All of Abrams' last three films have higher scores, so there's that.

agreed.

Prequels really dented the Star Wars aura.

Going to be huge, still, but yeah...I'd be very surprised if t topped unadjusted episode 1.

The STAR WARS: THE COMPLETE SAGA Blu-ray box set outsold the Original Trilogy box set something like 50-to-1. And the Original Trilogy box set only outsold the Prequel Trilogy box set at a 1.25-to-1 ratio.

Yeah, people hate the prequels.

Nobody hates them, but the originals were regarded MUCH higher.

Prequel distaste aside, having Hamill/Ford/Fisher together again is a huge, huge nostalgia plus. Everyone knew what was going to happen in Ep. 1-3 eventually, so that's what makes #7 so interesting.

This is also backed by the Disney machine. Distaste over Ep. 1-3 will be minimized and this is going to get marketed like crazy leading to The Avengers 2 release.

BJs Prediction:
Star Wars - Episode VII

Thursday Previews: 27m
Opening Day: 81.22m (30m midnights)
2nd Day: 57.00m -29%
Opening Wknd: 189.77m - Fri: 81.22m / Sat: 57.00m -29% / Sun: 51.55m -9%
4-Day: 248.72m - Mon: 31.95m -38%
5-Day: 279.97m - Tue: 31.25m -2%
6-Day: 308.37m - Wed: 28.40m -9%
Opening Wk: 327.32m - Thur: 18.95m -33%
2nd Wknd: 140.35m -25% - Fri: 41.85m +120% / Sat: 52.70m +25% / Sun: 45.80m -13%
11-Day: 501.67m - Mon: 34.00m -25%
12-Day: 532.27m - Tue: 30.60m -10%
13-Day: 559.77m - Wed: 27.50m -10%
2nd Wk: 579.87m - Thur: 20.10m -27%
3rd Wknd: 86.70m -38% - Fri: 34.20m +70% / Sat: 34.20m NC / Sun: 18.30m -46%
18-Day: 674.77m - Mon: 8.20m -55%
19-Day: 683.42m - Tue: 8.65m +5%
20-Day: 690.77m - Wed: 7.35m -15%
3rd Wk: 697.02m - Thur: 6.25m -15%
4th Wknd: 45.05m -48% - Fri: 13.45m +115% / Sat: 20.15m +50% / Sun: 11.45m -43%
25-Day: 745.72m - Mon: 3.65m -68%
26-Day: 749.77m - Tue: 4.05m +10%
27-Day: 752.77m - Wed: 3.00m -25%
4th Wk: 755.77m - Thur: 3.00m NC
5th Wknd: 28.90m -36% - Fri: 6.85m +130% / Sat: 12.05m +75% / Sun: 10.00m -16%
4-Day-Wknd: 37.40m -16% - Mon: 8.50m -15%
33-Day: 749.77m - Tue: 2.95m -65%
34-Day: 752.77m - Wed: 2.05m -30%
4th Wk: 755.77m - Thur: 2.15m +5%
6th Wknd: 20.10m -30% - Fri: 5.10m +135% / Sat: 9.50m +85% / Sun: 5.50m -42%
Wk-0: 27.00m | Total: 27.00m
Wk-1: 300.32m - Wknd: 188.73m | Total: 327.32m
Wk-2: 252.55m - Wknd: 140.35m | Total: 579.87m
Wk-3: 117.15m - Wknd: 86.70m | Total: 697.02m
Wk-4: 58.75m - Wknd: 45.05m | Total: 755.77m
Wk-5: 44.35m - Wknd: 28.90m - 4-Day-Wknd: 37.40m | Total: 800.12m
Wk-6: 26.50m - Wknd: 20.10m | Total: 826.62m
Wk-7: 19.45m - Wknd: 14.85m | Total: 846.07m
Wk-8: 13.20m - Wknd: 9.65m | Total: 859.27m
Wk-9: 11.95m - Wknd: 8.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 10.00m | Total: 871.22m
Wk-10: 6.80m - Wknd: 5.20m | Total: 878.02m
Wk-11: 5.10m - Wknd: 3.90m | Total: 883.12m
Wk-12: 3.20m - Wknd: 2.35m | Total: 886.32m
Wk-13: 2.10m - Wknd: 1.45m | Total: 888.42m
Wk-14: 1.45m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 889.97m
Wk-15: 1.00m - Wknd: .70m | Total: 890.87m
Wk-16: .65m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 891.52m
Wk-17: 1.10m - Wknd: .80m | Total: 892.62m
Wk-18: .90m - Wknd: .70m | Total: 893.52m
Wk-19: .60m - Wknd: .50m | Total: 894.12m
Wk-20: .50m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 894.62m
Wk-21: .30m - Wknd: .25m | Total: 894.92m
Money Made After Wk-21: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 26
Days over 1m: 55
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 108.22
Days to 100m: 1-Days - 108.22m
Days to 150m: 2-Days - 165.22m
Days to 200m: 3-Days - 216.77m
Days to 250m: 5-Days - 279.97m
Days to 300m: 6-Days - 308.37m
Days to 350m: 8-Days - 369.17m
Days to 400m: 9-Days - 421.87m
Days to 450m: 10-Days - 467.67m
Days to 500m: 11-Days - 501.67m
Days to 550m: 13-Days - 559.77m
Days to 600m: 15-Days - 614.07m
Days to 650m: 17-Days - 666.57m
Days to 700m: 22-Days - 710.47m
Days to 750m: 27-Days - 752.77m
Days to 800m: 35-Days - 800.32m
Days to 850m: 51-Days - 853.92m
Domestic Total: 895m
International Total: 955m
World Wide Total: 1,850b

