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Anonymous
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Funny, I'd say it's $300m too low. 
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| Tue May 10, 2005 5:17 pm |
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Anonymous
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all $ are in millions.
Op- Opening Memorial 3day 3day 3day Dom- Over WW
en- Weekend Weekend 2nd OW % OW es- seas Ttl
ing (thu-sun) (fri-mon) wknd of Mult tic Ttl
Day 3day 4day 3day 4day drop Ttl iply Ttl
======================================================================
Algren ? 65 ? ? ? ? 22% 4.6 301 ? ?
MG Casey 41 84 125 55 ? 35% 35% 2.8 239 386 625
Korrgan ? 105 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.2 338 ? ?
Nebs 40 106 146 70 88 34% 26% 3.9 467 444 911
matatonio 38 90 128 49 ? 46% 28% 3.5 318 360 678
Snickety Snack 2 ? 87 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.4 297 ? ?
Dr. Lecter 37 94 131 ? ? ? 28% 3.5 331 ? ?
Amer ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 406 ? ?
BJ 48 97 145 53 70 45% 28% 3.6 346 424 770
ShadyMilkman ? 102 ? ? ? ? 25% 4.0 405 ? ?
neo wolf ? 90 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.7 330 ? ?
RogueCommander 37 82 119 ? ? ? 28% 3.5 290 ? ?
Daniel Raedts ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 525 ? ?
ChipMunky 40 115 155 71 90 38% 21% 4.7 537 463 1000
DP07 34 84 118 37 ? 56% 32% 3.1 260 310 570
Maverikk ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 350 ? ?
hans 46 91 137 52 65 43% 25% 4.0 360 390 750
jb007 ? 96 ? ? ? ? 21% 4.8 462 ? ?
Riggs27 ? 94 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.5 327 ? ?
Samweis Gamdschie ? 93 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.1 291 ? ?
Nazgul9 40 95 135 47 ? 51% 27% 3.7 350 400 750
MikeQ. ? 95 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.2 300 ? ?
FILMO 39 96 135 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 351 434 785
want2write 35 95 130 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 330 ? ?
insomniacdude 45 105 150 60 78 43% 22% 4.6 480 350 830
Ragnarok 45 90 136 39 47 57% 31% 3.2 290 319 609
El_masked_este.. 42 95 137 ? ? ? 33% 3.1 290 ? ?
Squee ? 87 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.8 327 ? ?
Impact 47 112 159 68 90 39% 29% 3.5 390 510 900
revolutions 50 116 166 70 90 40% 29% 3.4 400 600 1000
moviedude ? 95 ? ? ? ? 38% 2.6 250 ? ?
scottb 41 105 146 63 75 40% 26% 3.9 407 483 890
Zingaling 39 94 133 52 65 45% 29% 3.4 322 400 722
Futureboy ? 103 ? ? ? ? 30% 3.4 345 465 810
Killuminati510 ? ? 120 ? ? ? ? ? 355 ? ?
BKB The Man 35 85 120 ? ? ? 25% 4.0 340 ? ?
Jon Lyrik ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 290 ? ?
rusty 33 105 138 ? ? ? 26% 3.9 410 ? ?
nghtvsn 33 95 128 62 83 35% 26% 3.8 359 475 834
Terminator1997 36 101 137 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 434 510 944
addrOck ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ?
Legend of Jam 35 105 140 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 363 ? ?
Positive Jon 37 97 134 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 363 387 750
Amos 38 83 121 45 ? 46% 26% 3.9 324 365 691
Steve 38 97 135 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 315 ? ?
Erendis 38 86 124 ? 75 ? 26% 3.8 325 350 675
baumer72 33 99 132 ? ? ? 27% 3.6 360 515 875
JMorphin 40 100 140 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
StarWarsEpisode7 80 170 250 ? ? ? 16% 6.4 1093 ? ?
TonyMontana ? 78 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.3 255 ? ?
The Dark Shape 37 93 130 72 ? 23% 27% 3.8 350 380 730
Archie Gates 40 115 155 ? ? ? 33% 3.0 350 ? ?
loyalfromlondon 47 123 170 ? ? ? 26% 3.8 470 ? ?
Mesjarch 42 98 140 63 81 36% 27% 3.7 360 420 780
RB652 ? ? 95 ? ? ? ? ? 308 ? ?
Raffiki 38 96 134 61 73 36% ? ? ? ? ?
Vovanik 37 82 119 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
dolcevita 33 85 118 ? ? ? 23% 4.4 375 325 700
torrino 38 80 118 42 ? 48% 28% 3.6 285 ? ?
