Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3)
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Random trivia in case anyone is mildly interested, last weekend was the worst attended December weekend since Dec 4-6, 1987 when Three Men And A Baby led a top 12 tally that adjusts today to $64.8 m. So it was the worst December attended weekend in 28 YEARS!
By contrast, this weekend will do $284 m + to be the biggest adjusted December weekend of all time and likely $294 m to be the biggest weekend EVER adjusted.
I can't recall EVER seeing a box office weekend more than quadruple. We could see it grow 4.3 X.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:15 am |
 
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Proud Ryu wrote: BJ wrote: Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Thegun wrote: I can tell you NJ loves SW. 45 is absurd.
Do people in Alaska assume they are on Hoth? BJ does The force is strong in AK fo sho  The map favors wealthier states those with fewer densely populated cites - since the data comes from facebook, it makes sense that those would be places with more facebook use. It strikes me as silly that certain states would have higher SW popularity than others with any level of significance. Alaska has the highest ratio of males to females with 109 to 100 in the US.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:18 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) O wrote: Random trivia in case anyone is mildly interested, last weekend was the worst attended December weekend since Dec 4-6, 1987 when Three Men And A Baby led a top 12 tally that adjusts today to $64.8 m. So it was the worst December attended weekend in 28 YEARS!
By contrast, this weekend will do $284 m + to be the biggest adjusted December weekend of all time and likely $294 m to be the biggest weekend EVER adjusted.
I can't recall EVER seeing a box office weekend more than quadruple. We could see it grow 4.3 X. Nice stat! Though last weekend did 77.4m, so total wouldn't multiply that much, but still yeah there's another shattering - certainly the biggest total market multiple from one week to the next ever!
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:33 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Or #1 gross to #1 gross.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:36 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Proud Ryu wrote: O wrote: Random trivia in case anyone is mildly interested, last weekend was the worst attended December weekend since Dec 4-6, 1987 when Three Men And A Baby led a top 12 tally that adjusts today to $64.8 m. So it was the worst December attended weekend in 28 YEARS!
By contrast, this weekend will do $284 m + to be the biggest adjusted December weekend of all time and likely $294 m to be the biggest weekend EVER adjusted.
I can't recall EVER seeing a box office weekend more than quadruple. We could see it grow 4.3 X. Nice stat! Though last weekend did 77.4m, so total wouldn't multiply that much, but still yeah there's another shattering - certainly the biggest total market multiple from one week to the next ever! Good catch! I just looked at top 12 for adjusted tallies. I assume this weekend top 12 is the majority total since its so top heavy!
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:40 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Ok, I guess should have been more organized when I started charting these numbers, but I thought it would just be all sell-outs after awhile.
I go back and forth between percentages and total number of seats.
AMC Tysons Corner 16
4:00-95% Full
4:45-80-85% Full
5:30-18 seats unsold
6:00-45 seats unsold
6:30-28 seats unsold
7:05-46 seats unsold
6:30-5 seats unsold
7:50-26 seats unsold
Ok, at this point I noticed shows were not selling out at show time. So, I wrote down all the rest of the shows and occupancy at the time 7:30.
8:20-33 seats unsold-Final count-57 seats unsold
9:00-6 seats unsold-Final count-7 seats unsold
9:30-29 seats unsold-Final count-10 seats unsold
10:00-48 seats unsold-Final count-39 seats unsold
10:30-51 seats unsold-Final count-16 seats unsold
11:20-50% Full-73% Full
11:45-55% Full-65% Full
12:10-20-25% Full-32% Full
12:30-70% Full-78% Full
12:45-4 tickets sold-15 tickets sold
1:00 (a)-45% sold-70%
1:00 (b)-3 tickets sold- 5 tickets sold
1:15-24 tickets sold-49 tickets sold
As I have stated, I am rusty and reserved seating may have changed late night sales in the past few years. However, I find it hard to believe JW and Avengers sold so few tickets after 7:30.
Does anyone else find this pattern odd or disconcerting?
