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 December 12-14 Predictions 
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Post December 12-14 Predictions
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Exodus- 35
Top Five- 4
Mockingjay- -39%
Penguins- -35%
Bosses- -33%


Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Jun 09, 2017 7:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:50 am
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
They have been marketing the hell out of Exodus. If it doesn't make $40m, it will be a disappointment. I think it will underperform. Bale and Edgerton are not bankable leads, and Scott is a shit director. I will predict a $26m weekend.

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 9:04 am
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?


Last edited by Magic Mike on Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:30 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?

The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:00 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Would be hilarious if Exodus opens to like $24m and then drops -60% against Hobbit.

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:33 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 43 million
Top Five - 7

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:37 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?

The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.


But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast.


EXODUS - 42 MILLION
TOP FIVE - 10 MILLION


Last edited by Magic Mike on Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:41 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I hope Top Five does great this weekend, I am dying to see it.

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 4:43 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus - 38
Top Five - 6


Sat Dec 06, 2014 5:12 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus- 42 million
Top Five- 7.5 million

Top Five has had some early awards buzz too. I think this will end up surprising with it's roll out over the holidays and make 50+

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 6:27 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 37
Top Five - 6

I really don't know what to expect from Exodus anymore. It had potential to become a true EVENT film and should have been able to open to $50M+, but it just doesn't feel like there is much buzz for it. The marketing is good, but it doesn't feel like it's connecting with general audiences for some reason.

The mediocre reviews are going to kill ALOT of momentum aswell.


Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:00 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?

The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.


But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast.
I've never heard of it.

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Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:13 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?

The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.


But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast.
I've never heard of it.
You posted in the thread with the Top Five trailer:

Algren wrote:
:funny: Looks very good.


Although I guess it isn't a good sign that Top Five is losing fans already. :hahaha:

The bad reviews have halted all the momentum that Exodus was building up. It will probably still open over $40M, but this could have been much bigger.


Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:09 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - $32 million
Top Five - $6.8 million

Inherent Vice - $110,000 PTA


Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:49 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Theyve marketed the fuck out of Exodus.

Still thinking low 50s.

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Sun Dec 07, 2014 1:08 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
The marketing for Exodus has shown absolutely no reason for you to see this version of Moses as opposed to The Ten Commandments and The Prince of Egypt. Here, I don't think the quantity of the marketing will help it any more than The Amazing Spider Man 2's over marketing.


Sun Dec 07, 2014 1:45 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I hope it disappoints haha.

Hopefully Hobbit can take up the mantle of overperformance. Maybe a surprise win for the year.

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Sun Dec 07, 2014 3:09 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus won't open far above 30m. I'm thinking more around 27m - maxing out at 33m if things go right for it.

It didnt set the world on fire here in Oz and this is the closest market to North America in terms of audience behaviour.

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Sun Dec 07, 2014 5:56 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
BK wrote:
I hope it disappoints haha.

Hopefully Hobbit can take up the mantle of overperformance. Maybe a surprise win for the year.


I would prefer that Hunger Games win, but Hobbit would be better than GOTG too. Not to knock GOTG, but if it was the biggest film of the year, that would be embarrassing for the film industry at large if franchises like Hunger Games, Middle Earth, X-Men and Spider-Man get out grossed by some random MArvel property about a walking tree and a talking raccoon.


Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:07 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Why would Top Five make only 2 Million from 950 theaters?

The Real Cancun made $2.2m from 2,260 theatres. So, it can happen.


But this isn't The Real Cancun. This is a buzzed about, insanely well-reviewed movie with a strong cast.
I've never heard of it.
You posted in the thread with the Top Five trailer:

Algren wrote:
:funny: Looks very good.
That says A LOT about its bad title. I can't recall anything about it. I'll check out the trailer again soon.

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Sun Dec 07, 2014 6:59 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Exodus: Gods and Kings - 31


Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:45 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Hmm, so The Hobbit is not opening in the US this weekend...

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Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:46 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
I'm kind of sensing The Day the Earth Stood Still 2.0 with Exodus. I guess we'll see.

Exodus: Gods and Kings - 34
Top Five - 6


Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:21 am
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Kingdom of Heaven adjusts to a $25m OW (with a 39% on Rotten Tomatoes) and that was against decent competition.

Can't imagine it opening worse than that. Would be a complete disaster.


Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:13 pm
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Post Re: December 12-14 Predictions
Twitter Index

1 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 13,518
2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 7,116
3 Big Hero 6 4,660
4 The Pyramid 4,026
5 San Andreas 2,891
6 The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies 2,466
7 Still Alice 2,460
8 Interstellar 1,963


No Exodus at the moment.


Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:13 pm
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