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 BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club 
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Nobody is saying it had a good drop. It didn't. This thread isn't about how it's holding. This thread is about a prediction that is wrong. No different than any other wrong club. I'm not sure why you're getting so upset about it, nor do I know why you're thinking we're defending or minimizing the free fall. We're not. Just take the fucking L, man.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Tue Apr 05, 2016 6:38 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
To think I dare prefer it be about the discussion about why it might drop a certain amount.

When you say failure, I interpret that to mean that this club was a bad idea. "No different than any other wrong club". The idea for this club is no different than BVS's 225m+ opening club. Or A Million Ways to Die in the West 175m club. Right to wrong; win or lose.


Tue Apr 05, 2016 6:51 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Right, and the BvS $225 mil club was ridiculed and died off. As will this one once you accept defeat. There are threads about BvS where we can discuss how badly it's doing. We have many other threads for it.

You're literally getting upset for no reason except you being wrong.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Tue Apr 05, 2016 6:58 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Each thread has a different context. Otherwise we wouldn't have different threads. There's no better thread for comparing its drop to the biggest blockbuster drops.

Of course you would see no other reason, because you would be unaware of why I'm annoyed.


Tue Apr 05, 2016 7:08 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
I bet when I predicted 69.5% in the 2nd weekend thread, I was thinking "Oh no, if this is even close, I will have to have a stupid fight with Chippy".


Tue Apr 05, 2016 7:11 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
You didn't make a thread about it, so, nah.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Tue Apr 05, 2016 7:17 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Well, then how about this: I'll never compliment myself if a club of mine comes true.


Tue Apr 05, 2016 7:22 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
You should. It's usually a great feat to make a bold club and succeed.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Tue Apr 05, 2016 7:26 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
DP I am sure we most will tell they were wrong when a daring club succeeds and congratulate the one who makes the club. This was supposed to be close and look at the comments earlier from this club.

publicenemy#1 wrote:
Second week drop will be close to 70% but I'm out.


Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
If that were to happen, previews would have comprised an even larger share of its opening day, like 40+%.


-Ultron was very frontloaded and didn't have a higher percent.
-It was good friday.


Very frontloaded, yes, but not nearly as frontloaded as you suggest. I see a 2.15 multiplier and a 67% drop.


I mean I really don't know why you are arguing so much DP07.


Tue Apr 05, 2016 11:38 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Well, I can only repeat myself.


Wed Apr 06, 2016 12:53 am
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
It's pretty much a lock to have a multiplier under 2.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 1:59 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
club is a success on every level. bravo dp07.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:13 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
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THIS FUCKING CLUB!!! :disgust:

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Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:41 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Not quite Tranking it yet but close


Sat Apr 16, 2016 3:55 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
BvS is going to be, at best, the 5th highest grossing film domestically. Finding Dory, Fantastic Beats, Suicide Squad, and Independence Day all have potential to beat it too IMO, so it could sink as low as #9.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 4:22 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Yeah, when it's all said and done BvS will probably be #7-10 of the year domestically. A multiplier like Watchmen is just awful. The media, RT and WoM was just the perfect storm for the worst case scenario in terms of legs.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 4:29 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
At least they got the release date right(or everyone cleared knowingly). In the summer it would have died a horrible death.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 7:41 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Eh, i think in the summer it would've gone above a 2.0 multiplier. Had this opened in July I think it would've done better, nothing real big is opening there but then they'd have to push Suicide Squad.


Sat Apr 16, 2016 7:44 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Maybe nothing really big, but it's far from the wasteland it had on 2nd and 3rd weekend. Although, summer weekdays might have helped.


Sun Apr 17, 2016 6:25 am
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
MikeQ. wrote:
Everyone knew the film would drop in the mid-to-high 60% range due to poor WOM. Predicting a 70+% drop was incorrect, period. It was great that you put yourself out there and you could have been right in foretelling a rare 70+% second weekend drop. But you weren't. I don't know what this discussion is all about!

As box office nerds, we try to make specific calls and see if we'll be right based on our intuition and expertise, as anyone can estimate something - e.g. Variety who put out estimated ranges as predictions all the time, as if those ill-defined predictions actually provide us with any insight from what we already know.

I don't mean to be harsh, but I just don't get it. You were wrong, no big deal, let's move on, heh.

Peace,
Mike



This. Wrong is wrong. We have all been there.

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Mon Apr 18, 2016 11:42 am
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Magnus wrote:
half a failure


If I spill my glass on you, you'll be glad to know your shirt is only half stained.


Mon Apr 18, 2016 6:09 pm
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
you're so fucking stupid all the time

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Mon Apr 18, 2016 6:18 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
I appreciate that coming from the person who called me insane after saying BVS's 2nd Friday was overestimated at 18.5m.

I just don't give a fuck anymore about your status quo, your expectations, your feelings about what is normal. When I don't respect that and I predict or say something that upsets that, it pisses some of you off.


Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:04 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Mike Q. is one of the most reasonable people to ever post here and even he called you out. That should give you some food for thought.

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Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:14 pm
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Post Re: BVS: -70% and Sub 2.0 mult club
Dr. Lecter wrote:
This. Wrong is wrong. We have all been there.
Isn't there a spectrum of wrongness though? Surely those that didn't join were probably thinking less than a 68% drop and would end up being more wrong than us.

Also the second part of the club is a success, so the inners and the outers are at best equally wrong here.


Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:24 pm
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