Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold) Sat: 88m -19% Sun: 70m -20%
Opening Wknd: 267m
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Last edited by BJ on Sun May 05, 2013 2:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:12 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
It will be close.
If for some bizarre reason RDJ isnt in it, nope.
Otherwise...yes.
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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
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Sun May 05, 2013 2:20 pm
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13057 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm going with tradition, so in...
2002 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN is first $100m opener 2007 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN 3 is first $150m opener 2012 Marvel's AVENGERS is first $200m opener 2015 Marvel's AVENGERS 2 is first $250m opener???
2002 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN is first $100m opener 2007 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN 3 is first $150m opener 2012 Marvel's AVENGERS is first $200m opener 2015 Marvel's AVENGERS 2 is first $250m opener???
_________________ The Force Awakens
Last edited by BJ on Sun May 05, 2013 2:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:25 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
BJ wrote:
JOIN
BJs Prediction:
Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold) Sat: 88m -19% Sun: 70m -20%
Opening Wknd: 267m
its not doing 267m unless it opens in like 2018. If it opens two years from right now? No way.
_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:27 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.
Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.
What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.
According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.
3D prices will really fuck up inflation.
_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold) Sat: 88m -19% Sun: 70m -20%
Opening Wknd: 267m
its not doing 267m unless it opens in like 2018. If it opens two years from right now? No way.
The opening day stays, it's only 20% above TA's, the potential beyond that lies in the quality of the film, I think Marvel will once again deliver, at this point they have only made one mediocre film (IM2). I give the film the benefit of the doubt with the sat and sun holds.
_________________ The Force Awakens
Sun May 05, 2013 2:32 pm
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.
Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.
What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.
According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.
3D prices will really fuck up inflation.
3D prices have not dropped, they have increased since Avatar. You are talking about average ticket prices, which is far from the same.
_________________
Sun May 05, 2013 2:34 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.
Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.
What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.
According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.
3D prices will really fuck up inflation.
3D prices have not dropped, they have increased since Avatar. You are talking about average ticket prices, which is far from the same.
My understanding of BOM's inflation adjustment model is the utilize all shares trackable (kids tickets sold, 3D tickets, etc) and adjust the prices like so. The stated reason all the big 3D films have grow far less than due to inflation than the 2D film released around the same time is that 3D ticket prices are not what they used to be. I know it cost $14 to see Avatr in 3d and JP3 was only $12.50 in 3D. Last year, Avengers was $13 something.
_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:38 pm
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:40 pm
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25433 Location: Classified
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm wondering if this could actually increase on its first Saturday.
Sun May 05, 2013 2:42 pm
choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 1796
Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm in, but just barely. 250-255.
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