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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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 Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 In. Fast 8 will drop and I don't see SW7 is not getting there. I'm not even sure BVS will do. $1b WW.
If SW7 dies it that could be because it does $600m+ domestically and not because it will get $1b OS...
$1b OS is extremely rare still
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:08 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Jack Sparrow wrote: I don't see SW7 is not getting there.  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:10 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 If Star Wars does $1.3 billion worldwide and someone calls it a disappointment, I should really hunt down and beat the ever-living shit out of that person
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:20 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 I don't think anyone will ever say that, though. There are two types of people:
1. Fan boys
They say it will reach $1.5b, $2b, $55b...whatever...and if it doesn't reach that, it doesn't matter as they'll never say that anything Star Wars-related is a disappointment.
2. The rest of us
We are realistic and don't predict over $1.3b for it, so if it reaches $1.3b, there's no way it can be a disappointment. If anything, it will be a surprise.
There are no more people on this planet. I accounted for everyone.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:26 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Batman v Superman, Star Wars VII, Finding Dory, Despicable Me 3, Star Wars VIII, Toy Story 4, Justice League Part I, Fast 8 and even Pirates 5 have chances to make it before Avatar 2 
_________________
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10. Blue Beetle
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| Sun May 24, 2015 3:23 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Magnus wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Also, some of you act like it is such a no-brainer, but most don't predict Star Wars to beat F7 by more than $100 million, right? It's not like you expect $2 billion for it (unless you are BJ or excel) I think $1.6b WW is near the low-end for it. $2B is quite in reach. It's Star Wars bitch. If JJ delivers the goods and it's a crowd-pleaser on the level of the first Avengers, it will certainly be closer to $2B WW than $1.5B WW. And if he doesn't? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun May 24, 2015 11:08 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 I don't think SW7 will make more than Avengers in OS markets even if it is great.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 11:32 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 SW7 is gonna beat 1.5b worldwide, let's go ahead and embrace that now. The 2 trailers are already >150m views on Youtube alone.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 11:47 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 December and January are literally owned by Star Wars VII, 2B WW is not crazy
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Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
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9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sun May 24, 2015 12:17 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 The false aspect of many arguments here is that none of the mega tentpoles we see now in the schedule will do $1.5 b.
However, with schedule changes and the fact that half of the $1.1 B+ movies since Avatar were surprise drastic overperformers, looking at most likely mega tentpoles only has a half chance of being correct. We've seen surprise $1 B movies most years lately so only speaking about SW's chances for instance only accounts for half of the likelihood anyhow...
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:54 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 I would agree to O's argument that a surprise hit might do it but I really don't see how the tentpoles from the current schedule will do this. I believe F7's overperformance have increased people's expectations on other movies when we are clearly seeing AoU barely reaching this mark and not even breaking $1b OS which it should have...had the movie been any good.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 3:07 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Magnus wrote: its amusing that Lecter thinks nothing is going to breakout and beat Furious 7 when Furious 7 itself was a major surprise breakout.
hell, I wouldn't be utterly shocked if Spectre topped it before SW7 even came out. Skyfall did 1.1 billion after the previous one did 586m WW. Who says it can't keep increasing like the Furious franchise has managed to keep increasing? And a month ago, you'd have called me a total fool for not thinking that Age of Ultron would easily cruise past $1.5 billion, right? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun May 24, 2015 4:01 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 SW very well may do under 500m domestic but its overseas gross will be ridiculous ridiculous.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 6:47 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40599
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Are we sure Jurassic World is a write-off for this?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sun May 24, 2015 8:24 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Yes, we're sure.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 8:29 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 The studio does not appear very confident in the film's quality. My scheduled press screening is one day before the release. That is usually not a good sign.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun May 24, 2015 8:59 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Shack wrote: Are we sure Jurassic World is a write-off for this? Algren wrote: Yes, we're sure.
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sun May 24, 2015 8:59 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Magnus wrote: and two months ago you'd be a total fool to think Furious 7 would do 1.5b WW. shit happens. like this club failing. Shit happens but really for these things you can't say the predicted shit happens. Most people here are so confident that SW will have a cake walk in OS. I don't think it will do bad but $800m+ OS is not bad by any means only 10 movies have reached this mark so far and except for HP8 every movie was a surprise (I also considered TF4 as surprise because it was just so huge in China). This club could fail but we won't see that happening few days before it happens.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 4:04 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21601
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 So pessimistic. Let's make a prediction about what will beat Furious 7 WW, not what won't.
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zwackerm!
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| Mon May 25, 2015 10:39 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 zwackerm wrote: So pessimistic. Let's make a prediction about what will beat Furious 7 WW, not what won't.
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zwackerm! Well, he is saying that Avatar 2 will beat it.  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon May 25, 2015 10:57 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21601
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: So pessimistic. Let's make a prediction about what will beat Furious 7 WW, not what won't.
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zwackerm! Well, he is saying that Avatar 2 will beat it. But that's not super surprising or bold in any way. Its simply a statement.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 11:18 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 zwackerm wrote: Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: So pessimistic. Let's make a prediction about what will beat Furious 7 WW, not what won't.
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zwackerm! Well, he is saying that Avatar 2 will beat it. But that's not super surprising or bold in any way. Its simply a statement. You asked for a prediction. Now you're asking for a bold prediction. Ugh... _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon May 25, 2015 11:38 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Gamaur wrote: much of the population is relatively new to hollywood cinema That's not accurate. Their tastes are just different. Take Japan, for example, they are certainly not new to Hollywood, and do all US releases perform well? Nope. Chinese people have been watching Hollywood films since the 80s, just not in cinemas. The sheer size of the population will mean that openings and totals can be larger than US grosses, but the country has a very short attention span and everything moves so fast here that people can rave about a film on Friday and by Sunday it can be a new film that gets the buzz. You'll never have good legs in China (compared to what we know as good legs from North America). _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Wed May 27, 2015 10:24 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Avatar had good legs, no?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed May 27, 2015 10:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68385
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Re: No movie will beat Furious 7 worldwide until Avatar 2 Gamaur wrote: Algren wrote: Gamaur wrote: much of the population is relatively new to hollywood cinema That's not accurate. Their tastes are just different. Take Japan, for example, they are certainly not new to Hollywood, and do all US releases perform well? Nope. Chinese people have been watching Hollywood films since the 80s, just not in cinemas. The sheer size of the population will mean that openings and totals can be larger than US grosses, but the country has a very short attention span and everything moves so fast here that people can rave about a film on Friday and by Sunday it can be a new film that gets the buzz. You'll never have good legs in China (compared to what we know as good legs from North America). I think you misunderstood mate - I'm only talking about cinema, not about access. But purely based on statistics and the increased availability surrounding the growing middle class, it's obvious that shitloads more Chinese are watching American movies than in the past, especially at the theatre but also in general. With that comes a new wave of audience members - the same kind of people who'd have the reaction to the original Jurassic Park that we had. A perfect example of the effect I'm talking about is the Titanic re-release, which grossed more in China than everywhere else combined, even though they'd had access to it on DVD for 15+ years. It's ALL about access. Before, they watched Titanic on DVD (actually, it is VCD) or in video stores or on TV, now it's cinema...because there are thousands more cinemas that there were in 1998. I don't care about all the other fairly obvious middle-class stuff you're writing, I only care about correcting your assumption that Chinese are new to Hollywood. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Thu May 28, 2015 12:22 am |
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