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 BvS (INTL) 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
$31m OS Monday is good but as the article mentioned it was holiday in some of the countries. Regardless in less than a week it will cross $500m WW. I still don't see it doing more than TDKR but it should cross $1b.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:44 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
$31m OS Monday is good but as the article mentioned it was holiday in some of the countries. Regardless in less than a week it will cross $500m WW. I still don't see it doing more than TDKR but it should cross $1b.

In some? The list is pretty big: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter_Monday


Wed Mar 30, 2016 5:49 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Easter is not a big holiday from where I come from and I've never seen a Monday holiday but that is good to know _axiom.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 10:17 am
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Gitesh is pegging this for $700 mil WW by Sunday.

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 11:12 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
It should cross $500m WW by Wednesday. $700m should be happen unless it is massively frontloaded everywhere.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:01 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Easter is not a big holiday from where I come from and I've never seen a Monday holiday but that is good to know _axiom.

I've heard about having Thursday and Friday off, but Monday??, that's new for me too

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:49 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Chippy wrote:
Gitesh is pegging this for $700 mil WW by Sunday.

That's reachable, right now I'm thinking BvS could be at 1.05-1.1B before Civil War opens WW

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:51 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Nope. Thu-Sat regular work days here. Monday holiday.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:51 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Did some rough calculations for it. If it just touches $700m this weekend it won't be a great hold it needs to be close to $725m WW by this weekend. You also have to consider that it has opened EVERYWHERE (including China and Japan). TDKR did $450m so $50m-$80m of the domestic total will have to be covered from OS grosses to reach that movie's $1.08b WW.

$700m WW by this weekend would mean "only" $97m OS weekend, assuming $90m domestic and another $45m OS weekdays over $468m WW. Coming from a $256m weekend that's a steep 62% drop. So it needs to be close to $725m WW by this weekend.

From $725m then I see another $130m domestic more as the max for a total of $400m. Assuming $122m OS (generous) weekend it can get another $200m OS(not sure of the multiplier) for $1.055b WW total. Maybe my OS multiplier is not that great but the max I see this is getting $1.1b WW just ahead of TDKR.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:33 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
$700m WW by this weekend would mean "only" $97m OS weekend. [...] Coming from a $256m weekend that's a steep 62% drop.

Coming from a 5-day inflated opening, that would be quite good, especially when you consider that in its main market, China, it is expected to drop 70%+.
I would be really shocked by a triple-digit OS weekend. Something in the low 90's is more likely.

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:39 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
You are right the inflated weekend would definitely make its drop look bigger this weekend. If it does low 90's this weekend then $1b is surely not a lock but I do believe it will eventually crawl to it.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:42 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Gitesh: $20.7M intl TUE for new total of $501.9M


Wed Mar 30, 2016 2:12 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Decent that it stayed above $20m on Tuesday. $500m more to go.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 2:36 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
$1B is dead. At this point it will be lucky to do $900M.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 4:00 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
It should get to $900m for sure. $1b is a stretch but it can still happen.


Wed Mar 30, 2016 4:09 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
I expect a very steep drop as many markets' opening weekend had an extra day or two because of the holidays...

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 6:43 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Just hit 900m and it'll be small victory

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Wed Mar 30, 2016 9:07 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
mark66 wrote:
I expect a very steep drop as many markets' opening weekend had an extra day or two because of the holidays...


Yeah it should see a big drop from the OW. Still the lowest I see it doing is $90m OS this weekend. Also there isn't much competition in the market at this time so it could have a decent hold (outside of China).


Thu Mar 31, 2016 12:55 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Rev wrote:
Just hit 900m and it'll be small victory


It hit $500m in 7 days WW (only 5 domestic which is its biggest market). I don't see it stalling at $900m. $950m should happen though $1b will be a stretch.


Thu Mar 31, 2016 12:59 am
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
20m Wednesday, 5% drop from yesterday.

Total now at $530 million.


Thu Mar 31, 2016 4:46 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Deadline said $930+ million would be breaking even for WB, without counting home video releases/streaming.


Thu Mar 31, 2016 4:50 pm
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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
China total is now $69.4m.


Thu Mar 31, 2016 4:59 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Deadline said $930+ million would be breaking even for WB, without counting home video releases/streaming.

$930m? :funny:


Thu Mar 31, 2016 5:14 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
publicenemy#1 wrote:
China total is now $69.4m.

$1dolar=6,45485 yuan

470M yuan=$72.8m


Thu Mar 31, 2016 5:18 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: BvS (INTL)
Yuan has appreciated in the last few days. It was around $1 = 6.50 yuan on OW with a peak at 6.52 yuan on sunday. That's why it's $69.4m and not $72.8m.


Thu Mar 31, 2016 5:36 pm
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