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 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 

How much will EPISODE VII do domestically?
Poll ended at Fri Nov 01, 2013 11:19 am
Less than $250m 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
$250m-$300m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$300m-$350m 5%  5%  [ 3 ]
$350m-$400m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$400m-$450m 10%  10%  [ 6 ]
$450m-$500m 14%  14%  [ 8 ]
$500m-$550m 15%  15%  [ 9 ]
$550m-$600m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
$600m-$650m 2%  2%  [ 1 ]
$650m-$700m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$700m-$750m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
more than $750m 20%  20%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 59

 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
New predictions:

Friday: $73 million ($28 million previews)
Saturday: $48 million
Sunday: $45 million
Opening Weekend: $166 million

Opening Week: $276 million
2nd Weekend: $101 million
3rd Weekend: $60 million

Domestic Total: $702 million (4.23)
International Total: $938 million
Worldwide Total: $1.64 billion


Last edited by Jonathan on Fri Nov 28, 2014 6:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Nov 28, 2014 6:13 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
I could see this doing anything from $350 million all the way to $700 million.

Let's go with $500 million.

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 6:15 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
It won't top $1 billion overseas. Unless China.

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 6:36 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
1975- Spielberg- Jaws
1977- Lucas- Star Wars
1982- Spielberg- ET
1993- Spielberg- Jurassic Park
1997- Cameron- Titanic
2009- Cameron- Avatar
2015- Abrams- Star Wars: The Box-Office Awakens

3 friends of mine texted me today, and they never text me about movies and all texted me "Holy Shit, the new Star Wars trailer is amazing"

In all seriousness 550 million is looking very good now. But I'm hoping for the crown!

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 6:49 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
after that awesome TEASER :D 500m is the minimum and 800m max in my book. :) hope it does the max and beyond.

anywhere from 1.3b to 2.1b worldwide
minimum 800m international and 1.3b max

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 8:00 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Thegun wrote:
1975- Spielberg- Jaws
1977- Lucas- Star Wars
1982- Spielberg- ET
1993- Spielberg- Jurassic Park
1997- Cameron- Titanic
2009- Cameron- Avatar
2015- Abrams- Star Wars: The Box-Office Awakens

3 friends of mine texted me today, and they never text me about movies and all texted me "Holy Shit, the new Star Wars trailer is amazing"

In all seriousness 550 million is looking very good now. But I'm hoping for the crown!


You notice what all of thise above, aside from 2015, have in common? None are sequels.

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 8:19 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Ok, so I see the hype has clouded everyone's judgement.

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 10:13 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
The trailer was rather random however hearing the Star Wars Main theme play well it was something else.


Nostalgia is strong and SW is still immensely popular.


You have to remember unlike lets say in the mid 2000's you no longer need to sell 70+ million tickets to get a 500 million grosser.


SW7 does not even have to sell that many tickets as other big hit films of today with inflation and 3D and it would fly past them domestically.


However I think the hype is big but still think 450 million is the range for this.

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Fri Nov 28, 2014 11:11 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
I'll go with $500m total with this teaser. Don't see it getting any lower.


Sat Nov 29, 2014 2:40 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
I think with the buzz, nostalgia and release date it should be good for atleast a TDK gross which could go much higher pending quality.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 6:15 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
MadGez wrote:
I think with the buzz, nostalgia and release date it should be good for atleast a TDK gross which could go much higher pending quality.

And if it's awful? I mean really awful... like, Abrams makes one of the key characters a homosexual to appeal to modern audiences, or something equally disastrous. If it's awful, it could so easily make less than $300m no matter how nostalgic it is.

But I'm at $461m post-teaser. We'll see. It's far too early for anyone to be adamant about any potential this film has.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 6:38 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Algren wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I think with the buzz, nostalgia and release date it should be good for atleast a TDK gross which could go much higher pending quality.

And if it's awful? I mean really awful... like, Abrams makes one of the key characters a homosexual to appeal to modern audiences, or something equally disastrous. If it's awful, it could so easily make less than $300m no matter how nostalgic it is.

But I'm at $461m post-teaser. We'll see. It's far too early for anyone to be adamant about any potential this film has.


I think we all know nothing is a lock. If its awful - it could very well do something like 120m/300m which would be a sub 3 multiplier but still a solid yet disappointing Hobbit type total gross.

Do you recall the crazy predictions fir The Phantom Menace? Many were adamant it would smash Titanic.

I think 450m+ would be great for it. It's still rarified air at that level. After all only 4 films have ever grosses that amount unadjusted in their first runs. It's still not exactly a walk in the park.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 7:47 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Rev wrote:
Tue Oct 30, 2012 9:30 pm

250m OW
700m Dom
2 Bill WW


Oh boy my original prediction might just come true after all :funny:

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:46 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
I am sure this will break the December OW record but I still can absolutely certainly guarantee that this won't come close to whatever Avengers 2 opens to.


Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:49 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
I am sure this will break the December OW record but I still can absolutely certainly guarantee that this won't come close to whatever Avengers 2 opens to.


Close is what? 5m,10m,15m,20m......

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 9:29 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
16 pages 55 weeks before opening... 'nuff said... ;)

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 9:37 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
mark66 wrote:
16 pages 55 weeks before opening... 'nuff said... ;)

Yeah, which is driven by less than 10 people.

Ten people will not make any difference in it reaching or not reaching whatever milestone is being bandied around.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 10:46 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Chippy wrote:
I do think there will be a huge rush factor for this... but when the November record got destroyed by Twilight, the OW increased by 39.1%. That would put SW at $117.7 mil OW. Which I think is more than acceptable, and would still lead to $400+ mil.


Yeah, I think people just rush less right before Christmas. I mean, a $150 million opening weekend could easily be enough for a $500+ million total in this case.


Agree with this.


Sat Nov 29, 2014 11:01 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
This has broken all trailer records right after TA2 smashed them.


Over 25 million views between 2 videos in less then a day on Youtube.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 12:04 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
More and more people are joining YouTube. More and more people worldwide are getting Internet. It's inevitable that trailer views will be eclipsed. I wouldn't put much faith in trailer views when translating to opening weekend predictions or final grosses, especially not when compared to trailer views of older movies.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 12:28 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Mannyisthebest wrote:
This has broken all trailer records right after TA2 smashed them.


Over 25 million views between 2 videos in less then a day on Youtube.


wow that is pretty amazing. And I agree it should do at least 150 OW. It is going to shatter the december record by a lot.


Sat Nov 29, 2014 1:57 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Rev wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
I am sure this will break the December OW record but I still can absolutely certainly guarantee that this won't come close to whatever Avengers 2 opens to.


Close is what? 5m,10m,15m,20m......


Let's say $30m.


Sat Nov 29, 2014 3:06 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
mark66 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
mark66 wrote:
Who changed his mind regarding the poll?


I haven't voted until I saw the trailer ;) What's your prediction?
Well I was thinking TPM adjusted (no 3D bonus though) so $700m...


Alrighty then...

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 3:30 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
I am a big fan for TA2 but I know the brand of SW is much more bigger domestic.

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Sat Nov 29, 2014 6:11 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
http://www.cinemablend.com/new/How-Geor ... 69271.html

So Disney hasn't used George Lucas' ideas for SW7 - is that a good or a bad thing in your opinion?

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