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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 December 12-14 Predictions
 Exodus- 35 Top Five- 4 Mockingjay- -39% Penguins- -35% Bosses- -33%
Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Jun 09, 2017 7:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:50 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68387
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
They have been marketing the hell out of Exodus. If it doesn't make $40m, it will be a disappointment. I think it will underperform. Bale and Edgerton are not bankable leads, and Scott is a shit director. I will predict a $26m weekend.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 9:04 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?
Last edited by Magic Mike on Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68387
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters? The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:00 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Would be hilarious if Exodus opens to like $24m and then drops -60% against Hobbit.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:33 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 43 million Top Five - 7
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:37 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters? The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen. But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast. EXODUS - 42 MILLION TOP FIVE - 10 MILLION
Last edited by Magic Mike on Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:41 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8634 Location: Syracuse, NY
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I hope Top Five does great this weekend, I am dying to see it.
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 4:43 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19448 Location: San Diego
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus - 38 Top Five - 6
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 5:12 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21904 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus- 42 million Top Five- 7.5 million
Top Five has had some early awards buzz too. I think this will end up surprising with it's roll out over the holidays and make 50+
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 6:27 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 37 Top Five - 6
I really don't know what to expect from Exodus anymore. It had potential to become a true EVENT film and should have been able to open to $50M+, but it just doesn't feel like there is much buzz for it. The marketing is good, but it doesn't feel like it's connecting with general audiences for some reason.
The mediocre reviews are going to kill ALOT of momentum aswell.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:00 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68387
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters? The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen. But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast. I've never heard of it.
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Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:13 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25433 Location: Classified
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters? The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen. But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast. I've never heard of it. You posted in the thread with the Top Five trailer: Algren wrote: :funny: Looks very good. Although I guess it isn't a good sign that Top Five is losing fans already. The bad reviews have halted all the momentum that Exodus was building up. It will probably still open over $40M, but this could have been much bigger.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:09 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - $32 million Top Five - $6.8 million
Inherent Vice - $110,000 PTA
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:49 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Theyve marketed the fuck out of Exodus.
Still thinking low 50s.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 1:08 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
The marketing for Exodus has shown absolutely no reason for you to see this version of Moses as opposed to The Ten Commandments and The Prince of Egypt. Here, I don't think the quantity of the marketing will help it any more than The Amazing Spider Man 2's over marketing.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 1:45 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I hope it disappoints haha.
Hopefully Hobbit can take up the mantle of overperformance. Maybe a surprise win for the year.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 3:09 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus won't open far above 30m. I'm thinking more around 27m - maxing out at 33m if things go right for it.
It didnt set the world on fire here in Oz and this is the closest market to North America in terms of audience behaviour.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 5:56 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
BK wrote: I hope it disappoints haha.
Hopefully Hobbit can take up the mantle of overperformance. Maybe a surprise win for the year. I would prefer that Hunger Games win, but Hobbit would be better than GOTG too. Not to knock GOTG, but if it was the biggest film of the year, that would be embarrassing for the film industry at large if franchises like Hunger Games, Middle Earth, X-Men and Spider-Man get out grossed by some random MArvel property about a walking tree and a talking raccoon.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:07 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68387
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters? The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen. But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast. I've never heard of it. You posted in the thread with the Top Five trailer: Algren wrote: :funny: Looks very good. That says A LOT about its bad title. I can't recall anything about it. I'll check out the trailer again soon.
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:59 pm |
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CowboyFromHell
Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:23 pm Posts: 2033 Location: Somewhere, USA
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 31
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:45 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Hmm, so The Hobbit is not opening in the US this weekend...
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Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:46 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I'm kind of sensing The Day the Earth Stood Still 2.0 with Exodus. I guess we'll see.
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 34 Top Five - 6
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Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:21 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Kingdom of Heaven adjusts to a $25m OW (with a 39% on Rotten Tomatoes) and that was against decent competition.
Can't imagine it opening worse than that. Would be a complete disaster.
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Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Twitter Index
1 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 13,518 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 7,116 3 Big Hero 6 4,660 4 The Pyramid 4,026 5 San Andreas 2,891 6 The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies 2,466 7 Still Alice 2,460 8 Interstellar 1,963
No Exodus at the moment.
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Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:13 pm |
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