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 KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thread 

What other movies would you like to predict for next season's box office contest?
Almost Christmas 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
Bad Santa 2 13%  13%  [ 9 ]
Before I Wake 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
The Birth of a Nation 13%  13%  [ 9 ]
Boo! A Madea Halloween 11%  11%  [ 8 ]
The Edge of Seventeen 4%  4%  [ 3 ]
Friend Request 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Keeping up with the Joneses 10%  10%  [ 7 ]
Kidnap 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
The Light Between Oceans 6%  6%  [ 4 ]
Masterminds 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life 6%  6%  [ 4 ]
Ouija: Origin of Evil 7%  7%  [ 5 ]
Rings 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
The Space Between Us 9%  9%  [ 6 ]
Why Him? 7%  7%  [ 5 ]
Other (please specify!) 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 70

 KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thread 
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Post KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thread
Hey all,

I've got 22 moves locked in to predict for the next season's contest:

Sully
Blair Witch
Bridget Jone's Baby
Snowden
The Magnificent Seven
Storks
Deepwater Horizon
Miss Peregine's Home for Peculiar Children
The Girl on the Train
The Accountant
Jack Reacher: Never Go Back
Inferno
Doctor Strange
Hasksaw Ridge
Trolls
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Moana
Office Christmas Party
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Assassin's Creed
Passengers
Sing


What other movies would you all like to predict totals for? I'm sure I'm missing some big ones.


Sun Aug 07, 2016 8:58 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Also, do you like the following box office questions:

  • Which will gross more in total - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story or the combination of Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them and Moana?
  • Which family film combination will gross more in total - the combination of Sing and Trolls or the combination of Moana and Storks?
  • Which will gross more in total - The Magificent Seven, the combination of The Accountant and The Girl on the Train, or the combination of Deepwater Horizon, Snowden, Hacksaw Ridge, and Sully?
  • Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total (in dollars) - Assassin's Creed, Doctor Strange, The Magnificent Seven, and Passengers?


Sun Aug 07, 2016 9:18 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Questions are good.

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Sun Aug 07, 2016 10:59 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Like all the questions. Keep them

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Sun Aug 07, 2016 11:13 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
The questions are fine, though I am wary of including Passengers in any question. There is still no trailer. One might expect Sony to have begun advertising its 120-million-dollar sci-fi film scheduled for release in four months. It is also embroiled in a lawsuit related to Digital Domain.

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Mon Aug 08, 2016 12:46 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Also, let's definitely ignore Rings. I highly doubt it is coming out this October.

I voted for:

Bad Santa 2
The Birth of a Nation
Boo! A Madea Halloween
The Light Between Oceans
Ouija: Origin of Evil
Why Him?

and OTHER: Fences and Patriots Day

Patriots Day seems an obvious one to me. It is the Boston-bombing drama by Peter Berg (Lone Survivor) with Mark Wahlberg and John Goodman. Paramount is obviously scheduling it to emulate Lone Survivor, American Sniper, and The Revenant.

And Fences is Denzel Washington. Granted, not Denzel in Safe House/Equalizer mode (it is a race-relations drama positioned for Oscar contention), but still Denzel.

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Last edited by David on Mon Aug 08, 2016 1:10 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Aug 08, 2016 12:49 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
David wrote:
The questions are fine, though I am wary of including Passengers in any question. There is still no trailer. One might expect Sony to have begun advertising its 120-million-dollar sci-fi film scheduled for release in four months. It is also embroiled in a lawsuit related to Digital Domain.

Good call - it's highly likely to movie based on that info.


Mon Aug 08, 2016 12:57 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Not been keeping up to date, but have picked; Light Between Oceans, Space Between Us, Birth of a Nation and Keeping up with the Joneses. David's picks of Fences and Patriots Day sound interesting, would back them too.

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Mon Aug 08, 2016 9:54 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
We absolutely have to predict this:


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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Tue Aug 09, 2016 3:13 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Yes

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Tue Aug 09, 2016 9:51 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Agreed. Arrival is a MUST. I also think, despite not many votes, we should predict Almost Christmas. I think it will do really well. Perhaps Best Man Holiday numbers.


Wed Aug 10, 2016 12:51 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
To prevent everyone having the same answer for "what will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section", I'm Not Ashamed must be included in the regular predictions.

Twitter
I'm Not Ashamed on Sunday 8/8/16 = 570,103 (releases in October)
Suicide Squad opening day = 646,724
Fault In Our Stars opening day = 556,552

It looking like a breakout early on.


Wed Aug 10, 2016 9:13 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
Twitter Index

1 Suicide Squad 219,700
2 I'm Not Ashamed 101,637
3 Ghostbusters (2016) 19,784
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7,994
5 Sausage Party 7,975
6 Dunkirk 7,369
7 Bad Moms 6,243
8 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter 5,177
9 Wolverine 4,528
10 Jason Bourne 4,519


Impressive showing by I'm Not Ashamed indeed. And it has 173,867 Facebook likes. https://www.facebook.com/imnotashamedmovie/?fref=ts


Wed Aug 10, 2016 9:42 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
What in the world is I'm Not Ashamed?

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Wed Aug 10, 2016 9:53 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
David wrote:
What in the world is I'm Not Ashamed?


Faith-based true story of Rachel Joy Scott at Columbine High School.


Wed Aug 10, 2016 10:33 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2016 Box Office Contest - Planning Thre
I wasn't sure where else to post this but Twitter must be broken right now or something :whaa: :noway:.

Twitter Index

1 I'm Not Ashamed 472,311
2 Suicide Squad 145,496
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 91,980
4 Sausage Party 43,459
5 Ghostbusters (2016) 13,788
6 Pete's Dragon (2016) 7,770
7 Wonder Woman 7,085
8 Dunkirk 6,964
9 Justice League Part One 6,328
10 Passengers (2016) 5,652


Sat Aug 13, 2016 12:35 am
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