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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Updated: 1 WRECK-IT RALPH $13,415,000 2 FLIGHT $8,172,000 3 THE MAN WITH THE IRON FISTS $3,000,000 4 ARGO $2,985,000 5 TAKEN 2 $1,800,000 6 CLOUD ATLAS $1,500,000 7 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 4 $1,442,000 8 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA $1,100,000 9 SILENT HILL: REVELATION 3D $1,100,000 10 HERE COMES THE BOOM $1,000,000 - FUN SIZE $652,000 - CHASING MAVERICKS $365,000 - THE SESSIONS $121,000 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/Earlier: Per Deadline.comWreck-It Ralph - $13 million/ $48-50 million OW Flight - $6 million/ $14-17 million OW The Man with Iron Fists - $2-4 million/ $6-10 million OW
Last edited by i.hope on Sat Nov 03, 2012 9:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 7:16 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Sounds about right, although Flight's heavily adult audience would mean a $6M opening day is probs more like $18M for the weekend.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 7:46 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
If FLIGHT has the same multiplier as ARGO it's closer to $20m...
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:17 pm |
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pepe pippen
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am Posts: 769
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:36 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Ooh, that'd be very good for Flight.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 8:40 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
That would be good for Ralph and AMAZING for Flight.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 9:39 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Go Ralph!
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 9:54 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23325 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Beautiful numbers for all three films. Keeps up the tradition of smashing November kick-offs.
Ralph will hold up very well the next two weekends too. Probably as sub 25% drop next weekend.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:27 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
I wonder how TE2 is doing.
Great for Ralph. Looks like my prediction is dead on.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:29 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 505
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
That is great for Flight. With great reviews and Denzel I knew it would open big. Makes you wonder how much more it would have made with a bigger theater count.
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Fri Nov 02, 2012 10:51 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Algren wrote: I wonder how TE2 is doing. It's looking to possibly break into the TOP 300 12th weekends of all time. Very impressive. Actually surprised Flight is doing so well for it being a straight drama. Denzel is on another hot streak with Book of Eli, Unstoppable, Safe House, and now Flight.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:00 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Here the Top 10 from Nikki
1. Wreck-It Ralph (Disney) NEW [Runs 3,752] PG Friday $13.5M, Weekend $50.0M
2. Flight (Paramount) NEW [Runs 1,900] R Friday $8.0M, Weekend $23M
4. The Man With The Iron Fists (Universal) NEW [Runs 1,868] R Friday $3.0M, Weekend $8.5M
3. Argo (Warner Bros) Week 4 [Runs 2,774] R Friday $2.8M, Weekend $8.9M, Cume $75.0M
5. Taken 2 (Fox) Week 5 [Runs 2,639] PG13 Friday $1.7M, Weekend $5.5M, Cume $125.2M
6. Cloud Atlas (Warner Bros) Week 2 [Runs 2,013] R Friday $1.5M (-56%), Weekend $4.5M, Cume $17.5M
7. Paranormal Activity (Paramount) Week 3 [Runs 3,006] R Friday $1.5M, Weekend $4.5M, Cume $52.3M
8. Hotel Transylvania (Sony) Week 6 [Runs 2,922] PG Friday $1.1M, Weekend $5.0M, Cume $138.3M
9. Here Comes The Boom (Sony) Week 4 [Runs 2,314] PG Friday $1.0M, Weekend $3.3M, Cume $35.2M
10. Silent Hill: Revelation (Open Road) Week 2 [Runs 2,933] R Friday $1.0M (-70%), Weekend $3.1M, Cume $13.9M
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 3:46 am |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 505
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Wow at Flight. Great weekend. Even for MWIF.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 3:55 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Box Office Mojo is buggy as fuck right now.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:03 am |
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pepe pippen
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am Posts: 769
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Official estimates:
Ralph:$13.415m Argo: $2.985m Cloud Atlas: $1.5m
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:41 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
BOM's having it's once-per-fortnight technical fuck up. They need to get their act together or shut down altogether.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:03 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
BOM Friday: 1 WRECK-IT RALPH 13.42 13.42 (new; $3,575 PTA from 3,752 theaters) 2 FLIGHT 8.17 8.17 (new; $4,338 PTA from 1,884 theaters) 3 THE MAN WITH THE IRON FISTS 3.00 3.00 (new; $1,606 PTA from 1,868 theaters) 4 ARGO 2.99 68.64 (-24%) 5 TAKEN 2 1.80 121.47 (-30%) 6 CLOUD ATLAS 1.50 14.51 (-56%) 7 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 4 1.44 46.72 (-54%) 8 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 1.10 134.17 (-57%) 9 SILENT HILL: REVELATION 1.10 11.70 (-69%) 10 HERE COMES THE BOOM 1.00 32.97 (-37%) N/A FUN SIZE 0.65 5.81 (-51%) N/A CHASING MAVERICKS 0.37 3.50 (-56%) N/A THE SESSIONS 0.12 0.60 (+284%; $1,754 PTA from 69 theaters) http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -02&p=.htm
Last edited by Libs on Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:49 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Excellent opening days for Wreck-It Ralph and Flight. Weekends should reach the neighborhood of $50M and $25M, respectively.
Man with the Iron Fists even made a bit of an impact, although it will likely be frontloaded.
Another gravity-defying hold for Argo considering the direct competition from Flight.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:51 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
ERC's $21 million guesstimate seems way too conservative for Flight. It would have to stay flat on Saturday for that to happen, which I highly doubt. It's in for a pretty great weekend.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 12:55 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25325 Location: Classified
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Pretty darn good for Fists. It will top The Warrior's Way's total in its first 3 days.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 1:10 pm |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm Posts: 16020
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 Re: Early Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
MG Casey wrote: Algren wrote: I wonder how TE2 is doing. It's looking to possibly break into the TOP 300 12th weekends of all time. Very impressive. Actually surprised Flight is doing so well for it being a straight drama. Denzel is on another hot streak with Book of Eli, Unstoppable, Safe House, and now Flight. 
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 1:42 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Flight is the real winner of this weekend and though Ralph did good it is in the expected category IMO. I don't think it is an amazing number given the empty market, but then again we don't know how much impact did Sandy has on its opening weekend.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 10:59 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Sandy would have affected Ralph's weekend more than Flight's because parents are more caring over their children than adults are over themselves. Other than that, though, kids have just been given Hotel Transylvania, so they have been catered for recently, and for Ralph to still make a great opening day is testament to its popularity.
As Jack Sparrow said, Flight is the true winner here, though, because it's making a normal Denzel opening in terms of gross, but it's doing it on a theater count of 50%.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:20 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
Actually kids are the most under-served this time cause HT is a September movie and I don't think Frankenweenie made any impact at BO even that was the first week of October.
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:29 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Friday Estimates (11/2 - 11/4)
It is grating to see BoxOffice.com describe The Man with the Iron Fists' opening as quote-unquote in the neighborhood of Ninja Assassin and The Warrior's Way when in fact it is well lower than the former and notably stronger than the latter.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Nov 03, 2012 11:30 pm |
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