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 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 

How much will EPISODE VII do domestically?
Poll ended at Fri Nov 01, 2013 11:19 am
Less than $250m 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
$250m-$300m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$300m-$350m 5%  5%  [ 3 ]
$350m-$400m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$400m-$450m 10%  10%  [ 6 ]
$450m-$500m 14%  14%  [ 8 ]
$500m-$550m 15%  15%  [ 9 ]
$550m-$600m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
$600m-$650m 2%  2%  [ 1 ]
$650m-$700m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$700m-$750m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
more than $750m 20%  20%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 59

 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
The negative review from Salon.com reads:

Quote:
[Abrams ] has made an adoring copy of Star Wars, seeking to correct its perceived flaws, without understanding that nothing about that movie's context or meaning or enormous cultural impact can be duplicated.


In other words he is trying to say:

No matter what you would have done, Abrams, we would have slammed the film.

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 7:58 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Yeah, all records are going down. With this much backing from critics and expected fanboy effects, it's going to stay high on IMDb for a long time too.


Wed Dec 16, 2015 10:15 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Chippy wrote:
I'll stick with my high 100's and mid 600's prediction.


190/700

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 10:33 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
coward


Wed Dec 16, 2015 10:35 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
pussy

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 10:36 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
xiayun wrote:
Yeah, all records are going down. With this much backing from critics and expected fanboy effects, it's going to stay high on IMDb for a long time too.

all of them :D

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:39 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-t ... 201667970/
Quote:
‘Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ Opening Weekend Audience: Close To 40% Attending Thursday, Mostly 2D Shows'

Quote:
industry analysts are predicting a $50M Thursday night for Force Awakens, outstripping the pre-opening record of $43.5M made by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 in 2011.


already at 40% attendance with over 24hours to go :zonks:

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:28 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
that new deadline article is a gold mine,

Quote:
Movio further notes that most of those heading out to see Star Wars on opening night are guys at close to 53% between the age of 22-49. That demo is 13% larger than those who watched Jurassic World on its first Thursday. In regards to the rest of the advanced ticket sales breakdown: 26.9% scooped up tickets for Friday, 14.9% on Saturday, 7.5% on Sunday, and 2.4% on Christmas day.

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:32 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
no no no. 40% of the current weekend moviegoing audience is going on thursday.

Which means that if it has sold $40 mil in thursday tickets, it has sold $60 mil in weekend shows.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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chippy is correct

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:33 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
This is a Force in every sense of the word.

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:33 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
This is a Force in every sense of the word.


:ban:

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:39 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Chippy wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
This is a Force in every sense of the word.


:ban:


Lol, that would be a first for me. :)

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:50 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Someone getting banned? On KJ?!



Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:59 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Biggestgeekever wrote:
Someone getting banned? On KJ?!



I guess affirming what 99% of other users already know is grounds for walking the plank.

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
That's not why I called for the ban. You know what you did.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Wed Dec 16, 2015 3:04 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Chippy wrote:
You know what you did.


Actually, I have no idea. If it's SW related, fill me in. I'm not a fan.

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 3:09 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
This is a Force in every sense of the word.


This. Is. A. Bad. Pun. and you should feel bad.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Wed Dec 16, 2015 3:30 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Did Excel go into hiding with old Ben Kenobi?


Wed Dec 16, 2015 3:52 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
To anyone who does not believe TFA will obliterate the records:

Oh the weather outside is frightful
But the 'net is so delightful
And since we can't throw him in a hole
Let him troll, let him troll, let him troll

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Just came back from the midnight screening and all I will say is that I'm planning to see it a couple more times on the big screen... ;)

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
mark66 wrote:
Just came back from the midnight screening and all I will say is that I'm planning to see it a couple more times on the big screen... ;)

:thumbsup:

I still have a full day to go :tears:

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Wed Dec 16, 2015 11:21 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Been a while since I've been here, but looking forward to the fun ride that will be the next 4 days.

I made a view today analyzing the potential of The Force Awakens opening weekend. Granted you all already know this info and the video is meant for those out of the loop, but I thought you'd might be interested.