BOYFRESH 40 113 153 72 87 36% 25% 4.0 450 525 975
KC 36 90 126 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Flava'd‡ 44 95 139 52 ? 45% 26% 3.8 365 ? ?
=====================================================================
average 40 97 137 57 77 -42% 27% 3.7 367 423 791
high 80 170 250 72 90 -56% 38% 6.4 1093 600 1000
low 33 65 95 37 65 -23% 16% 2.6 239 310 570
=====================================================================
TPM actual 29 65 106^ 51 67 -22% 15% 6.6 431 493 924
AOTC actual 30 80 110 48 60 -40% 26% 3.9 311 339 650
^ 106 is a 5-day total as TPM opened on wednesday. AOTC opened
on thursday and ROTS will also open on thursday.
opening weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is thu-sun.
memorial day weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is fri-mon.
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| Tue May 10, 2005 5:41 pm |
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Star Wars
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 1:18 pm
Posts: 1638
Location: Alderaan
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NEW PREDICTIONS
$76 million opening day
$162 million opening weekend
$234 million 4-day
$960 million Domestic Total
$1,193 million Overseas
$2,153 million Worldwide
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| Tue May 10, 2005 6:06 pm |
  
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
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If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide.
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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| Tue May 10, 2005 6:08 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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Wow, VERY nice chart. I just wish they could be spaced out a bit so the titles could fit on 1 or 2 lines.
Might I add, my predictions are pretty conservtive in my opinion.
I think Sith can EASILY break $40m on Opening Day especially if Matrix did $38m if only with inflation.
Being PG-13 and with undoubtedly a larger fanbase, it could climb up to $43-44 million.
I must note though that at the time MAtrix hype was actually a bit bigger. Some people might be i denial, but from what I remember, everyone was MAtrix CRAZY.... because it spread through more people than Star Wars does.
By the way, my Domestic Total prediction (guess I didn't post it) is looking to be around $360-400 million, so I dunno, put me down for $385m.
As reviews are pouring in (unanimously positive) I think people are way underestimating the return business for this Star Wars movie. Episode I didn't have much cept the pod racers. Episode II had that battle at the end though it was mainly Yoda that was the impresive and second viewing scene.
From what the reviews are saying, it looks like Sith is going to be not only GOOD, but non-stop action.
I mean it's gonna give fans what they have finally been waiting for. I'm hearing 6 or 7 lightsaber fights. I'm not a Star Wars fan at all but even I can see that million are gonna go gaga over this one and bring in ALOT of repeat business.
If it really maxes out just near $300m or a little past it, then I'd be surprised and officialy admit the movie theatre recession that has everybody in the industry talking.
_________________
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| Tue May 10, 2005 8:06 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Wed May 11, 2005 12:29 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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My prediction for total domestic right now is 321 million :wink:
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| Wed May 11, 2005 12:35 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late)  cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT.
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| Wed May 11, 2005 12:37 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Wed May 11, 2005 12:47 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. what are u betting?
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| Wed May 11, 2005 2:46 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. what are u betting? _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Wed May 11, 2005 3:27 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. what are u betting? it won't top $200 mill in 8 days i'll bet u my credit card debts.
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| Wed May 11, 2005 4:04 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. what are u betting? it won't top $200 mill in 8 days i'll bet u my credit card debts. Yeah, it wont. Probably be around 170m, which would be 30m more then TPM & AOTC did in 8days _________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Wed May 11, 2005 4:13 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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Killuminati510 wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: revolutions wrote: BKB_The_Man wrote: FILMO wrote: If Sith gross less than AOTC.........Now that would be really surprising. Perhaps in US market but no way Worldwide. don't get your hopes up too high (too late) cause it still could do less then $300. even if it gets 99% rating at RT. what are u betting? it won't top $200 mill in 8 days i'll bet u my credit card debts. Yeah, it wont. Probably be around 170m, which would be 30m more then TPM & AOTC did in 8dayswhich would be freaking awsome. 
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| Wed May 11, 2005 4:39 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23306
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Nebs - here are my predictions:
Opening Day $41m
Opening 4 Day weekend $108m
Memorial 4 Day weekend $74m
Total Gross domestic $437m
Total Gross Overseas $370m
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| Wed May 11, 2005 7:34 am |
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Anonymous
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Thanks, will add it in next update.
Though, don't you think it's a bit too small 3-day weekend? Just $67m after $41m opening day...typo?
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| Wed May 11, 2005 8:42 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I wish we had an official theater count for it. But I am going to add my predictions again next week when we do get a final theater count......