Multiplyer: 4.71

Wow, you really think movie will be an "event", don't you?

Yes

Hey BJ how close was your Avatar prediction?

135m/500m

within 90%, I went 811m

Wow didn't know it was that close.

About your opening day prediction. Only $51m from Friday not counting midnight....why?

simply because its a December release, the take will be more spread out. I do have it making 57m between Thursday evening and midnight.

BS.

Just a head up, that should be a $221.72 million 4-day total.

27 + 81.22 + 57 + 51.55 + 31.95 = 248.72

This

You're funny

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=41660

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=41659

I suggest you go page by page, when the crow starts getting served its gets even more highlarious.

Interesting that you think it will make 2.36 times as much as ROTS DOM but just 2.04 times as much OS. Considering how the DOM and OS markets have changed since 2005, that seems unlikely.

The International crowd is no where near as Star Wars crazy as the Domestic crowd.

You first opened the thread as "$500m+". Then you edited the first post on 12th Feburary, 2010 (after the films release) and changed the title to $800m+, which is when you predicted $811m.

That's not a prediction. That's a projection, at which point it already had $642m, and you were still out by almost $65m. In fact, that's a pretty bad projection.

This post from December 12, 2007 happens to be the first time I stated the film would clear 800m, and it was also when the film still had it's original May 2009 release date .
I made my official prediction for Avatar in May 2008 around the time its release date was changed to December 2009. I knew you would point out when I edited the thread. Did you scroll through the first 10 pages?

My 2nd official prediction, which I edited into the the first page was posted on October 29, 2009, and can be found on page 9 of the prediction thread.

----------------------------------------------------

As for the 500m+ thread, as many already know I considered 500m the highest milestone with which I could get people to join the club. My post from January 8, 2007 is the firts time I guaranteed 500m+ for avatar.

