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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Yup, Marky Mark = kiss of death
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:44 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Don't doubt Dinobots.
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:45 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
This could happen. But it probably won't. I'd join a sub-$300 million club.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:49 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Dark of the Moon seemed to have better reception than Revenge of the Fallen and the drop wasn't that great last time.
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 7:49 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
A lot of new clubs created
On this one, I'm OUT
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 8:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68388
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
It'll top $250m with ease.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 10:28 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25433 Location: Classified
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
This is the only one of your new clubs that has a chance, and it still isn't a good chance. Summer 2014 is just too weak. If this pulls a Pirates/Shrek then we might only have one $300M film next year, and even Dragon isn't a guarantee due to the four year gap.
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Sat Oct 19, 2013 11:40 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
TF 3 didnt pull a Pirates 3/Shrek 3 performance, the film was still liked by general audiences, I don't see it declining that hard, specially with Bay's accident ( free marketing) 300m is a lock 
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Sun Oct 20, 2013 12:09 am |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13299 Location: Vienna
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
No way.
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Sun Oct 20, 2013 5:07 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
On any year with competition this could have happened but the last movie in the series had a bit better WOM (I think mostly because of 3D though not sure) and its drop wasn't huge (12.5% drop from TF2) specially when it had to compete with HP7.2 and Captain America.
If this dives close to Pirates 4 (which dropped 22% from Pirates 3) then it would get to $275m so for now I'm OUT and I don't know how Marky Mark became kiss of death here. Its not like Shia was a big pull for these movies.
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Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:30 am |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13299 Location: Vienna
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
I don't think Shia's performance (especially in the first one) was that unimportant for it's success. He was a very likeable, funny counterpart to all the action.
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Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:38 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
^ Yes I don't disagree on that for the first movie but I don't see him as a big pull for this movie. Its not one would go to Transformers to see him.
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Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:39 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
No Shia will hurt it, no doubt...
But it's making $250+ mil.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Oct 21, 2013 1:16 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Looking at it..
Without DH2, TF3 would have ended up like near 370-380 million.
So it ended up strongly domestic and around expectations after a slower then expected start.
I think 250 million will happen with ease.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:37 pm |
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Foster
Angels & Demons
Joined: Sun Oct 06, 2013 4:03 pm Posts: 203
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Marky Mark + Michael Bay + Robots + Inflation + (arguably) Good WOM for Transformers 3 = 300m+
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Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:44 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
People wont remember Shia after the first hour of the film
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Mon Oct 21, 2013 11:13 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
On the bubble.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Mar 09, 2014 3:42 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
OUT
_________________The Force Awakens
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Mon Mar 10, 2014 1:02 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
OUTIE OUT.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:41 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11016 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
I don't see it making less than 250, nor 275. It'll probably do 300 Anyway. For some reason, there are folks who actually enjoyed #2 and #3. Me? I just hate the direction the whole story went and the use of the new transformers in the sequels. Now we have Prime Riding Grimlock. Heck, Grimlock probably won't even sound like Grimlock. Probably be some Asian voice. I can just see it and how disgusting it will be BUT I will still fork over my 10.50 to watch it just to see it. I'm going in with negative expectations though so hopefully I'm blown the hell away.
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:43 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
That's a very good point after second movie most people went with negative expectations which eventually made the third one look good. Plus the WOM for 3D was very good which bodes REALLY well for this sequel, it could easily get 65%-70% 3D in its OW.
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Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:23 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Cant believe I forgot about this one. Yet another great call. 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Tue May 05, 2015 11:25 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32635 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
U won by only 4.6m lol lucky devil
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Tue May 05, 2015 11:39 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: Tranformers 4 < 250m Club
Rev wrote: U won by only 4.6m lol lucky devil BVS is next 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Tue May 05, 2015 11:42 pm |
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