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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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 November 21-25 Predictions 5-day
Rise of the Guardians- 44
Life of Pi- 22
Red Dawn- 10
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| Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:05 pm |
 
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm
Posts: 8627
Location: Syracuse, NY
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions RISE OF THE GUARDIANS - $34 million (3-Day)/ $48 million (5-Day)
LIFE OF PI - $18 million (3-Day)/ $26 million (5-Day)
RED DAWN - $9 million (3-Day)/ $13 million (5-Day)
_________________
Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water
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| Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:10 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions RISE OF THE GUARDIANS - 24.16 MILLION (3-Day)/32.617 MILLION (5-Day)
LIFE OF PI - 20.1 MILLION (3-Day)/27.3 MILLION (5-Day)
RED DAWN - 13.998 MILION (3-Day)/22.293 MILLION (5-Day)
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| Sat Nov 17, 2012 4:39 pm |
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CowboyFromHell
Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:23 pm
Posts: 2033
Location: Somewhere, USA
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions 5-day
Rise of the Guardians: $49M
Life of Pi: $24.3M
Red Dawn: $11.7M
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| Sat Nov 17, 2012 9:20 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions 5-Day
Rise of the Guardians - $45 million
Life of Pi - $17 million
Red Dawn - $18 million
I think Red Dawn will surprise with its demo (young males) being undertracked. But Life of Pi will outlive it in total gross. Potential audiences just need more time to warm up to Pi, that's all.
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| Sat Nov 17, 2012 9:58 pm |
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Gopher
You are waiting for a train
Joined: Fri Jun 19, 2009 3:25 pm
Posts: 995
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Guardians will start slow for a DW film (maybe 35m 5-day) but should have nice legs. Red Dawn probably won't do much. Bond and Twilight will dominate. No idea how Life of Pi will do but Fox isn't rolling it out like Hugo so tracking must be pretty good.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 12:02 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Here's the current Twitter Index:
1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 - 227,697
2. Skyfall - 21,297
3. Red Dawn (2012) - 3,491
4. Now You See Me - 2,664
5. Lincoln - 2,518
6. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 2,017
7. Life of Pi - 1,888
8. Jab Tak Hai Jaan - 1,562
Red Dawn has been in the top 8 for a couple of weeks now.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 1:59 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Gopher wrote: Guardians will start slow for a DW film (maybe 35m 5-day) but should have nice legs. It really doesn't feel like anyone cares about that movie. I could see it disappoint.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 2:01 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Some of these 5-day predictions for Red Dawn are nuts  .
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 4:36 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions I also don't have much confidence in Red Dawn. The advertising isn't "sharp." I know action films such as Hitman and Ninja Assassin did well over this five-day frame in the past (before vanishing come December), but they were stylish and violent and, in the case of Hitman at least, based on a popular video game. This feels corny, safe, and square, too much so to distract its audience from Skyfall or even male oriented dramas such as Flight and Lincoln (not to mention football on television).
And I don't believe Chris Hemsworth and Josh Hutcherson will help too much. I am not sure how recognizable the former is to audiences outside of Thor, and Hutcherson is barely in the advertising. He clearly has a very supporting part.
It reminds me of Abduction last year.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 5:39 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions 5-Day
Rise of the Guardians - 44
Life of Pi - 20
Red Dawn - 14
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 5:40 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Red Dawn just needs to emphasize Josh Peck more so you know they can get the "Drake & Josh" crowd
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 6:25 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Precisely. The fact that Nick is re-airing reruns makes me kind of happy so I can watch it every now and then.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 6:35 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions (5-Day)
Breaking Dawn - 60
Skyfall - 45
Rise of the Guardians - 40
Life of Pi - 20
Red Dawn - 14
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 6:48 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions David wrote: I also don't have much confidence in Red Dawn. The advertising isn't "sharp." I know action films such as Hitman and Ninja Assassin did well over this five-day frame in the past (before vanishing come December), but they were stylish and violent and, in the case of Hitman at least, based on a popular video game. This feels corny, safe, and square, too much so to distract its audience from Skyfall or even male oriented dramas such as Flight and Lincoln (not to mention football on television).
And I don't believe Chris Hemsworth and Josh Hutcherson will help too much. I am not sure how recognizable the former is to audiences outside of Thor, and Hutcherson is barely in the advertising. He clearly has a very supporting part.
It reminds me of Abduction last year. Red Dawn is a bit different from those straight action movies. It takes on a bigger scope. It tries to capture the end-of-world paranoia and fight-for-freedom patriotism. These emotional angles allow it to play broader.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 7:01 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Magnus wrote: lolz emotional angles. From the trailer (which looks awful by the way) it's obvious they are trying to emphasize that.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 7:19 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions They're going the patriotic root with the advertising which will appeal to mainstream "we'll put a boot in their ass" moviegoers, I think. Some of the same who made Act of Valor a hit. Though this doesn't have the "Real Navy SEALs" hook. I could see Red Dawn doing about 40 Million total.
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 9:17 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm
Posts: 8627
Location: Syracuse, NY
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions If there is any justice in this work Red Dawn will bomb. It looks atrocious.
_________________
Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water
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| Sun Nov 18, 2012 10:29 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions I think it seems entertaining enough for a Blu-ray rental. I won't see it theatrically though.
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:12 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions That doesn't mean nobody else will see it . They should definitely add a good chunk of theaters for Lincoln next weekend. Will be a top choice among moviegoers over Thanksgiving. I never thought it would be THIS huge.
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:27 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23339
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: That doesn't mean nobody else will see it . They should definitely add a good chunk of theaters for Lincoln next weekend. Will be a top choice among moviegoers over Thanksgiving. I never thought it would be THIS huge. Yes, Lincoln, Silver Ling, Flight and offcourse Skyfall can really perform well beyond Thanksgiving and especially during the two weekends before The Hobbit comes out. _________________
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions I agree Red Dawn looks god awful and DTV stuff rather than big movie. The trailers are hilarious and as David pointed Korea....seriously? (Good luck convincing audience to spend their money)
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:22 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions i.hope wrote:
I think Red Dawn will surprise with its demo (young males) being undertracked. But Life of Pi will outlive it in total gross. Potential audiences just need more time to warm up to Pi, that's all.
You mean the Tea Party youth group?
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 2:19 pm |
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ishtar
Newbie
Joined: Tue Oct 18, 2011 9:15 pm
Posts: 4
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions Has anyone seen MRC or RS data for this weekend?
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 8:46 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35237
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 21-25 Predictions 1. BREAKING DAWN: PART II - 42.32 MILLION (-70%)
2. SKYFALL - 31.24 MILLION (-24%)
3. RISE OF THE GUARDIANS - 24.16 MILLION (3-Day)/32.617 MILLION (5-Day)
4. LINCOLN - 21.68 MILLION (+3%)
5. LIFE OF PI - 19.5 MILLION (3-Day)/26.3 MILLION (5-Day)
6. RED DAWN - 13.998 MILLION (3-Day)/22.293 MILLION (5-Day)
7. WRECK-IT RALPH - 13.565 MILLION (-27%)
8. FLIGHT - 7.48 MILLION (-15%)
9. ARGO - 3.884 MILLION (+4%)
10. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK - 3.2 MILLION (+625%)
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| Mon Nov 19, 2012 9:25 pm |
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