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 Poseidon Prediction Thread! 
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Teh Mexican
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Post Poseidon Prediction Thread!
POSEIDON

Release Date: May 12th, 2006

Starring: Kurt Russell, Richard Dreyfuss, Emmy Rossum, Andre Braugher, Mike Vogel
Directed by: Wolfgang Petersen (Troy, The Perfect Storm, Air Force One)
Genres: Action/Adventure and Remake
Distributors: Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution

Competition: Mission Impossible 3 (May 6th, 2006), The Da Vinci Code (May 15th, 2006), X-Men 3 (May 26th, 2006)

Plot:
When a rogue wave capsizes a luxury cruise ship in the middle of the North Atlantic Ocean, a small group of survivors find themselves unlikely allies in a battle for their lives. Preferring to test the odds alone, career gambler John Dylan ignores captain's orders to wait below for possible rescue and sets out to find his own way to safety. What begins as a solo mission soon draws others, as Dylan is followed by a desperate father searching for his daughter and her fiancé--a young couple who hours before couldn't summon the courage to tell him they were engaged and now face much graver challenges. Along the way they are joined by a single mother and her wise-beyond-his-years son, an anxious stowaway and a despondent fellow passenger who boarded the ship not sure he wanted to live but now knows he doesn’t want to die. Determined to fight their way to the surface, the group sets off through the disorienting maze of twisted steel in the upside-down wreckage. As the unstable vessel rapidly fills with water each must draw on skills and strengths they didn't even know they possessed, fighting against time for their own survival and for each other.

TEASER TRAILER CLICK HERE

*Predictions*
Opening Weekend
excel- $70M
matatonio- $51M
MovieDude- $48M
BJ- $48M
MadGez- $47M
trixster- $45M
Magnus101- $45
Killuminati510- $45M
Zingaling- $45M
RB652- $45M
KrissyKins- $43M
hans- $40M
Riggs27- $40M
Dr. Lecter- $39.8M
sop- $37M
Joe- $35M
Andrew- $35M
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user- $34M
O- $34M
DP07- $18M

Final Gross
excel- $225M
Archie Gates- $165M
BJ- $154M
matatonio- $146M
MovieDude- $135M
KrissyKins- $135M
MadGez- $130M
trixster- $130M
Killuminati510- $130M
RB652- $130M
Magnus101- $125M
Riggs27- $121M
Zingaling- $115M
Joe- $110M
sop- $105M
Dr. Lecter- $105M
hans- $101M
O- $97M
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user- $90M
DP07- $50M


Last edited by matatonio on Sun Jan 15, 2006 3:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:19 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Looks really uninteresting, and I'm certain it can't do nearly as much as Troy. That one had endless hype and marketing. Brad Pitt and Orlando Bloom do not sell that many tickets IMO, but they certainly didn't hurt. Plus, by the look of it special effects look less impressive.

I think it's another KOH.

18m/50m


Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:23 am
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Extraordinary
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Top of the heap, ma!


Opening: $135,823,504

Total: $739,504,392


Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:24 am
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KOH was rated R and was following on the heels of countless other historical epics. Plus the trailers were some of the most incomprehensible of the entire year. I don't think this will be huge, but I could see it doing relatively well. Disaster movies have proven to be quite profitable in many occasions, and while this won't be another DAT (although the cast certainly gives me similar vibes), I could see a very respectable 48/135.


Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:27 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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I'm only really comparing it in the sense that I expect similar numbers. I don't think Poseidon really has much, if anything, going for it. It looks like another Core.

Anyway, while KOH didn't have the best marketing campaign FOX did as usual make more out of it then they might have. It could have gone the way many other action movies did this year.


Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:34 am
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College Boy Z

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Opening Weekend: $50 million
Total Gross: $135 million


Wed Dec 14, 2005 7:30 am
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Draughty

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165m total. Nothing great but looks to be lightweight fun and by the time it is released I expect good special effects. Poseiden will pull in adults too which is not so easy for a summer blockbuster.


Wed Dec 14, 2005 9:10 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Kind of reminds me of the disaster picks of the mid to late 90s which in turn where revamps of the 70s disaster films:

So I say an inflated Twister/Deep Impact opening weekend and a sub Deep Impact final.

$47m/$130m


Wed Dec 14, 2005 9:29 am
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Aspiring Director

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effects look good in the teaser
but this ensemble cast disater vibe is so 70ties
the next trailer has to deliver something more original

$37m/$105m


Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:44 am
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It is released on M-I-3's second weekend (which I expect to be at least $30 million) and in its second weekend The Da Vinci Code will open to at least $40 million while in its third weekend it'll face the $75+ million opening of X-Men 3. No chance for a huge opening and great legs, I think. Moreover, DAT looked infinitely better and with more impressive money shots.


Early Predictions:

Opening weekend - $39.8 million

Total gross - $105 million

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Wed Dec 14, 2005 12:42 pm
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40/101

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Wed Dec 14, 2005 12:52 pm
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Ugggh. I actually liked the original Poseidon but there seems to be nothing that exciting on the trailer, it seems like what someone said a Perfect Storm 2

34/90


Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:07 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Looks like The Day After Tomorrow lite (which wasn't that deep to begin with). 45/130

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:13 pm
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Extraordinary
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I think IMAX will really help it out.

Opening - 45m

Total - 130m


Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:15 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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BJs Prediction:

Opening Wknd: 48m

Domestic Total: 154m

looks like a boring waste of time but I think it can definately find an audience.

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:17 pm
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BJ wrote:

looks like a boring waste of time but I think it can definately find an audience.

A napping audience or people who like to sleep in theaters?


Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:21 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:

looks like a boring waste of time but I think it can definately find an audience.

A napping audience or people who like to sleep in theaters?


no idea, but it seemed like th other people in the theater liked it, there were some that yelled out that it was a Titanic ripoff though :-k

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:26 pm
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I'm a bit worried about the lack of names for this one. Kurt Russell, Fergie, they attract a little, but they don't scream blockbuster that compete with the rest of May. They needed someone like Brad Pitt to spike the awareness on this.

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Mon Dec 19, 2005 8:20 pm
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I'm thinking this will do rather well. I bought the DVD not to long ago and it brought back many memories. If the marketing can tap into the groups that fondly remember the original, this is going to be big. Right now I cant give a rock hard guess,,,anywhere between 30-60mil opening and a final between 130-220mil. I just dont know....


Mon Dec 19, 2005 9:38 pm
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Orphan

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35/110.

I cannot see this completely bombing but it won't be a huge hit either. It looks so cliched after the other recent disaster films and the TV remake of the same material.


Mon Dec 19, 2005 11:20 pm
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Teenage Dream
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This is one of my most anticipated movies of next year, but I think it has a bad release date being it is stuck between Mission Impossible 3 and The DaVinci Code. As long as it makes a 100m domesticly I will be happy. This will probably be big overseas like Day After Tomorrow.


Tue Dec 20, 2005 12:10 am
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Opening: $40 Mio.
Final: $121 Mio.

Somewhere I read that Poseidon's budget is about 200 Mio? Can that be true?


Tue Dec 20, 2005 4:01 am
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Riggs27 wrote:
Opening: $40 Mio.
Final: $121 Mio.

Somewhere I read that Poseidon's budget is about 200 Mio? Can that be true?


According to IMDB, it's $140 million.


Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:26 am
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$140 million? And why does it look so generic and cheap then?

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Tue Dec 20, 2005 8:13 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
$140 million? And why does it look so generic and cheap then?


That's why I asked. For me, the trailer looked much more like a $70-$90 Mio. production.


Tue Dec 20, 2005 9:11 am
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