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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Considering King Kong opens on Wednesday, I think it is here to stay at moviefone. It's equivalent of Narnia appearing last Friday.
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| Thu Dec 08, 2005 9:19 pm |
 
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40591
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Final predicts:
1. Narnia - 53.5
2. Syriana - 15.8
3. Harry Potter - 11.0
4. Walk the Line - 5.7
5. Yours, Mine, and Ours - 4.9
6. Aeon Flux - 4.8
7. Just Friends - 4.0
8. Pride & Prejudice - 3.2
9. Rent - 2.2
10. Chicken Little - 1.9
This is a bit easier week. I finally lowered my Narnia to a still solid 14,800 PTA. I haven't been feeling THAT much buzz for it, but it should still do great. Syriana I have at about 9000 PTA. I think its great limited run thus far balances out the fact that there seems to be a lack of buzz factor. Potter drops mid 40%s due to Narnia. YM&O has a decent hold. Flux drops a big 62%. Just Friends holds with a 30%-er, very good. Pride does fine. Rent has a 50%+-er, as does Chicken Little.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Dec 08, 2005 9:44 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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WSEX Lines:
Narnia - $62 million
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| Thu Dec 08, 2005 11:09 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Final Predictions
1. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe - $54.2 million
2. Syriana - $15.8 million
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $10.9 million
4. Walk the Line - $6 million
5. Aeon Flux - $4.9 million
6. Yours, Mine and Ours - $4.7 million
7. Just Friends - $3.9 million
8. Pride and Prejudice - $3.1 million
9. Rent - $2.4 million
10. Chicken Little - $2.4 million
Memoirs of a Geisha - $480,000
Brokeback Mountain - $375,000
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Thu Dec 08, 2005 11:52 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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I must have edited my top 10 5 times by now; (in the last 10 minutes) I can't stand it!
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| Thu Dec 08, 2005 11:56 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Done my preds, must head to bed.
I'm pretty much on the same level as everyone else, save lower on Narnia and Syriana.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 12:00 am |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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I'm much lower on Narnia and much higher on Syriana.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 12:02 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs wknd outlook 
1.The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion the Witch and the Wardrobe - 65.00m New
2.Syriana - 12.40m New
3.Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - 10.60m ( -46.5% from last Wknd)
4.Walk the Line - 6.40m ( -32.5% from last Wknd)
5.Aeon Flux - 5.40m ( -62% from last Wknd)
6.Yours, Mine and Ours - 4.45m ( -45% from last Wknd)
7.Just Friends - 3.20m ( -42.5% from last Wknd)
8.Pride and Prejudice - 3.00m ( -30% from last Wknd)
9.Chicken Little - 2.40m ( -45.5% from last Wknd)
10.Rent - 2.00m ( -54% from last Wknd)
11.Derailed - 1.00m ( -55% from last Wknd)
12.The Ice Harvest - .800m ( -52% from last Wknd)
Brokeback Mountain - .425m New
Memoirs of a Geisha - .400m New
Top Ten Total: 114.30m
Top Twelve Total: 116.10m ( +52.5% from last Wknd) _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 12:38 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Final opening weekend predictions:
The Chronicles of Narnia: 66 million
Syriana: 14 million
As far as opening go, I haven't been this divided about the opening of two films at once in a loong time.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 1:10 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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OMG. I just looked at Memoirs of a Geisha's Rotten Tomatoes score. 
I hope it still has a good opening.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 1:32 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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O wrote: OMG. I just looked at Memoirs of a Geisha's Rotten Tomatoes score. I hope it still has a good opening. Brokenback will brake Giesha's back this wknd  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:06 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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Narnia: 65m
Syriana: 20m
I could see Narnia doing anything from 45 to 70, this is a tough one to pinpoint. Syriana has had killer ads on TV, at least to me.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:08 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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With Narnia owning all the big screens, it is almost impossible for Syriana to pull in a $11,000+ PTA. I mean it does not have as much hype as, say, Jarhead, I think.
My predictions for the openers:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe - $59.6 million
Syriana - $14.3 million
I am probably lowballing Narnia. I could easily see it topping $70 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:14 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm
Posts: 16061
Location: The Damage Control Table
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1. Narnia - 48 million
2. Syriana - 24 million
3. Harry Potter - 10 million
4. Walk the Line - 6 million
5. Yours, Mine, and Ours - 3 million
- Pride & Prejudice - 2.9 million
PTA - Syriana - 13,000
Geisha - 29,000
Going to be close for pta with three big movies.
But the king of pta will be:
Brokeback Mountain - 80,000 pta
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:17 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Well, at least I agree with Dolce on BM's PTA. It might even be higher. I expect most its shows to sell out for the weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:23 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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dolcevita wrote: 1. Narnia - 48 million
2. Syriana - 24 million
3. Harry Potter - 10 million
4. Walk the Line - 6 million
5. Yours, Mine, and Ours - 3 million
- Pride & Prejudice - 2.9 million
PTA - Syriana - 13,000
Geisha - 29,000
Going to be close for pta with three big movies.