And now for the kill........... May 21, 2008

(Prediction #1)

BJs Prediction:
Avatar

Opening Day: 28.11m
2nd Day: 28.96m +4%
Opening Wknd: 80.97m - Fri: 28.11m / Sat: 28.96m +4% / Sun: 23.90m -17%
4-Day: 95.54m - Mon: 14.57m -38%
5-Day: 111.87m - Tue: 16.33m +12%
6-Day: 129.02m - Wed: 17.15m +5%
Opening Wk: 140.01m - Thur: 10.99m -35%
2nd Wknd: 80.13m -1% - Fri: 23.85m +116% / Sat: 30.58m +28% / Sun: 25.70m -16%
11-Day: 239.24m - Mon: 19.11m -25%
12-Day: 255.29m - Tue: 16.04m -15%
13-Day: 269.59m - Wed: 14.30m -11%
2nd Wk: 282.36m - Thur: 12.75m -10%
3rd Wknd: 65.90m -17% - Fri: 23.71m +85% / Sat: 23.71m NC / Sun: 18.48m -22%
Wk-1: 140.01m - Wknd: 80.97m | Total: 140.01m
Wk-2: 142.30m - Wknd: 80.13m | Total: 282.36m
Wk-3: 89.50m - Wknd: 65.90m | Total: 371.86m
Wk-4: 70.20m - Wknd: 52.35m | Total: 442.06m
Wk-5: 63.50m - Wknd: 43.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 53.95m | Total: 505.56m
Wk-6: 40.85m - Wknd: 28.50m | Total: 546.41m
Wk-7: 37.90m - Wknd: 28.90m | Total: 584.31m
Wk-8: 27.15m - Wknd: 21.50m | Total: 611.46m
Wk-9: 28.95m - Wknd: 20.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 24.20m | Total: 640.41m
Wk-10: 30.95m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 671.36m
Wk-11: 30.00m - Wknd: 21.95m | Total: 701.36m
Wk-12: 20.65m - Wknd: 14.95m | Total: 722.01m
Wk-13: 12.95m - Wknd: 8.95m - | Total: 734.96m
Wk-14: 10.70m - Wknd: 6.80m | Total: 745.66m
Wk-15: 10.30m - Wknd: 6.00m | Total: 755.96m
Wk-16: 8.30m - Wknd: 5.30m | Total: 764.26m
Wk-17: 5.60m - Wknd: 4.25m | Total: 769.26m
Wk-18: 4.15m - Wknd: 3.05m | Total: 774.01m
Wk-19: 3.35m - Wknd: 2.50m | Total: 777.36m
Wk-20: 2.60m - Wknd: 1.80m | Total: 779.96m
Wk-21: 2.20m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 782.16m
Wk-22: 1.65m - Wknd: 1.00m | Total: 783.81m
Wk-23: 3.40m - Wknd: 2.00m 4-Day-Wknd: 2.60m | Total: 787.21m
Wk-24: 3.05m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 790.26m
Wk-25: 2.50m - Wknd: 1.50m | Total: 792.76m
Wk-26: 1.50m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 794.26m
Wk-27: .90m - Wknd: .60m | Total: 795.16m
Wk-28: .60m - Wknd: .35m | Total: 795.76m
Money Made After Wk-17: ~16m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 55
Days to 50m: 2-Days - 57.07m
Days to 100m: 5-Days - 111.87m
Days to 150m: 8-Days - 163.86m
Days to 200m: 10-Days - 220.14m
Days to 250m: 12-Days - 255.29m
Days to 300m: 15-Days - 306.07m
Days to 350m: 18-Days - 354.36m
Days to 400m: 23-Days - 409.61m
Days to 450m: 25-Days - 452.06m
Days to 500m: 30-Days - 502.51m
Days to 550m: 43-Days - 553.11m
Days to 600m: 51-Days - 602.26m
Days to 650m: 65-Days - 654.81m
Days to 700m: 77-Days - 701.36m
Days to 750m: 101-Days - 751.66m
Days to 800m: 252-Days ~ 800m
Domestic Total: 811m
International Total: 1,190b
World Wide Total: 2b