For what it's worth, I'm guessing 215M OW. Too many negative December factors preventing this from exploding (moreso than it already will)


Wed Dec 16, 2015 11:45 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Oct. 2012:

Jonathan wrote:
Despite opening on weekdays Phantom Menace and Revenge of the Sith both SHATTERED the opening day records and came darn close to still breaking OW records.

I think this just might be the movie that finally breaks $100 million opening day.

After that, yeah, $500 million is a good minimum. $600 million if it's not a Phantom Menace-esque embarrassment.


Jonathan wrote:
mark66 wrote:
I don't think a move to July is even necessary...

AVENGERS did 77 % ($477m) of its business in its first three weeks and a sequel will be definitely more frontloaded. A SW7 birth on Memorial Day weekend like the original trilogy is still in play...


Even so, Disney wouldn't want to position two of its potentially biggest movies ever so close to each other. They've positioned tentpole movies within about a month of each other before (Cars and POTC2 were pretty close to each other), but within the same month? They would rather have their first money-making machine go as far as it possibly can, then finally have their second money-making machine come in once the first is truly dried out. One opening in May and the other in mid-July (The TDK spot, basically) would work, or even 4th of July weekend.

Also, I understand the worries about overestimating this, but like, this is Star Wars. Even with the prequels it's something that EVERYONE truly cares about. Yesterday I first heard about this from THREE different people that don't normally talk movie news. With three years still to go this is already a REALLY big deal in the general public - I'm sure most of them could even name three movies opening next summer. And the hype is only going to grow from there, especially if they get good talent and market the holy hell out of it (And I mean, it's Disney, c'mon).


Nov. 2014:

Jonathan wrote:
New predictions:

Friday: $73 million ($28 million previews)
Saturday: $48 million
Sunday: $45 million
Opening Weekend: $166 million

Opening Week: $276 million
2nd Weekend: $101 million
3rd Weekend: $60 million

Domestic Total: $702 million (4.23)
International Total: $938 million
Worldwide Total: $1.64 billion


April 2015:

Updating:

Jonathan wrote:
Friday: $81 million ($31 million previews)
Saturday: $51 million
Sunday: $47 million
Opening Weekend: $179 million (#3 all time behind Avengers 1+2)

Opening Week: $294 million
2nd Weekend: $108 million
3rd Weekend: $66 million

Domestic Total: $720 million (4.02)
International Total: $1.01 billion
Worldwide Total: $1.73 billion


Jonathan wrote:
No film had ever opened above $15 million in an opening weekend, and Return of the Jedi opened to $23 million (despite opening on a Wednesday).

No film had ever opened to more than $22 million, and The Phantom Menace opened to $28 million (despite opening on a Wednesday).

No film had ever made over $8 million from midnight screenings, but Revenge of the Sith made almost $17 million (despite it being a Wednesday night).

Doing the inconceivable is kinda Star Wars' M.O. And this time around it's doing the "impossible" while starting on a Friday, so it's not even as handicapped as previous movies in the franchise.


And now, my 99% final predictions:

Friday: $107 million ($52 million Thursday night)
Saturday: $58 million
Sunday: $55 million
Opening Weekend: $220 million

Monday: $34 million
Tuesday: $33 million
Wednesday: $28 million
Thursday: $17 million
Opening Week: $332 million

2nd Weekend: $110 million
3rd Weekend: $72 million
4th Weekend: $35 million
5th Weekend: $26 million

Domestic Total: $736 million
International Total: $1.264 billion
Worldwide Total: $2 billion


Thu Dec 17, 2015 3:46 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
mark66 wrote:
Just came back from the midnight screening and all I will say is that I'm planning to see it a couple more times on the big screen... ;)


Same here. I fucking loved it. Already planning my second viewing which isn't so easy because most of the showtimes the next couple days are already sold out.


Thu Dec 17, 2015 7:31 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Awesome that you guys loved it. So many friends if mine have seen it today but I'm waiting to see it with my wife which may not be until after Christmas.

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