perhaps the Oscars also unconsciously try to distinguish themselves from the Globes and never end up picking the same nominees (full set of course) or winner?

Its airing on Martin Luther King Day. That's odd....


The publicity can never hurt, but it's a different set of voters. The Hollywood Foreign Press obviously never got the memo that Crash was back in style. The Brokeback Mountain win for Best Picture here will create lots of momentum. Crash isn't nominated, so it's got no choice but to be in a holding pattern into the guilds start having their awards and the Oscar noms are announced. The GG definitely play in certain movie's favor. Walk the Line being one of them.


Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:09 am
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OH GOD YOU ARE RIGHT.

Is it because they moved it to Monday?

Oh well... didn't really want to watch them anyway.


Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:10 am
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Could be, even though somehow I always thought it was delayed before as well. My memory was screwed up.

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Sat Jan 14, 2006 4:16 am
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The Globes has always been delayed in the West Coast (last year, it aired against an original Desperate Housewives - I remember switching channels while seeing Teri Hatcher give her speech, and Housewives featured a scene with her, heh). Unless Andaroo has the East Coast feed of NBC. Lucky. ;)

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Sat Jan 14, 2006 5:22 am
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So, does anybody want to make winner predictions now that the ceremony is so close?

I´ll start

Supporting Actor:
Matt Dillon, Crash

Supporting Actress
Rachel Weisz, Contant Gardener

Original Score:
Brokeback Mountain

Screenplay:
Good Night, and good luck


Song:
Transamerica


Foreign Language:
Tsotsi


ACTRESS-Drama
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)


Actress - Comedy/Musical
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)

Picture - Comedy/Musical
Walk the Line

Director
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)

Actor - drama
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)


Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain

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Sun Jan 15, 2006 11:53 am
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My predictions:

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Brokeback Mountain

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Maria Bello - A History of Violence

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Walk the Line

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Kung Fu Hustle (China)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
George Clooney - Syriana

BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain

BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco - Crash

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
John Williams - Memoirs of a Geisha

BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE

"A Love That Will Never Grow Old" - Brokeback Mountain
Music by: Gustavo Santaolalla
Lyrics by: Bernie Taupin


Sun Jan 15, 2006 1:56 pm
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These are tomorrow, so get those predictions up guys and gals!

Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain

Picture - Musical Or Comedy
Walk The Line

Actor In A Leading Role - Drama
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote

Actor In A Leading Role - Musical Or Comedy
Joaquin Phoenix in Walk The Line

Actress In A Leading Role - Drama
Felicity Huffman in Transamerica

Actress In A Leading Role - Musical Or Comedy
Reese Witherspoon in Walk The Line

Actor In A Supporting Role
George Clooney in Syriana

Actress In A Supporting Role
Michelle Williams in Brokeback Mountain

Director
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain

Screenplay
Crash Written by Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco

Original Score
Memoirs Of A Geisha Composed by John Williams

Original Song
"A Love That Will Never Grow Old" From Brokeback Mountain

Foreign Film
Kung Fu Hustle


Last edited by Maverikk on Sun Jan 15, 2006 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 15, 2006 5:45 pm
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I'll repost mine.

Unlike the Oscars, I think the Director category is a little more murky considering Lee won director for Crouching. I think they could give it to Mr. Clooney. Also I'm never sure about Supporting Actress.

Best Motion Picture - Drama Brokeback Mountain
Best Motion Picture - Musical Walk the Line
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture Drama Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener
Best Director - Motion Picture George Clooney - Good Night, and Good Luck
Best Screenplay - Motion Picture Crash - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Best Original Song - Motion Picture "A Love That Will Never Grow Old" - Gustavo Santaolalla
Best Original Score - Motion Picture Memoirs of a Geisha - John Williams
Best Foreign Language Film Kung Fu Hustle

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Drama Matthew Fox - Lost
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy Steve Carell - The Office
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Drama Geena Davis - Commander in Chief
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy Felicity Huffman - Desperate Housewives
Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television Halle Berry - Their Eyes Were Watching God
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television Naveen Andrews - Lost
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television Sandra Oh - Grey's Anatomy
Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy Weeds
Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television Into the West
Best Television Series - Drama Lost


Sun Jan 15, 2006 5:48 pm
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BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Brokeback Mountain

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Felicity Huffman - Transamerica

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Walk the Line

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Kung Fu Hustle

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man

BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain

BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
Good Night, and Good Luck - George Clooney, Grant Heslov

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
Brokeback Mountain - Gustavo Santaolalla

BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE
"A Love That Will Never Grow Old" - Brokeback Mountain


Sun Jan 15, 2006 6:05 pm
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7 of us have given predictions (Lecter, Mav, dar, Haer, me, revo, Chris)

The only thing that is unanimous in all of them is Jaoquin Pheonix.


Sun Jan 15, 2006 6:19 pm
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Best Motion Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Felicity Huffman – Transamerica

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Heath Ledger – Brokeback Mountain

Best Motion Picture - Musical Or Comedy
The Squid And The Whale

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Reese Witherspoon – Walk The Line

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical Or Comedy
Joaquin Phoenix – Walk The Line

Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Rachel Weisz – The Constant Gardener

Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
George Clooney – Syriana

Best Foreign Language
Kung Fu Hustle

Best Director
Steven Spielberg – Munich

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
Match Point Written by Woody Allen

Best Original Score
Brokeback Mountain
Composed by Gustavo Santaolalla

Best Original Song - Motion Picture
"A Love That Will Never Grow Old" – Brokeback Mountain


Sun Jan 15, 2006 6:38 pm
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Extraordinary

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Best Motion Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote

Best Motion Picture - Musical Or Comedy
Walk the Line

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Reese Witherspoon, Walk The Line

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical Or Comedy
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk The Line

Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
George Clooney, Syriana

Best Foreign Language
Kung Fu Hustle

Best Director
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
Good Night, and Good Luck.