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 2:53 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35223
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Quote: 1). Star Wars: The Force Awakens (DIS), 4,134 theaters / $123M Fri. /3-day cume: $244.8M /Wk 1
2). Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Road Trip (FOX), 3,653 theaters / $4.2M Fri. /3-day cume: $14.8M /Wk 1
3). Sisters (UNI), 2,962 theaters / $4.2M Fri. /3-day cume: $14.6M /Wk 1
4). The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (LGF), 2,653 theaters (-998) / $1.7M Fri. (-50%)/$3-day cume: $5.7M (-50%) /Total cume: $254.5M/Wk 5
5). Creed (MGM/New Line/WB), 2,433 theaters (-1,069) / $1.4M Fri. (-51%)/ 3-day cume: $5.1M (-50%)/Total cume: $87.9M /Wk 4
6). The Good Dinosaur (DIS), 2,755 theaters (-851) / $1.1M Fri. (-52%)/3-day cume: $4.6M (-55%)/Total cume: $96.9M/Wk 4
7). Krampus (U/Legendary), 2,371 theaters (-548) / $1.2M Fri. (-53%)/3-day cume: $3.9M (-53%)/Total cume: $35M/Wk 3
8). In The Heart of the Sea (WB/Village Roadshow), 3,103 theaters (0)/ $1M Fri. (-73%)/ 3-day cume: $3.5M (-68%)/Total cume: $18.6M /Wk 2
9). Dilwale (UTV), 268 theaters / $575K Fri. /3-day cume: $1.8M /Wk 1
10). Spectre (SONY/MGM), 1,225 theaters (-1,415)/ $380K Fri. (-66%)/3-day cume: $1.4M (-64%)/Total cume: $193.9M /Wk 7
Notables:
Bajirao Mastani (ERO), 304 theaters / $410K Fri. /3-day cume: $1.3M /Wk 1
Spotlight (OPRD), 825 (-264) / $327K Fri. (-54%)/3-day cume: $1.2M (-54%) /Total cume: $22.5M /Wk 7
Brooklyn (FSL), 614 theaters (-333) / $286K Fri. (-51%)/3-day cume: $987K (-51%)/Total cume: $16.3M /Wk 7
The Danish Girl (FOC), 81 theaters (+57) / $134K Fri. (+65%)/ 3-day cume: $449K (+71%)/Total cume: $1.2M/Wk 4
The Big Short (PAR), 8 theaters (0)/ $95K Fri. (-57%) /3-day cume: $327K(-54%)/PTA: $41K /Total cume: $1.3M /Wk 2
Trumbo (BST), 273 theaters (-281) / $86K Fri. (-63%)/3-day cume: $318K (-62%)/Total cume: $6.2M/Wk 7
Mojin: The Lost Legend (WLGO), 30 theaters / $100K Fri. /3-day cume: $301K /Wk 1
Carol (TWC), 16 theaters (0)/ $58K Fri.(-44%) / 3-day cume: $204K (-40%) /Total: $1.6M/Wk 5
Room (A24), 171 theaters (-27) / $42K Fri. / 3-day cume: $151K (-43%)/ Total cume: $4.5M / Wk 10
Surprise – Journey To The West (ASIA), 26 theaters / $45K Fri. /3-day cume: $142K /Wk 1
Son Of Saul (SPC), 3 theaters / $8K Fri. /3-day cume: $27K /Wk 1 Wow. In The Heart of The Sea is a mega flop. Spotlight got hit harder than I expected it to. Krampus is holding a bit better than I thought it would in the face of Star Wars. That's really good for Alvin. In this case I think spillover business definitely helped. I don't think it would have done better in a less competitive weekend. Pretty good for Sisters. Holiday legs will be very, very good to it.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 3:41 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) In The Heart of The Sea...
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
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“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 3:58 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Midnight west coast update from Deadline: $125-127m OD, $251-255m OW.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 4:10 am |
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m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am
Posts: 543
Location: DC Metropolitan
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) They're saying 125-127M+. Want to see it at least hit 127M, that'd be 70M on Friday proper.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 4:18 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3217
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) It's possible TFA could challenge Avatar's WW. 