Multiplyer: 10.02
-------------------------------------------------------------

(Prediction #2)
BJs Official Prediction:
Avatar

Opening Day: 40.77m
2nd Day: 35.44m -13%
Opening Wknd: 106.32m - Fri: 40.77m / Sat: 35.44m -13% / Sun: 30.11m -15%
4-Day: 123.17m - Mon: 16.85m -44%
5-Day: 141.22m - Tue: 18.05m +7%
6-Day: 157.33m - Wed: 16.11m -10%
Opening Wk: 167.77m - Thur: 10.44m -35%
2nd Wknd: 81.64m -23% - Fri: 20.99m +100% / Sat: 31.66m +50% / Sun: 28.99m -8%
11-Day: 270.07m - Mon: 20.66m -28%
12-Day: 286.40m - Tue: 16.33m -20%
13-Day: 299.95m - Wed: 13.55m -16%
2nd Wk: 312.94m - Thur: 12.99m -4%
3rd Wknd: 62.43m -23% - Fri: 26.00m +100% / Sat: 22.10m -15% / Sun: 14.33m -35%
Wk-1: 167.77m - Wknd: 106.32m | Total: 167.77m
Wk-2: 145.17m - Wknd: 81.64m | Total: 312.94m
Wk-3: 84.38m - Wknd: 62.43m | Total: 397.33m
Wk-4: 58.15m - Wknd: 41.80m | Total: 455.48m
Wk-5: 50.30m - Wknd: 29.98m - 4-Day-Wknd: 40.38m | Total: 505.78m
Wk-6: 32.95m - Wknd: 22.75m | Total: 538.73m
Wk-7: 28.90m - Wknd: 18.95m | Total: 567.63m
Wk-8: 28.90m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 596.53m
Wk-9: 34.80m - Wknd: 23.10m - 4-Day-Wknd: 28.45m | Total: 631.33m
Wk-10: 26.75m - Wknd: 18.70m | Total: 658.08m
Wk-11: 25.80m - Wknd: 18.00m | Total: 683.88m
Wk-12: 27.00m - Wknd: 18.00m | Total: 710.88m
Wk-13: 33.50m - Wknd: 25.20m - | Total: 744.38m
Wk-14: 22.95m - Wknd: 16.55m | Total: 767.33m
Wk-15: 14.90m - Wknd: 10.45m | Total: 782.23m
Wk-16: 11.20m - Wknd: 6.75m | Total: 793.43m
Wk-17: 7.50m - Wknd: 5.05m | Total: 800.93m
Wk-18: 4.40m - Wknd: 3.25m | Total: 805.33m
Wk-19: 2.75m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 808.08m
Wk-20: 1.50m - Wknd: 1.10m | Total: 809.58m
Wk-21: .70m - Wknd: .50m | Total: 810.28m
Wk-22: .35m - Wknd: .25m | Total: 810.63m
Money Made After Wk-22: ~1m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 35
Wks at #1: 6 (consecutive)
Days over 1m 115 (consecutive)
Days to 50m: 2-Days - 76.21m
Days to 100m: 3-Days - 106.32m
Days to 150m: 6-Days - 157.33m
Days to 200m: 9-Days - 220.42m
Days to 250m: 11-Days - 270.07m
Days to 300m: 14-Days - 312.94m
Days to 350m: 16-Days - 361.04m
Days to 400m: 22-Days - 407.37m
Days to 450m: 27-Days - 452.22m
Days to 500m: 33-Days - 500.00m
Days to 550m: 44-Days - 551.90m
Days to 600m: 57-Days - 600.50m
Days to 650m: 66-Days - 650.00m
Days to 700m: 80-Days - 701.85m
Days to 750m: 93-Days - 755.80m
Days to 800m: 118-Days - 800.00m
Domestic Total: 811m
International Total: 1,190b
World Wide Total: 2b

Multiplyer: 7.62

As you can see, in May 2008 and in October 2009 May predicted total was 811m.

Nope.

You did the work for me.

Well done. You predicted well.

Indeed, Thank you

But I was comparing it to another SW film, so this is already taken into account.