Best Original Score
John Williams, Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Original Song - Motion Picture
"A Love That Will Never Grow Old", Brokeback Mountain

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My thoughts on box office


Sun Jan 15, 2006 6:42 pm
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Just a thought - for some reason I think there might be an upset in one of the Comedy/Musical categories, I just don't think the Golden Globes is going to want to give Walk the Line a complete sweep. I predicted all WTL for those categories anyway because I can't figure out what category it wouldn't win and what would take its place. If they want to make sense they would award the acting and give BP to something else.


Sun Jan 15, 2006 6:50 pm
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haerpinot wrote:
Just a thought - for some reason I think there might be an upset in one of the Comedy/Musical categories, I just don't think the Golden Globes is going to want to give Walk the Line a complete sweep. I predicted all WTL for those categories anyway because I can't figure out what category it wouldn't win and what would take its place. If they want to make sense they would award the acting and give BP to something else.


It would be awesome if The Squid and the Whale somehow won, but I don't see that happening. Maybe Pride & Prejudice will, but Walk the Line is the safest bet.


Sun Jan 15, 2006 8:15 pm
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Mine were made a long time ago, so here an update:

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

Brokeback Mountain

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Walk the Line

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Joaquin Phoenix (Walk The Line)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Kung Fu Hustle (China)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)

BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE

Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)

BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE

Good Night, and Good Luck

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE

Brokeback Mountain

BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE

"A Love That Will Never Grow Old" (Brokeback Mountain)


I don't watch much TV, but I am sure that Lost will win Best TV Series, Drama.


So, yeah, I expect BBM to win six Globes. When was the last time a movie won that many?

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Mon Jan 16, 2006 1:14 am
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as I found these buried on page 4 - here they are again

***************************************

(from Oscar Watch)
63rd Annual Golden Globe Nominations

Cecil B. DeMille Award - Anthony Hopkins

Supporting Actor:
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Wil Farrell, The Producers
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Supporting Actress
Scarlett Johannsson, Match Point
Shirley MacLaine, In Her Shoes
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, Contant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Original Score:
Syriana
King Kong
Brokeback Mountain
Chronicles of Narnia
Memoirs of a Geisha

Screenplay:
Match Point
Good Night
Crash
Munich
Brokeback Mountain

Song:
Brokeback Mountain
Crhistmas in Love (what?)
The Producers
Transamerica
Chronicles of Narnia

Foreign Language:
Kung Fu Hustle
The Promise
Merry Christmas
Paradise Now
Tsotsi

Round 2!!!! (big ones)

ACTRESS-Drama
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Gwyneth Paltrow (Proof)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)

Actress - Comedy/Musical
Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson)
Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)
Laura Linner (Squid and the Whale)
Sarah Jessica Parker (Family Stone)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Pierce Brosnan (Matador)
Jeff Danels (Squid and the Whale)
Johnny Depp (Charlie and Chocolate Factory)
NAthan Lane (Producers)
Cillian Murphy (Breakfast in Pluto)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)

Picture - Comedy/Musical
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride and Prejudice
The Producers
The Squid and the Whale
Walk the Line

Director
Woody Allen (Match Point!!!!)
George Clooney (Good Night and Good Luck)
Peter Jackson (King Kong)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
Fernando Meirelles (Constant Gardener)
Steven Spielberg (Munich)

Actor - drama
Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Terrence Howard (Hustle and Flow)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
David Strathairn (Good Night and Good Luck)

Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain
The Constant Gardener (!!!!!)
Good Night and Good Luck
A History of Violence (!!!!!!)
Match Point (!!!!!!)


Mon Jan 16, 2006 1:23 am
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andaroo wrote:
7 of us have given predictions (Lecter, Mav, dar, Haer, me, revo, Chris)

The only thing that is unanimous in all of them is Jaoquin Pheonix.


so is anyone else even close..............

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Pierce Brosnan (Matador)
Jeff Danels (Squid and the Whale)
Johnny Depp (Charlie and Chocolate Factory)
NAthan Lane (Producers)
Cillian Murphy (Breakfast in Pluto)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)


Mon Jan 16, 2006 1:26 am
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Goldie wrote:
andaroo wrote:
7 of us have given predictions (Lecter, Mav, dar, Haer, me, revo, Chris)

The only thing that is unanimous in all of them is Jaoquin Pheonix.


so is anyone else even close..............

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Pierce Brosnan (Matador)
Jeff Danels (Squid and the Whale)
Johnny Depp (Charlie and Chocolate Factory)
NAthan Lane (Producers)
Cillian Murphy (Breakfast in Pluto)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)


Jeff Daniels is the only one who could pull off an upset. He's in one of the best reviewed films of the year and has been nominated twice in the past without a win. He's respected among his peers and appears in both The Squid and the Whale and fellow nominee Good Night, and Good Luck. I definitely don't see him upsetting Phoenix, but he'd be the one if somebody did it.


Mon Jan 16, 2006 1:31 am
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