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 4:30 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3217
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Forget about trying to dissect Thursday previews from Friday. It's all Friday. If TFA had only midnight-3AM showings, you would see these numbers (assuming there was capacity). Again, it's all Friday.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 4:32 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) Quote: Spotlight (OPRD), 825 (-264) / $327K Fri. (-54%)/3-day cume: $1.2M (-54%) /Total cume: $22.5M /Wk 7 So $40m is out? Will it get a second life when the awards season comes? Sisters will likely finish with $90+ million.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 4:40 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) mdana wrote: Ok, I guess should have been more organized when I started charting these numbers, but I thought it would just be all sell-outs after awhile.
I go back and forth between percentages and total number of seats.
AMC Tysons Corner 16
4:00-95% Full
4:45-80-85% Full
5:30-18 seats unsold
6:00-45 seats unsold
6:30-28 seats unsold
7:05-46 seats unsold
6:30-5 seats unsold
7:50-26 seats unsold
Ok, at this point I noticed shows were not selling out at show time. So, I wrote down all the rest of the shows and occupancy at the time 7:30.
8:20-33 seats unsold-Final count-57 seats unsold
9:00-6 seats unsold-Final count-7 seats unsold
9:30-29 seats unsold-Final count-10 seats unsold
10:00-48 seats unsold-Final count-39 seats unsold
10:30-51 seats unsold-Final count-16 seats unsold
11:20-50% Full-73% Full
11:45-55% Full-65% Full
12:10-20-25% Full-32% Full
12:30-70% Full-78% Full
12:45-4 tickets sold-15 tickets sold
1:00 (a)-45% sold-70%
1:00 (b)-3 tickets sold- 5 tickets sold
1:15-24 tickets sold-49 tickets sold
As I have stated, I am rusty and reserved seating may have changed late night sales in the past few years. However, I find it hard to believe JW and Avengers sold so few tickets after 7:30.
Does anyone else find this pattern odd or disconcerting? It may just be saturation issue, the film is getting over 80 showings per day here in Anchorage, most large blockbusters land in the 50-60 range here, the film is still selling out a lot of shows but many are ending up 65%-85% full because of the saturation. final friday tally (anchorage, ak) Sellouts: 29 (started the day with 23 sellouts before the first 9am showing) Showings: 81 pretty epic friday, 5 less confirmed sellouts than the thursday previews while also have nearly 25 more showings. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 5:09 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) As of now Saturday looks like
Sold Out: 21
Showings: 80
If it follows the same trajectory as Friday we should be able to confirm another 5-10 sellouts. Unfortunately the only showings with reserved seating left that are not playing it in 3D are either sold out or the remaining seats suck.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 5:13 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19391
Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) so it was projected to make 25-27 after 1PM pacific? Hm. I feel like the number will be higher tomorrow.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 6:16 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6744
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) publicenemy#1 wrote: so it was projected to make 25-27 after 1PM pacific? Hm. I feel like the number will be higher tomorrow. RTH had said HR had projected based on 50% sample which included pre-sales for later shows. So the number was skewed.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 8:19 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Posts: 6323
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) NOT a $250m opening weekend.
James Cameron must be so mad right now.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 8:32 am |
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m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am
Posts: 543
Location: DC Metropolitan
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) mdana wrote: Ok, I guess should have been more organized when I started charting these numbers, but I thought it would just be all sell-outs after awhile.
I go back and forth between percentages and total number of seats.
AMC Tysons Corner 16
4:00-95% Full
4:45-80-85% Full
5:30-18 seats unsold
6:00-45 seats unsold
6:30-28 seats unsold
7:05-46 seats unsold
6:30-5 seats unsold
7:50-26 seats unsold
Ok, at this point I noticed shows were not selling out at show time. So, I wrote down all the rest of the shows and occupancy at the time 7:30.