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| Wed May 11, 2005 10:07 am |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5264
Location: Wakanda
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It will do 200M in 8 days or less, so somebody better be ready to anty up :razz:
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| Wed May 11, 2005 10:44 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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BOYFRESH wrote: It will do 200M in 8 days or less, so somebody better be ready to anty up :razz: U better be ready to give up all your bling,blings.
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| Wed May 11, 2005 12:42 pm |
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Archangel
Forum General
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 9998
Location: Australia
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I'm starting to feel excited now :razz: , about time too, the marketing for Episode III has been pretty dodge up until now.....what you got originally was a bunch of ads in the paper asking lame questions like, "How will the Clone Wars End", "How does Anakin turn into Darth Vadar" or something along those lines......makes you cringe 
Anyhow, we're finally getting decent stuff with Star Wars posters (in full color) everywhere in the city and train station (like last years The Day After Tomorrow).....interviews and news reports galore.....
Isn't it wonderful that finally one of the prequels is getting excellent raves everywhere :razz:, cause for celebration.
Though one thing, i'm just not feeling the "tragic", emotion or scope of this movie as of yet.......while i really don't want to compare this to ROTK all the time.......i'm not getting the feeling that there is much at stake......we all know the Republic will disentegrate but all the promotion so far has been to glorify Vadar's return (predictable)......oh well, different movie :razz:
I've seen websites predicting $500m+ for this, which doesn't seem so ridiculous anymore because if Shrek 2 can eat up $440m against TDAT and HP3.....surely the final part of the biggest franchise of all-time will do well, now that it has the reviews to back up the spectacle. The market has been prepping for III's arrival for 2 months (LOL)....and Madagascar is no TDAT + HP3.....
Prediction:
Thursday = $41m
Friday = $32m
Saturday = $42m
Sunday = $32m
Weekend (3-Day) = $106m
Weekend (4-Day) = $147m
Domestic - $460m
Overseas - $500m
Worldwide - $960m
:razz:
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What I've been living for
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| Thu May 12, 2005 2:41 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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~~~Archangel~~~ wrote: I'm starting to feel excited now :razz: , about time too, the marketing for Episode III has been pretty dodge up until now.....what you got originally was a bunch of ads in the paper asking lame questions like, "How will the Clone Wars End", "How does Anakin turn into Darth Vadar" or something along those lines......makes you cringe Anyhow, we're finally getting decent stuff with Star Wars posters (in full color) everywhere in the city and train station (like last years The Day After Tomorrow).....interviews and news reports galore..... Isn't it wonderful that finally one of the prequels is getting excellent raves everywhere :razz:, cause for celebration. Though one thing, i'm just not feeling the "tragic", emotion or scope of this movie as of yet.......while i really don't want to compare this to ROTK all the time.......i'm not getting the feeling that there is much at stake......we all know the Republic will disentegrate but all the promotion so far has been to glorify Vadar's return (predictable)......oh well, different movie :razz: I've seen websites predicting $500m+ for this, which doesn't seem so ridiculous anymore because if Shrek 2 can eat up $440m against TDAT and HP3.....surely the final part of the biggest franchise of all-time will do well, now that it has the reviews to back up the spectacle. The market has been prepping for III's arrival for 2 months (LOL)....and Madagascar is no TDAT + HP3..... Prediction:Thursday = $41m Friday = $32m Saturday = $42m Sunday = $32m Weekend (3-Day) = $106m Weekend (4-Day) = $147m Domestic - $460m Overseas - $500m Worldwide - $960m :razz:  _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Thu May 12, 2005 3:36 am |
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Sauron
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:26 am
Posts: 345
Location: in front of my pc
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well i dont usualy post predictions because the money a movie is going to make is based on many factors; anyway heres my help  .
AT LEAST 320M , i'm pointing to a 340-350 finish, no more no less :razz: _________________
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| Thu May 12, 2005 6:04 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Nebs wrote: Thanks, will add it in next update.
Though, don't you think it's a bit too small 3-day weekend? Just $67m after $41m opening day...typo? I am pretty sure he meant the 3-day weekend... _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu May 12, 2005 6:08 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I have said this for months now, to my friends, my co-workers and anyone who will lsiten. This film has me spyched. I get chills when I see the trailers. When Vader is rising and Palpatine's voice over is heard, that just gets my blodd pumping. I have taken off the 19rh from work so I can get to the first showing on Thursday. I am going to try and see it Wednesday evening but that could be tough.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Thu May 12, 2005 8:42 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Sauron wrote: well i dont usualy post predictions because the money a movie is going to make is based on many factors; anyway heres my help . AT LEAST 320M , i'm pointing to a 340-350 finish, no more no less :razz: _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Thu May 12, 2005 9:26 am |
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