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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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 Re: SW7 Monday predictions It's fuckin' nuts if this sells more admissions than ESB/ROTJ/TPM.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 2:40 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Jiffy wrote: It's fuckin' nuts if this sells more admissions than ESB/ROTJ/TPM. I mean, we're always talking about "oh, if everyone that saw the first movies comes to see this, and then it adds the new fans, it'll be bigger than ever!" for so many of these reboots, and they very rarely work out. This is the rare case where I think it is. Hell, even my mom, who hasn't been to the theater for a blockbuster since The Phantom Menace, came to see this tonight. And she loved it!
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 2:46 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Yeah if these numbers keep chugging along at this pace our first $1b movie is happening. Unless it starts showing any signs of frontloadedness by next week this looks to be on the path of $1b.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 2:48 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions I don't think it misses $50M on Friday now, not if Monday is over $40M.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 2:54 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions final Monday Tally
Sell Outs: 22
Showings: 62
absurd, avatar had 12-14 sellouts back in 09, but the film only 16-19 showings all day.
______________
early tuesday tally
Sell Outs: 12
Showngs: 70
the train keeps rollin
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 5:15 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions mdana wrote: mdana wrote: $40m ain't happening. My projection is it drops harder through M-Th than Avatar and softer than DH2 both did in their respective runs. "You think the movie in question will fall somewhere between the leggiest recent blockbuster and the most front loaded. Please, share more of your pearls of wisdom Grandpa Obvious." Assuming I ever had it in the first place, which is probably a self delusion, I am starting to feel like an over the hill journeyman who can no longer hit the fastball. When I was compiling info on a movie like Avatar in the past, I would compare the amount of showtimes, sell-outs, and speed of sell-outs. As sell-outs started to evaporate over the weeks, I would compare retention of showings from the previous weekend. Avatar's audience retention level for 3D showings was significantly higher than for its 2d ones. SWTFA is showing a similar pattern in IMAX and non 3D showings (outstanding retention). 3D showings have dropped much faster over the past 2 days. I am going to wait for the Monday actual to be reported before getting myself some more rope.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 5:51 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32628
Location: the last free city
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Yo mdana  
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 8:05 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Jiffy wrote: It's fuckin' nuts if this sells more admissions than ESB/ROTJ/TPM. It's not an IF anymore... _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 12:46 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Yeah, it's aiming for the IV's admissions from its initial run. Let's see how close it can get.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 12:50 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions So I guess the $40m was all pre-sales, right Excel? 
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 12:57 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions mark66 wrote: I'm going with a 32 % drop to $41,176,170 $1m off...
_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 12:57 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15571
Location: Everywhere
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Biggestgeekever wrote: I don't think it misses $50M on Friday now, not if Monday is over $40M. It can't afford to lose too much on Avatar's pace for that to happen.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 4:23 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions DP07 wrote: Biggestgeekever wrote: I don't think it misses $50M on Friday now, not if Monday is over $40M. It can't afford to lose too much on Avatar's pace for that to happen. It'd be a 25% increase from Monday, whereas Avatar was up 41%. Though, Star Wars will clearly not benefit on Wednesday like Avatar did due to Alvin. But on the other hand, we know Friday had the third highest presales, so I'd bet people see it as more of a event to see on Christmas than they did for Avatar.
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| Tue Dec 22, 2015 5:09 pm |
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