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 Tranformers 4 < 250m Club 
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Superfreak
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Post Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Yup, Marky Mark = kiss of death

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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:44 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Don't doubt Dinobots.


Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:45 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
This could happen. But it probably won't. I'd join a sub-$300 million club.

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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:49 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Dark of the Moon seemed to have better reception than Revenge of the Fallen and the drop wasn't that great last time.


Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:49 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
A lot of new clubs created

On this one, I'm OUT

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Sat Oct 19, 2013 8:22 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
It'll top $250m with ease.

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Sat Oct 19, 2013 10:28 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
This is the only one of your new clubs that has a chance, and it still isn't a good chance. Summer 2014 is just too weak. If this pulls a Pirates/Shrek then we might only have one $300M film next year, and even Dragon isn't a guarantee due to the four year gap.


Sat Oct 19, 2013 11:40 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
TF 3 didnt pull a Pirates 3/Shrek 3 performance, the film was still liked by general audiences, I don't see it declining that hard, specially with Bay's accident ( free marketing)

300m is a lock :yes:

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Sun Oct 20, 2013 12:09 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
No way.


Sun Oct 20, 2013 5:07 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
On any year with competition this could have happened but the last movie in the series had a bit better WOM (I think mostly because of 3D though not sure) and its drop wasn't huge (12.5% drop from TF2) specially when it had to compete with HP7.2 and Captain America.

If this dives close to Pirates 4 (which dropped 22% from Pirates 3) then it would get to $275m so for now I'm OUT and I don't know how Marky Mark became kiss of death here. Its not like Shia was a big pull for these movies.


Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:30 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
I don't think Shia's performance (especially in the first one) was that unimportant for it's success. He was a very likeable, funny counterpart to all the action.


Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:38 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
^ Yes I don't disagree on that for the first movie but I don't see him as a big pull for this movie. Its not one would go to Transformers to see him.


Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:39 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
No Shia will hurt it, no doubt...

But it's making $250+ mil.

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Mon Oct 21, 2013 1:16 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Looking at it..

Without DH2, TF3 would have ended up like near 370-380 million.


So it ended up strongly domestic and around expectations after a slower then expected start.


I think 250 million will happen with ease.

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Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:37 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Marky Mark + Michael Bay + Robots + Inflation + (arguably) Good WOM for Transformers 3 = 300m+


Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:44 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
People wont remember Shia after the first hour of the film

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Mon Oct 21, 2013 11:13 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
On the bubble.

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Sun Mar 09, 2014 3:42 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
OUT

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Mon Mar 10, 2014 1:02 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
OUTIE OUT.

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Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:41 am
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
I don't see it making less than 250, nor 275. It'll probably do 300 Anyway. For some reason, there are folks who actually enjoyed #2 and #3. Me? I just hate the direction the whole story went and the use of the new transformers in the sequels. Now we have Prime Riding Grimlock. Heck, Grimlock probably won't even sound like Grimlock. Probably be some Asian voice. I can just see it and how disgusting it will be BUT I will still fork over my 10.50 to watch it just to see it. I'm going in with negative expectations though so hopefully I'm blown the hell away.

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Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:43 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
That's a very good point after second movie most people went with negative expectations which eventually made the third one look good. Plus the WOM for 3D was very good which bodes REALLY well for this sequel, it could easily get 65%-70% 3D in its OW.


Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:23 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Cant believe I forgot about this one.

Yet another great call. :cool:

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Tue May 05, 2015 11:25 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
U won by only 4.6m lol lucky devil

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Tue May 05, 2015 11:39 pm
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Post Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Rev wrote:
U won by only 4.6m lol lucky devil


BVS is next :whistle: :yes: :thumbsup:

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