But the king of pta will be:
Brokeback Mountain - 80,000 pta Under predict Narina lately
Someone that agrees with me on Brokeback  Giesha is going to be mangled by Brokeback this wknd 
Over predict Syriana lately  Im aiming for a PTA between 6,000 and 8,000 went low for the derby though.
Thats one steep drop your predicting for Yours, Mine and Ours there  over 55%  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:27 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Final Predictions:
1. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe - $60.7 million
2. Syriana - $14.4 million
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $11.2 million
4. Walk the Line - $6.1 million
5. Yours, Mine and Ours - $4.6 million
6. Aeon Flux - $4.2 million
7. Just Friends - $3.6 million
8. Pride and Prejuidce - $3.1 million
9. Chicken Little - $2.6 million
10. Rent - $2.3 million
Narnia should hit YMO and Chicken Little pretty hard.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 3:29 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Heh, Syriana just went to #1 on MovieFone putting Narnia to #2.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 4:05 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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My Predictions.
Narnia - 62.2m
Syrania - 13.6m
Harry Potter - 10.1m (-49%)
Walk the Line - 6.1m (-36%)
Yours, Mine, and Ours - 4.6m (-45%)
Aeon Flux - 4.6m (-64%)
Just Friends - 3.6m (-36%)
Pride and Prejudice - 3.2m (-27%)
Rent - 2.3m (-48%)
Chicken Little - 2.3m (-48%)
Cume - 112.6m
What do you think.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 4:11 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Scott V. wrote: My Predictions.
Narnia - 62.2m
Syrania - 13.6m
Harry Potter - 10.1m (-49%)
Walk the Line - 6.1m (-36%)
Yours, Mine, and Ours - 4.6m (-45%)
Aeon Flux - 4.6m (-64%)
Just Friends - 3.6m (-36%)
Pride and Prejudice - 3.2m (-27%)
Rent - 2.3m (-48%)
Chicken Little - 2.3m (-48%)
Cume - 112.6m
What do you think. I think we have very similar predictions (actually four of them match each other 100%) which is hopefully a good sign. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 4:17 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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Narnia - 70
Syriana - 20
Harry Potter - 10
Walk the Line - 5.5
Aeon Flux - 5
Yours, Mine and Ours - 4.4
Just Friends - 4
Pride and Prejudice - 3.3
Rent - 2.2
Chicken Little - 2
This is my make or break week
EDIT: Hmm, I'm feeling a little vulnerable right now 
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
Last edited by JMorphin on Fri Dec 09, 2005 10:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 4:19 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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I think people are overestimating Chicken Little. When a family blockbuster opens the percentage affect tends to be greater for films that are earning less. The Pacifier held up well against Robots, but Because of Winn-Dixie didn't just as with Return to Neverland and Big Fat Liar against Ice Age. Shrek 2 surprised many people with it's hold against Harry Potter 3. Recently Wallace and Gromit was hit harder by Chicken Little then the family films that were earning more at the time. Chicken Little then held up better against HP 4 then the other (smaller) family films in release.
I guess a larger gross can allow a film to ride out the storm.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:35 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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DP07 wrote: I think people are overestimating Chicken Little. When a family blockbuster opens the percentage affect tends to be greater for films that are earning less. The Pacifier held up well against Robots, but Because of Winn-Dixie didn't just as with Return to Neverland and Big Fat Liar against Ice Age. Shrek 2 surprised many people with it's hold against Harry Potter 3. Recently Wallace and Gromit was hit harder by Chicken Little then the family films that were earning more at the time. Chicken Little then held up better against HP 4 then the other (smaller) family films in release.
I guess a larger gross can allow a film to ride out the storm. Thats good news for HP4 and bad news for my derby _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:38 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: I think people are overestimating Chicken Little. When a family blockbuster opens the percentage affect tends to be greater for films that are earning less. The Pacifier held up well against Robots, but Because of Winn-Dixie didn't just as with Return to Neverland and Big Fat Liar against Ice Age. Shrek 2 surprised many people with it's hold against Harry Potter 3. Recently Wallace and Gromit was hit harder by Chicken Little then the family films that were earning more at the time. Chicken Little then held up better against HP 4 then the other (smaller) family films in release.
I guess a larger gross can allow a film to ride out the storm. Thats good news for HP4 and bad news for my derby Well, it could still easily cost HP4 2m this weekend. However, I'd bet that CL will have the bigger drop of the two, even if it has the better legs of the two.
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:41 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: I think people are overestimating Chicken Little. When a family blockbuster opens the percentage affect tends to be greater for films that are earning less. The Pacifier held up well against Robots, but Because of Winn-Dixie didn't just as with Return to Neverland and Big Fat Liar against Ice Age. Shrek 2 surprised many people with it's hold against Harry Potter 3. Recently Wallace and Gromit was hit harder by Chicken Little then the family films that were earning more at the time. Chicken Little then held up better against HP 4 then the other (smaller) family films in release.
I guess a larger gross can allow a film to ride out the storm. Thats good news for HP4 and bad news for my derby Well, it could still easily cost HP4 2m this weekend. However, I'd bet that CL will have the bigger drop of the two, even if it has the better legs of the two. Something tells me that YMO will be hit the hardest. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:49 am |
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