8:20-33 seats unsold-Final count-57 seats unsold
9:00-6 seats unsold-Final count-7 seats unsold
9:30-29 seats unsold-Final count-10 seats unsold
10:00-48 seats unsold-Final count-39 seats unsold
10:30-51 seats unsold-Final count-16 seats unsold
11:20-50% Full-73% Full
11:45-55% Full-65% Full
12:10-20-25% Full-32% Full
12:30-70% Full-78% Full
12:45-4 tickets sold-15 tickets sold
1:00 (a)-45% sold-70%
1:00 (b)-3 tickets sold- 5 tickets sold
1:15-24 tickets sold-49 tickets sold
As I have stated, I am rusty and reserved seating may have changed late night sales in the past few years. However, I find it hard to believe JW and Avengers sold so few tickets after 7:30.
Does anyone else find this pattern odd or disconcerting? FWIW, Fandango was not listing a considerable amount of AMC's reserved seating sellouts. There were a total of 39 shows at Tysons last night, Fandango listed ~34 I believe. There were 5 or 6 sellouts that occurred much earlier that they removed from listing that were however, showing up on MovieTickets.com as crossed out shows. If you check the AMC Empire 25 on 42nd, same deal. Friday was listed at 64 shows on Fandango but there were 7 sellouts missing, it was actually 71 shows total. Also 7:05 at Tysons had 20 tickets unsold, I was in it and only the middle of the front row was empty. More tickets were sold during trailers, cause folks were still filing in after 7:05. Can't say for the rest.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 11:43 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (Update Page 3) m051293 wrote: mdana wrote: Ok, I guess should have been more organized when I started charting these numbers, but I thought it would just be all sell-outs after awhile.
I go back and forth between percentages and total number of seats.
AMC Tysons Corner 16
4:00-95% Full
4:45-80-85% Full
5:30-18 seats unsold
6:00-45 seats unsold
6:30-28 seats unsold
7:05-46 seats unsold
6:30-5 seats unsold
7:50-26 seats unsold
Ok, at this point I noticed shows were not selling out at show time. So, I wrote down all the rest of the shows and occupancy at the time 7:30.
8:20-33 seats unsold-Final count-57 seats unsold
9:00-6 seats unsold-Final count-7 seats unsold
9:30-29 seats unsold-Final count-10 seats unsold
10:00-48 seats unsold-Final count-39 seats unsold
10:30-51 seats unsold-Final count-16 seats unsold
11:20-50% Full-73% Full
11:45-55% Full-65% Full
12:10-20-25% Full-32% Full
12:30-70% Full-78% Full
12:45-4 tickets sold-15 tickets sold
1:00 (a)-45% sold-70%
1:00 (b)-3 tickets sold- 5 tickets sold
1:15-24 tickets sold-49 tickets sold
As I have stated, I am rusty and reserved seating may have changed late night sales in the past few years. However, I find it hard to believe JW and Avengers sold so few tickets after 7:30.
Does anyone else find this pattern odd or disconcerting? FWIW, Fandango was not listing a considerable amount of AMC's reserved seating sellouts. There were a total of 39 shows at Tysons last night, Fandango listed ~34 I believe. There were 5 or 6 sellouts that occurred much earlier that they removed from listing that were however, showing up on MovieTickets.com as crossed out shows. If you check the AMC Empire 25 on 42nd, same deal. Friday was listed at 64 shows on Fandango but there were 7 sellouts missing, it was actually 71 shows total. Also 7:05 at Tysons had 20 tickets unsold, I was in it and only the middle of the front row was empty. More tickets were sold during trailers, cause folks were still filing in after 7:05. Can't say for the rest. I only used MovieTickets.com. If it wasn't obvious (I didn't make it very clear), the movies were haphazardly checked 15-20 minutes before showtime. Movies like Avatar would sell out when they got that full. After 7:30, I checked every movie within 5 minutes of showtime, often 7-8 minutes after until it shut me out as no longer available. I have never seen anything like it other than maybe the last HP, which is not good for legs. However, TDKR is the last movie, I really sampled like this, so maybe late nights have changed for massive openers.
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| Sat Dec 19, 2015 12:54 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Magnus wrote: ITS HAPPENING BROS. JAMES CAMERON 18 YEAR REIGN OF TERROR IS GONNA END.
THE FORCE HAS RETURNED. GET THE COCAINE AND HOOKERS WE GETTING LIT TNITE  still cracks me up
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